ARGH 2022 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2022 season after games of 1-2-23. Teams currently included are the 131 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus Jacksonville State and Sam Houston State.

The estimated home field advantage is .554, or about 2.64 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.

Because neither Army nor Navy is in a bowl, this will be the last set of ratings until all bowls except the Championship game have been played.

Revised 1-5-23

This Week	Last Week	Team	2022 Record	Power Rating	SOS
1	1	Georgia	14 - 0	0.946	13
2	2	Michigan	13 - 1	0.899	51
3	5	Alabama	11 - 2	0.875	23
4	3	Ohio St.	11 - 2	0.870	20
5	4	Texas Christian	13 - 1	0.867	14
6	6	Tennessee	11 - 2	0.860	27
7	8	Penn State	11 - 2	0.854	31
8	7	Kansas St.	10 - 4	0.808	3
9	16	Louisiana St.	10 - 4	0.796	6
10	13	Florida St.	10 - 3	0.795	45
11	11	Clemson	11 - 3	0.792	40
12	14	Tulane	12 - 2	0.792	66
13	10	Utah	10 - 4	0.790	37
14	9	Texas	8 - 5	0.789	2
15	12	Southern California	11 - 3	0.780	33
16	18	Oregon St.	10 - 3	0.776	50
17	17	Washington	11 - 2	0.776	64
18	15	Oregon	10 - 3	0.773	32
19	20	Mississippi St.	9 - 4	0.757	15
20	19	Troy	12 - 2	0.753	76
21	25	Minnesota	9 - 4	0.738	71
22	22	Notre Dame	9 - 4	0.736	35
23	27	Louisville	8 - 5	0.720	22
24	21	Illinois	8 - 5	0.715	60
25	29	Texas Tech	8 - 5	0.704	9
26	23	Mississippi	8 - 5	0.702	26
27	24	UCLA	9 - 4	0.686	59
28	28	Texas-San Antonio	11 - 3	0.678	87
29	34	James Madison	8 - 3	0.668	99
30	31	North Carolina St.	8 - 5	0.668	47
31	41	Wake Forest	8 - 5	0.667	49
32	43	Maryland	8 - 5	0.665	42
33	44	Pittsburgh	9 - 4	0.664	69
34	30	Central Florida	9 - 5	0.662	67
35	49	Air Force	10 - 3	0.661	128
36	32	Cincinnati	9 - 4	0.657	78
37	53	Iowa	8 - 5	0.655	58
38	33	South Carolina	8 - 5	0.655	36
39	50	Fresno St.	10 - 4	0.649	97
40	26	South Alabama	10 - 3	0.648	108
41	45	Marshall	9 - 4	0.642	90
42	36	Syracuse	7 - 6	0.637	38
43	56	Duke	9 - 4	0.636	92
44	51	Arkansas	7 - 6	0.635	18
45	46	North Carolina	9 - 5	0.633	56
46	55	Wisconsin	7 - 6	0.629	54
47	40	Oklahoma	6 - 7	0.627	7
48	52	Boise State	10 - 4	0.625	111
49	35	Baylor	6 - 7	0.623	21
50	42	Florida	6 - 7	0.619	5
51	38	Purdue	8 - 6	0.616	24
52	37	Kentucky	7 - 6	0.616	30
53	39	Oklahoma St.	7 - 6	0.613	34
54	47	Kansas	6 - 7	0.607	8
55	57	Houston	8 - 5	0.601	65
56	61	Western Kentucky	9 - 5	0.601	106
57	48	Washington St.	7 - 6	0.599	53
58	62	East Carolina	8 - 5	0.591	73
59	54	Southern Methodist	7 - 6	0.587	55
60	64	Memphis	7 - 6	0.577	77
61	65	Brigham Young	8 - 5	0.575	70
62	63	Auburn	5 - 7	0.567	4
