ARGH 2018 Power Ratings

The following are the preliminary ARGH power ratings for the 2018 season. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .562, or about 3.19 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 7-19-18

This Week	Last Week	Team	2017 Record	Power Rating	SOS
1	3	Clemson	12 - 2	0.893	0
2	14	Michigan St.	10 - 3	0.866	0
3	2	Wisconsin	13 - 1	0.856	0
4	1	Alabama	13 - 1	0.836	0
5	8	Notre Dame	10 - 3	0.835	0
6	5	Ohio St.	12 - 2	0.834	0
7	11	Washington	10 - 3	0.820	0
8	4	Georgia	13 - 2	0.815	0
9	6	Penn State	11 - 2	0.790	0
10	13	Miami, Florida	10 - 3	0.778	0
11	21	Stanford	9 - 5	0.776	0
12	23	Michigan	8 - 5	0.773	0
13	9	Oklahoma	12 - 2	0.770	0
14	10	Auburn	10 - 4	0.766	0
15	17	Southern California	11 - 3	0.762	0
16	25	Boise State	11 - 3	0.753	0
17	16	Iowa	8 - 5	0.746	0
18	20	Mississippi St.	9 - 4	0.738	0
19	15	Northwestern	10 - 3	0.735	0
20	7	Central Florida	13 - 0	0.715	0
21	32	Boston College	7 - 6	0.695	0
22	19	Virginia Tech	9 - 4	0.694	0
23	71	Florida	4 - 7	0.680	0
24	31	South Carolina	9 - 4	0.679	0
25	18	Oklahoma St.	10 - 3	0.678	0
26	30	Florida St.	7 - 6	0.677	0
27	42	Duke	7 - 6	0.675	0
28	53	Missouri	7 - 6	0.669	0
29	49	Georgia Tech	5 - 6	0.662	0
30	12	Texas Christian	11 - 3	0.655	0
31	41	Texas	7 - 6	0.654	0
32	51	Texas A&M	7 - 6	0.654	0
33	26	Wake Forest	8 - 5	0.654	0
34	24	Louisiana St.	9 - 4	0.647	0
35	36	Purdue	7 - 6	0.646	0
36	47	Utah	7 - 6	0.629	0
37	28	Louisville	8 - 5	0.627	0
38	55	Texas Tech	6 - 7	0.626	0
39	22	North Carolina St.	9 - 4	0.623	0
40	48	West Virginia	7 - 6	0.622	0
41	37	San Diego St.	10 - 3	0.622	0
42	33	Memphis	10 - 3	0.613	0
43	29	Iowa St.	8 - 5	0.611	0
44	45	Oregon	7 - 6	0.611	0
45	58	Arizona	7 - 6	0.607	0
46	72	California	5 - 7	0.605	0
47	34	Fresno St.	10 - 4	0.589	0
48	68	Maryland	4 - 8	0.589	0
49	60	Kentucky	7 - 6	0.586	0
50	81	Arkansas	4 - 8	0.574	0
51	61	Wyoming	8 - 5	0.572	0
52	70	Syracuse	4 - 8	0.565	0
53	73	Nebraska	4 - 8	0.561	0
54	63	Minnesota	5 - 7	0.555	0
55	50	Arizona St.	7 - 6	0.553	0
56	83	Utah St.	6 - 7	0.548	0
57	65	North Texas	9 - 5	0.538	0
58	27	Florida Atlantic	11 - 3	0.533	0
59	43	Toledo	11 - 3	0.522	0
60	35	Washington St.	9 - 4	0.520	0
61	69	Pittsburgh	5 - 7	0.520	0
62	66	Mississippi	6 - 6	0.515	0
63	64	Marshall	8 - 5	0.514	0
64	44	Kansas St.	8 - 5	0.511	0
65	40	Troy	11 - 2	0.511	0
66	79	Louisiana Tech	7 - 6	0.509	0
67	59	Northern Illinois	8 - 5	0.508	0
68	46	Navy	7 - 6	0.507	0
69	88	Tulane	5 - 7	0.506	0
70	78	Western Michigan	6 - 6	0.505	0
71	62	UCLA	6 - 7	0.503	0
72	39	Army	10 - 3	0.502	0
73	94	North Carolina	3 - 9	0.501	0
74	86	Colorado	5 - 7	0.492	0
75	96	Tennessee	4 - 8	0.481	0
76	52	Ohio	9 - 4	0.480	0
77	38	South Florida	10 - 2	0.478	0
78	57	Indiana	5 - 7	0.470	0
79	92	Rutgers	4 - 8	0.468	0
80	95	Middle Tennessee	7 - 6	0.467	0
81	67	Southern Methodist	7 - 6	0.466	0
82	75	Temple	7 - 6	0.459	0
83	99	Miami, Ohio	5 - 7	0.456	0
84	74	Virginia	6 - 7	0.455	0
85	101	Nevada	3 - 9	0.448	0
86	85	Vanderbilt	5 - 7	0.444	0
87	56	Houston	7 - 5	0.442	0
88	109	Baylor	1 - 11	0.441	0
89	111	Illinois	2 - 10	0.429	0
90	54	Appalachian St.	9 - 4	0.428	0
91	121	Kansas	1 - 11	0.416	0
92	108	Tulsa	2 - 10	0.416	0
93	112	Old Dominion	5 - 7	0.413	0
94	82	Arkansas St.	7 - 5	0.411	0
95	84	Air Force	5 - 7	0.408	0
96	87	Buffalo	6 - 6	0.406	0
97	104	Brigham Young	4 - 9	0.403	0
98	100	Nevada-Las Vegas	5 - 7	0.402	0
99	106	LA-Monroe	5 - 7	0.397	0
100	90	Eastern Michigan	5 - 7	0.395	0
101	91	Akron	7 - 7	0.394	0
102	103	Cincinnati	4 - 8	0.385	0
103	97	AL-Birmingham	8 - 5	0.381	0
104	122	Georgia Southern	2 - 10	0.363	0
105	80	Southern Mississippi	8 - 5	0.359	0
106	76	Colorado St.	7 - 6	0.358	0
107	98	New Mexico St.	7 - 6	0.337	0
108	107	Massachusetts	4 - 8	0.319	0
109	77	Central Michigan	8 - 5	0.316	0
110	115	South Alabama	4 - 8	0.314	0
111	120	Oregon St.	1 - 11	0.306	0
112	105	Western Kentucky	6 - 7	0.301	0
113	89	Texas-San Antonio	6 - 5	0.290	0
114	93	Florida International	8 - 5	0.290	0
115	131	Charlotte	1 - 11	0.287	0
116	118	Bowling Green	2 - 10	0.285	0
117	102	Georgia St.	7 - 5	0.264	0
118	113	New Mexico	3 - 9	0.244	0
119	116	East Carolina	3 - 9	0.241	0
120	126	San Jose St.	2 - 11	0.235	0
121	110	Connecticut	3 - 9	0.232	0
122	128	Ball St.	2 - 10	0.216	0
123	123	Coastal Carolina	3 - 9	0.206	0
124	117	Louisiana	6 - 5	0.199	0
125	129	Wild Card U.	13 - 94	0.195	0
126	124	Liberty	4 - 8	0.190	0
127	125	Kent St.	2 - 10	0.190	0
128	119	Hawaii	3 - 9	0.185	0
129	127	Texas St.	2 - 10	0.175	0
130	130	Rice	1 - 11	0.169	0
131	132	Texas-El Paso	0 - 12	0.088	0

2018 conference power ratings:

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