ARGH 2023 Power Ratings

The following are the preliminary ARGH power ratings for the 2023 season. Teams currently included are the 133 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus Kennesaw State.

The estimated home field advantage is .554, or about 2.64 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 8-6-23

This WeekLast Week Team 2022 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Georgia 15 - 0 0.891 0
2 2 Michigan 13 - 1 0.821 0
3 4 Ohio St. 11 - 2 0.804 0
4 3 Alabama 11 - 2 0.794 0
5 6 Penn State 11 - 2 0.764 0
6 14 Texas 8 - 5 0.754 0
7 11 Clemson 11 - 3 0.753 0
8 5 Tennessee 11 - 2 0.747 0
9 9 Louisiana St. 10 - 4 0.740 0
10 13 Utah 10 - 4 0.731 0
11 10 Florida St. 10 - 3 0.727 0
12 22 Notre Dame 9 - 4 0.721 0
13 18 Oregon 10 - 3 0.719 0
14 8 Kansas St. 10 - 4 0.717 0
15 15 Southern California 11 - 3 0.715 0
16 25 Mississippi 8 - 5 0.707 0
17 7 Texas Christian 13 - 2 0.701 0
18 49 Oklahoma 6 - 7 0.684 0
19 65 Texas A&M 5 - 7 0.678 0
20 26 Texas Tech 8 - 5 0.675 0
21 38 Iowa 8 - 5 0.673 0
22 17 Washington 11 - 2 0.660 0
23 19 Mississippi St. 9 - 4 0.657 0
24 16 Oregon St. 10 - 3 0.656 0
25 21 Minnesota 9 - 4 0.639 0
26 28 Texas-San Antonio 11 - 3 0.638 0
27 45 North Carolina 9 - 5 0.635 0
28 24 Illinois 8 - 5 0.632 0
29 43 Arkansas 7 - 6 0.630 0
30 46 Wisconsin 7 - 6 0.628 0
31 68 Iowa St. 4 - 8 0.627 0
32 34 Central Florida 9 - 5 0.627 0
33 51 Baylor 6 - 7 0.626 0
34 62 Auburn 5 - 7 0.624 0
35 50 Kentucky 7 - 6 0.624 0
36 12 Tulane 12 - 2 0.619 0
37 31 Wake Forest 8 - 5 0.616 0
38 30 North Carolina St. 8 - 5 0.616 0
39 27 UCLA 9 - 4 0.610 0
40 33 Pittsburgh 9 - 4 0.609 0
41 23 Louisville 8 - 5 0.608 0
42 64 Michigan St. 5 - 7 0.608 0
43 36 South Carolina 8 - 5 0.606 0
44 53 Oklahoma St. 7 - 6 0.602 0
45 48 Florida 6 - 7 0.598 0
46 63 Missouri 6 - 7 0.595 0
47 32 Maryland 8 - 5 0.594 0
48 47 Boise State 10 - 4 0.588 0
49 56 Houston 8 - 5 0.578 0
50 52 Purdue 8 - 6 0.573 0
51 83 Miami, Florida 5 - 7 0.573 0
52 55 Kansas 6 - 7 0.568 0
53 40 South Alabama 10 - 3 0.567 0
54 59 Southern Methodist 7 - 6 0.565 0
55 44 Duke 9 - 4 0.563 0
56 39 Fresno St. 10 - 4 0.560 0
57 37 Cincinnati 9 - 4 0.554 0
58 42 Syracuse 7 - 6 0.554 0
59 57 Washington St. 7 - 6 0.553 0
60 61 Brigham Young 8 - 5 0.553 0
61 66 West Virginia 5 - 7 0.548 0
62 35 Air Force 10 - 3 0.546 0
63 20 Troy 12 - 2 0.545 0
64 94 Nebraska 4 - 8 0.516 0
65 58 East Carolina 8 - 5 0.516 0
66 29 James Madison 8 - 3 0.504 0
67 76 Army 6 - 6 0.501 0
68 41 Marshall 9 - 4 0.500 0
69 60 Memphis 7 - 6 0.495 0
