The following are the preliminary ARGH power ratings for the 2021 season. Teams currently included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
Preliminary ratings are especially preliminary after the oddball 2020 season, where determining the differences in quality between conferences was especially difficult. Because of the one-time nature of the 2020 season, I made the following adjustments to the initial 2021 ratings: (1) Recruiting factor, which ordinarily would have disappeared, was applied at the same rate as for 2020. (2) The factor for returning starters was applied at half strength because so many schools returned virtually everybody due to the one-time exemption for this season.
Any forfeits that take place during the season will be ignored and treated as no contests. These ratings are designed to take into account only those games that are actually played.The estimated home field advantage is .557, or about 3.00 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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Revised 8-26-21
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2020 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 13 - 0 | 0.812 | 0 |
2 | 4 | Oklahoma | 9 - 2 | 0.782 | 0 |
3 | 9 | Louisiana | 10 - 1 | 0.770 | 0 |
4 | 8 | Iowa St. | 9 - 3 | 0.756 | 0 |
5 | 6 | Clemson | 10 - 2 | 0.745 | 0 |
6 | 3 | Ohio St. | 7 - 1 | 0.734 | 0 |
7 | 10 | Georgia | 8 - 2 | 0.733 | 0 |
8 | 7 | Coastal Carolina | 11 - 1 | 0.730 | 0 |
9 | 5 | Cincinnati | 9 - 1 | 0.717 | 0 |
10 | 25 | Wisconsin | 4 - 3 | 0.698 | 0 |
11 | 20 | Southern California | 5 - 1 | 0.693 | 0 |
12 | 16 | Iowa | 6 - 2 | 0.686 | 0 |
13 | 11 | Texas A&M | 9 - 1 | 0.685 | 0 |
14 | 22 | Miami, Florida | 8 - 3 | 0.679 | 0 |
15 | 14 | Oklahoma St. | 8 - 3 | 0.678 | 0 |
16 | 18 | Ball St. | 7 - 1 | 0.668 | 0 |
17 | 21 | Indiana | 6 - 2 | 0.656 | 0 |
18 | 2 | Brigham Young | 11 - 1 | 0.655 | 0 |
19 | 27 | Liberty | 10 - 1 | 0.652 | 0 |
20 | 35 | North Carolina | 8 - 4 | 0.651 | 0 |
21 | 32 | Oregon | 4 - 3 | 0.648 | 0 |
22 | 17 | San Jose St. | 7 - 1 | 0.646 | 0 |
23 | 23 | Texas Christian | 6 - 4 | 0.642 | 0 |
24 | 36 | Arizona St. | 2 - 2 | 0.641 | 0 |
25 | 12 | Notre Dame | 10 - 2 | 0.641 | 0 |
26 | 33 | Nevada | 7 - 2 | 0.637 | 0 |
27 | 13 | Texas | 7 - 3 | 0.630 | 0 |
28 | 49 | UCLA | 3 - 4 | 0.623 | 0 |
29 | 40 | Washington | 3 - 1 | 0.623 | 0 |
30 | 24 | Appalachian St. | 9 - 3 | 0.617 | 0 |
31 | 29 | Boise State | 5 - 2 | 0.615 | 0 |
32 | 37 | Utah | 3 - 2 | 0.610 | 0 |
33 | 55 | Penn State | 4 - 5 | 0.608 | 0 |
34 | 30 | West Virginia | 6 - 4 | 0.604 | 0 |
35 | 48 | Toledo | 4 - 2 | 0.602 | 0 |
36 | 70 | Minnesota | 3 - 4 | 0.591 | 0 |
37 | 61 | Louisiana St. | 5 - 5 | 0.581 | 0 |
38 | 43 | Auburn | 6 - 5 | 0.580 | 0 |
39 | 66 | Texas-San Antonio | 7 - 5 | 0.580 | 0 |
40 | 41 | Colorado | 4 - 2 | 0.576 | 0 |
41 | 64 | Wake Forest | 4 - 5 | 0.574 | 0 |
42 | 71 | Central Michigan | 3 - 3 | 0.559 | 0 |
43 | 26 | Florida | 8 - 4 | 0.559 | 0 |
44 | 19 | Buffalo | 6 - 1 | 0.556 | 0 |
45 | 34 | Tulsa | 6 - 3 | 0.554 | 0 |
46 | 54 | Western Michigan | 4 - 2 | 0.553 | 0 |
47 | 42 | Central Florida | 6 - 4 | 0.551 | 0 |
48 | 50 | Miami, Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.550 | 0 |
49 | 57 | Mississippi | 5 - 5 | 0.548 | 0 |
50 | 39 | AL-Birmingham | 6 - 3 | 0.548 | 0 |
51 | 56 | Georgia St. | 6 - 4 | 0.545 | 0 |
52 | 69 | California | 1 - 3 | 0.544 | 0 |
53 | 65 | Boston College | 6 - 5 | 0.543 | 0 |
54 | 31 | Army | 9 - 3 | 0.536 | 0 |
55 | 76 | Nebraska | 3 - 5 | 0.535 | 0 |
56 | 15 | Northwestern | 7 - 2 | 0.535 | 0 |
57 | 28 | Marshall | 7 - 3 | 0.531 | 0 |
58 | 47 | Southern Methodist | 7 - 3 | 0.530 | 0 |
59 | 85 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 4 | 0.530 | 0 |
