The following are the preliminary ARGH power ratings for the 2007 season as of the 2007 pre-season. Teams included are the 120 Division 1-A teams, including provisional member Western Kentucky.
The estimated home field advantage is .576, or about 3.75 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average Division 1-A team without regard to location.
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This Week | Last Week | Team | 2006 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 4 | Southern California | 11 - 2 | 0.877 |
2 | 5 | Louisiana St. | 11 - 2 | 0.816 |
3 | 11 | West Virginia | 11 - 2 | 0.805 |
4 | 2 | Ohio St. | 12 - 1 | 0.804 |
5 | 18 | Texas | 10 - 3 | 0.803 |
6 | 14 | Virginia Tech | 10 - 3 | 0.800 |
7 | 1 | Florida | 13 - 1 | 0.788 |
8 | 3 | Louisville | 12 - 1 | 0.781 |
9 | 32 | UCLA | 7 - 6 | 0.779 |
10 | 7 | Michigan | 11 - 2 | 0.772 |
11 | 9 | Auburn | 11 - 2 | 0.770 |
12 | 29 | Penn State | 9 - 4 | 0.754 |
13 | 13 | California | 10 - 3 | 0.751 |
14 | 15 | Oklahoma | 11 - 3 | 0.746 |
15 | 8 | Wisconsin | 12 - 1 | 0.735 |
16 | 23 | Georgia | 9 - 4 | 0.728 |
17 | 16 | Tennessee | 9 - 4 | 0.725 |
18 | 10 | Rutgers | 11 - 2 | 0.724 |
19 | 20 | Boston College | 10 - 3 | 0.722 |
20 | 36 | Oregon | 7 - 6 | 0.698 |
21 | 25 | South Carolina | 8 - 5 | 0.685 |
22 | 17 | Arkansas | 10 - 4 | 0.683 |
23 | 37 | Florida St. | 7 - 6 | 0.681 |
24 | 31 | Texas A&M | 9 - 4 | 0.671 |
25 | 6 | Boise State | 13 - 0 | 0.668 |
26 | 30 | Georgia Tech | 9 - 5 | 0.667 |
27 | 21 | Notre Dame | 10 - 3 | 0.665 |
28 | 33 | South Florida | 9 - 4 | 0.660 |
29 | 19 | Texas Christian | 11 - 2 | 0.660 |
30 | 22 | Wake Forest | 11 - 3 | 0.658 |
31 | 24 | Oregon St. | 10 - 4 | 0.657 |
32 | 51 | Alabama | 6 - 7 | 0.651 |
33 | 34 | Missouri | 8 - 5 | 0.643 |
34 | 48 | Arizona | 6 - 6 | 0.641 |
35 | 26 | Nebraska | 9 - 5 | 0.641 |
36 | 12 | Brigham Young | 11 - 2 | 0.640 |
37 | 52 | Miami, Florida | 7 - 6 | 0.636 |
38 | 60 | Purdue | 8 - 6 | 0.632 |
39 | 27 | Clemson | 8 - 5 | 0.627 |
40 | 35 | Kentucky | 8 - 5 | 0.625 |
41 | 39 | Texas Tech | 8 - 5 | 0.622 |
42 | 41 | Oklahoma St. | 7 - 6 | 0.619 |
43 | 70 | Virginia | 5 - 7 | 0.615 |
44 | 44 | Arizona St. | 7 - 6 | 0.606 |
45 | 42 | Washington St. | 6 - 6 | 0.601 |
46 | 43 | Southern Mississippi | 9 - 5 | 0.589 |
47 | 28 | Hawaii | 11 - 3 | 0.578 |
48 | 63 | Vanderbilt | 4 - 8 | 0.577 |
49 | 46 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 6 | 0.562 |
50 | 57 | Iowa | 6 - 7 | 0.556 |
51 | 45 | Maryland | 9 - 4 | 0.549 |
52 | 58 | Kansas St. | 7 - 6 | 0.536 |
53 | 62 | Kansas | 6 - 6 | 0.534 |
54 | 55 | Minnesota | 6 - 7 | 0.527 |
55 | 49 | Utah | 8 - 5 | 0.527 |
56 | 47 | Navy | 9 - 4 | 0.518 |
57 | 40 | Houston | 10 - 4 | 0.512 |
58 | 74 | Mississippi | 4 - 8 | 0.504 |
59 | 38 | Cincinnati | 8 - 5 | 0.500 |
60 | 78 | Indiana | 5 - 7 | 0.499 |