70 84 California 4 - 8 0.492 0
71 74 Louisiana 6 - 7 0.491 0
72 71 Toledo 9 - 5 0.490 0
73 67 Coastal Carolina 9 - 4 0.490 0
74 70 Appalachian St. 6 - 6 0.475 0
75 82 San Diego St. 7 - 6 0.466 0
76 100 Rutgers 4 - 8 0.465 0
77 78 Vanderbilt 5 - 7 0.463 0
78 54 Western Kentucky 9 - 5 0.463 0
79 75 Arizona 5 - 7 0.456 0
80 103 Virginia 3 - 7 0.447 0
81 92 Navy 4 - 8 0.444 0
82 97 Arizona St. 3 - 9 0.443 0
83 88 Georgia Tech 5 - 7 0.442 0
84 114 Boston College 3 - 9 0.432 0
85 113 Virginia Tech 3 - 8 0.429 0
86 95 Florida Atlantic 5 - 7 0.429 0
87 93 Wyoming 7 - 6 0.428 0
88 69 Ohio 10 - 4 0.420 0
89 73 Southern Mississippi 7 - 6 0.416 0
90 72 AL-Birmingham 7 - 6 0.412 0
91 79 North Texas 7 - 7 0.403 0
92 104 Miami, Ohio 6 - 7 0.403 0
93 89 Indiana 4 - 8 0.396 0
94 77 Liberty 8 - 5 0.394 0
95 80 Middle Tennessee 8 - 5 0.389 0
96 86 Eastern Michigan 9 - 4 0.388 0
97 96 Georgia St. 4 - 8 0.386 0
98 112 Central Michigan 4 - 8 0.377 0
99 85 San Jose St. 7 - 5 0.371 0
100 91 Buffalo 7 - 6 0.370 0
101 98 Stanford 3 - 9 0.368 0
102 111 Utah St. 6 - 7 0.366 0
103 87 Tulsa 5 - 7 0.361 0
104 81 Georgia Southern 6 - 7 0.360 0
105 110 Rice 5 - 8 0.360 0
106 106 Ball St. 5 - 7 0.347 0
107 122 Northern Illinois 3 - 9 0.339 0
108 120 Temple 3 - 9 0.336 0
109 115 Western Michigan 5 - 7 0.336 0
110 101 Connecticut 6 - 7 0.335 0
111 124 Colorado 1 - 11 0.334 0
112 109 Texas-El Paso 5 - 7 0.333 0
113 123 Northwestern 1 - 11 0.325 0
114 121 South Florida 1 - 11 0.324 0
115 119 Louisiana Tech 3 - 9 0.318 0
116 108 Bowling Green 6 - 7 0.312 0
117 131 Nevada 2 - 10 0.311 0
118 118 Old Dominion 3 - 9 0.309 0
119 107 LA-Monroe 4 - 8 0.308 0
120 102 New Mexico St. 7 - 6 0.302 0
121 105 Nevada-Las Vegas 5 - 7 0.301 0
122 117 Arkansas St. 3 - 9 0.296 0
123 90 Kent St. 5 - 7 0.295 0
124 130 Colorado St. 3 - 9 0.292 0
125 128 Hawaii 3 - 10 0.276 0
126 116 Texas St. 4 - 8 0.268 0
127 99 Jacksonville St. 9 - 2 0.267 0
128 129 Sam Houston St. 5 - 4 0.246 0
129 127 Florida International 4 - 8 0.240 0
130 126 Akron 2 - 10 0.239 0
131 125 Charlotte 3 - 9 0.226 0
132 132 New Mexico 2 - 10 0.199 0
133 134 Massachusetts 1 - 11 0.193 0
134 133 Wild Card U. 12 - 124 0.181 0
135 0 Kennesaw St. 5 - 6 0.107 0

2023 conference power ratings:

Conference2023 Record Power Rating
SEC 0-0 .668
Big Twelve 0-0 .630
Big Ten 0-0 .603
ACC 0-0 .572
Pac-12 0-0 .561
AAC 0-0 .438
Independents 0-0 .437
Sun Belt 0-0 .423
Mountain West 0-0.392
MAC 0-0 .360
Conference USA 0-0.328

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