60 | 44 | San Diego St. | 4 - 4 | 0.526 | 0 |
61 | 59 | Kansas St. | 4 - 6 | 0.522 | 0 |
62 | 52 | North Carolina St. | 8 - 4 | 0.520 | 0 |
63 | 53 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 5 | 0.520 | 0 |
64 | 92 | Rutgers | 3 - 6 | 0.519 | 0 |
65 | 62 | Virginia | 5 - 5 | 0.518 | 0 |
66 | 63 | Hawaii | 5 - 4 | 0.517 | 0 |
67 | 81 | Wyoming | 2 - 4 | 0.516 | 0 |
68 | 79 | Maryland | 2 - 3 | 0.516 | 0 |
69 | 58 | Tulane | 6 - 6 | 0.515 | 0 |
70 | 87 | Mississippi St. | 4 - 7 | 0.515 | 0 |
71 | 51 | Memphis | 8 - 3 | 0.514 | 0 |
72 | 74 | Washington St. | 1 - 3 | 0.513 | 0 |
73 | 38 | Stanford | 4 - 2 | 0.509 | 0 |
74 | 75 | Baylor | 2 - 7 | 0.504 | 0 |
75 | 72 | Houston | 3 - 5 | 0.503 | 0 |
76 | 86 | Oregon St. | 2 - 5 | 0.500 | 0 |
77 | 45 | Air Force | 3 - 3 | 0.500 | 0 |
78 | 80 | Missouri | 5 - 5 | 0.499 | 0 |
79 | 83 | Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.491 | 0 |
80 | 89 | Fresno St. | 3 - 3 | 0.479 | 0 |
81 | 84 | Louisville | 4 - 7 | 0.474 | 0 |
82 | 82 | Purdue | 2 - 4 | 0.470 | 0 |
83 | 46 | Georgia Southern | 8 - 5 | 0.464 | 0 |
84 | 73 | Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.460 | 0 |
85 | 78 | Troy | 5 - 6 | 0.459 | 0 |
86 | 91 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.457 | 0 |
87 | 97 | East Carolina | 3 - 6 | 0.454 | 0 |
88 | 102 | Florida St. | 3 - 6 | 0.450 | 0 |
89 | 60 | Virginia Tech | 5 - 6 | 0.450 | 0 |
90 | 88 | Arkansas | 3 - 7 | 0.450 | 0 |
91 | 67 | Kent St. | 3 - 1 | 0.447 | 0 |
92 | 68 | Texas Tech | 4 - 6 | 0.440 | 0 |
93 | 90 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 5 | 0.435 | 0 |
94 | 96 | Michigan St. | 2 - 5 | 0.423 | 0 |
95 | 77 | Kentucky | 5 - 6 | 0.417 | 0 |
96 | 99 | Colorado St. | 1 - 3 | 0.400 | 0 |
97 | 101 | Illinois | 2 - 6 | 0.381 | 0 |
98 | 104 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 7 | 0.379 | 0 |
99 | 94 | Arkansas St. | 4 - 7 | 0.371 | 0 |
100 | 93 | Rice | 2 - 3 | 0.365 | 0 |
101 | 98 | New Mexico | 2 - 5 | 0.362 | 0 |
102 | 119 | Syracuse | 1 - 10 | 0.360 | 0 |
103 | 95 | Tennessee | 3 - 7 | 0.337 | 0 |
104 | 113 | Northern Illinois | 0 - 6 | 0.333 | 0 |
105 | 106 | Texas St. | 2 - 10 | 0.331 | 0 |
106 | 105 | Navy | 3 - 7 | 0.330 | 0 |
107 | 110 | North Texas | 4 - 6 | 0.315 | 0 |
108 | 100 | South Alabama | 4 - 7 | 0.308 | 0 |
109 | 107 | Charlotte | 2 - 4 | 0.300 | 0 |
110 | 111 | Middle Tennessee | 3 - 6 | 0.296 | 0 |
111 | 124 | Florida International | 0 - 5 | 0.286 | 0 |
112 | 108 | South Carolina | 2 - 8 | 0.284 | 0 |
113 | 112 | Arizona | 0 - 5 | 0.281 | 0 |
114 | 109 | Southern Mississippi | 3 - 7 | 0.279 | 0 |
115 | 117 | South Florida | 1 - 8 | 0.279 | 0 |
116 | 123 | Kansas | 0 - 9 | 0.274 | 0 |
117 | 116 | Texas-El Paso | 3 - 5 | 0.273 | 0 |
118 | 120 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 0 - 6 | 0.272 | 0 |
119 | 115 | Duke | 2 - 9 | 0.268 | 0 |
120 | 103 | Western Kentucky | 5 - 7 | 0.266 | 0 |
121 | 114 | Utah St. | 1 - 5 | 0.260 | 0 |
122 | 122 | Akron | 1 - 5 | 0.240 | 0 |
123 | 118 | Temple | 1 - 6 | 0.239 | 0 |
124 | NA | Connecticut | 0 - 0 | 0.228 | 0 |
125 | 128 | Vanderbilt | 0 - 9 | 0.212 | 0 |
126 | 126 | Bowling Green | 0 - 5 | 0.178 | 0 |
127 | 129 | LA-Monroe | 0 - 10 | 0.169 | 0 |
128 | 127 | Wild Card U. | 2 - 34 | 0.168 | 0 |
129 | 125 | Massachusetts | 0 - 4 | 0.165 | 0 |
130 | NA | Old Dominion | 0 - 0 | 0.162 | 0 |
131 | 121 | New Mexico St. | 1 - 1 | 0.122 | 0 |
2021 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2021 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Twelve | 0-0 | .583 |
Pac-12 | 0-0 | .563 |
Big Ten | 0-0 | .560 |
SEC | 0-0 | .515 |
ACC | 0-0 | .510 |
Mountain West | 0-0 | .477 |
Sun Belt | 0-0 | .476 |
AAC | 0-0 | .471 |
MAC | 0-0 | .467 |
Independents | 0-0 | .428 |
Conference USA | 0-0 | .369 |