63	58	Missouri	6 - 7	0.564	29
64	68	Michigan St.	5 - 7	0.551	11
65	60	West Virginia	5 - 7	0.550	16
66	67	Texas A&M	5 - 7	0.546	43
67	66	Iowa St.	4 - 8	0.540	10
68	59	Coastal Carolina	9 - 4	0.538	82
69	71	Ohio	10 - 4	0.529	119
70	69	Appalachian St.	6 - 6	0.516	88
71	74	Toledo	9 - 5	0.515	123
72	72	AL-Birmingham	7 - 6	0.515	100
73	76	Southern Mississippi	7 - 6	0.495	85
74	70	Louisiana	6 - 7	0.494	80
75	73	Arizona	5 - 7	0.487	41
76	82	Army	6 - 6	0.484	105
77	75	Liberty	8 - 5	0.479	120
78	81	Vanderbilt	5 - 7	0.459	25
79	80	North Texas	7 - 7	0.457	94
80	88	Middle Tennessee	8 - 5	0.456	122
81	77	Georgia Southern	6 - 7	0.453	84
82	79	San Diego St.	7 - 6	0.452	107
83	85	Miami, Florida	5 - 7	0.444	68
84	83	California	4 - 8	0.442	48
85	78	San Jose St.	7 - 5	0.441	129
86	96	Eastern Michigan	9 - 4	0.436	130
87	84	Tulsa	5 - 7	0.435	72
88	87	Indiana	4 - 8	0.433	17
89	89	Georgia Tech	5 - 7	0.431	28
90	91	Kent St.	5 - 7	0.429	81
91	98	Buffalo	7 - 6	0.422	125
92	86	Navy	4 - 8	0.421	61
93	90	Wyoming	7 - 6	0.414	104
94	93	Nebraska	4 - 8	0.409	57
95	94	Florida Atlantic	5 - 7	0.406	112
96	92	Georgia St.	4 - 8	0.405	74
97	95	Arizona St.	3 - 9	0.396	46
98	97	Stanford	3 - 9	0.392	12
99	99	Jacksonville St.	9 - 2	0.370	133
100	101	Rutgers	4 - 8	0.367	39
101	100	Connecticut	6 - 7	0.360	89
102	111	New Mexico St.	7 - 6	0.351	131
103	108	Virginia	3 - 7	0.349	63
104	102	Miami, Ohio	6 - 7	0.347	124
105	107	Nevada-Las Vegas	5 - 7	0.344	118
106	109	Ball St.	5 - 7	0.342	114
107	106	LA-Monroe	4 - 8	0.341	62
108	103	Bowling Green	6 - 7	0.340	98
109	110	Texas-El Paso	5 - 7	0.336	121
110	105	Rice	5 - 8	0.333	86
111	104	Utah St.	6 - 7	0.333	103
112	114	Central Michigan	4 - 8	0.318	109
113	113	Virginia Tech	3 - 8	0.318	79
114	115	Boston College	3 - 9	0.317	44
115	116	Western Michigan	5 - 7	0.315	117
116	112	Texas St.	4 - 8	0.312	95
117	118	Arkansas St.	3 - 9	0.303	83
118	117	Old Dominion	3 - 9	0.301	75
119	119	Louisiana Tech	3 - 9	0.270	93
120	120	Temple	3 - 9	0.269	91
121	121	South Florida	1 - 11	0.252	52
122	122	Northern Illinois	3 - 9	0.246	126
123	124	Northwestern	1 - 11	0.217	19
124	123	Colorado	1 - 11	0.216	1
125	125	Charlotte	3 - 9	0.209	115
126	126	Akron	2 - 10	0.196	101
127	128	Florida International	4 - 8	0.190	127
128	127	Hawaii	3 - 10	0.189	113
129	129	Sam Houston St.	5 - 4	0.182	132
130	130	Colorado St.	3 - 9	0.180	110
131	131	Nevada	2 - 10	0.174	116
132	132	New Mexico	2 - 10	0.161	96
133	133	Wild Card U.	12 - 124	0.109	0
134	134	Massachusetts	1 - 11	0.103	102

2022 conference power ratings:

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