61 | 79 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 9 | 0.497 |
62 | 71 | Connecticut | 4 - 8 | 0.493 |
69 | 100 | Colorado | 2 - 10 | 0.485 |
63 | 98 | Illinois | 2 - 10 | 0.479 |
64 | 56 | Washington | 5 - 7 | 0.477 |
65 | 97 | Colorado St. | 4 - 8 | 0.477 |
66 | 50 | Central Michigan | 10 - 4 | 0.471 |
67 | 84 | Fresno St. | 4 - 8 | 0.467 |
68 | 99 | Toledo | 5 - 7 | 0.452 |
70 | 53 | Nevada | 8 - 5 | 0.450 |
71 | 54 | Tulsa | 8 - 5 | 0.440 |
72 | 67 | Wyoming | 6 - 6 | 0.440 |
73 | 59 | San Jose St. | 9 - 4 | 0.438 |
74 | 76 | Southern Methodist | 6 - 6 | 0.436 |
75 | 64 | Western Michigan | 8 - 5 | 0.430 |
76 | 89 | Northwestern | 4 - 8 | 0.430 |
77 | 80 | New Mexico | 6 - 7 | 0.424 |
78 | 82 | Marshall | 5 - 7 | 0.423 |
79 | 95 | Central Florida | 4 - 8 | 0.420 |
80 | 83 | North Carolina St. | 3 - 9 | 0.417 |
81 | 61 | East Carolina | 7 - 6 | 0.405 |
82 | 88 | North Carolina | 3 - 9 | 0.399 |
83 | 66 | Northern Illinois | 7 - 6 | 0.395 |
84 | 77 | Michigan St. | 4 - 8 | 0.389 |
85 | 81 | Baylor | 4 - 8 | 0.387 |
86 | 91 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 8 | 0.376 |
87 | 73 | Troy St. | 8 - 5 | 0.373 |
88 | 92 | Iowa St. | 4 - 8 | 0.373 |
89 | 108 | San Diego St. | 3 - 9 | 0.372 |
90 | 72 | Syracuse | 4 - 8 | 0.370 |
91 | 111 | Miami, Ohio | 2 - 10 | 0.361 |
92 | 106 | Memphis | 2 - 10 | 0.359 |
93 | 85 | Ball St. | 5 - 7 | 0.357 |
94 | 68 | Rice | 7 - 6 | 0.344 |
95 | 104 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 7 | 0.344 |
96 | 110 | Stanford | 1 - 11 | 0.341 |
97 | 90 | Akron | 5 - 7 | 0.336 |
98 | 102 | Arkansas St. | 6 - 6 | 0.333 |
99 | 69 | Middle Tennessee St. | 7 - 6 | 0.333 |
100 | 112 | Louisiana Tech | 3 - 10 | 0.331 |
101 | 75 | Air Force | 4 - 8 | 0.325 |
102 | 86 | Texas-El Paso | 5 - 7 | 0.321 |
103 | 107 | Bowling Green | 4 - 8 | 0.319 |
104 | 96 | Kent | 6 - 6 | 0.312 |
105 | 65 | Ohio | 9 - 5 | 0.310 |
106 | 93 | New Mexico St. | 4 - 8 | 0.301 |
107 | 109 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 10 | 0.286 |
108 | 115 | Duke | 0 - 12 | 0.286 |
109 | 103 | Army | 3 - 9 | 0.280 |
110 | 87 | LA-Lafayette | 6 - 6 | 0.271 |
111 | 118 | Utah St. | 1 - 11 | 0.268 |
112 | 117 | Eastern Michigan | 1 - 11 | 0.249 |
113 | 113 | Buffalo | 2 - 10 | 0.246 |
114 | 94 | Tulane | 4 - 8 | 0.238 |
115 | 101 | AL-Birmingham | 3 - 9 | 0.220 |
116 | 119 | Temple | 1 - 11 | 0.217 |
117 | 105 | Idaho | 4 - 8 | 0.216 |
118 | 116 | Wild Card U. | 7 - 71 | 0.183 |
119 | 114 | North Texas | 3 - 9 | 0.182 |
120 | NA | Western Kentucky | 6 - 5 | 0.167 |
121 | 120 | Florida International | 0 - 12 | 0.115 |
2007 conference power ratings:
Conference | Predicted Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 37-11 | .671 |
Pac-10 | 20-11 | .643 |
Big East | 28-12 | .612 |
Big Ten | 32-12 | .598 |
Big Twelve | 32-16 | .588 |
ACC | 29-19 | .588 |
Independents | 16-16 | .488 |
Mountain West | 17-19 | .461 |
WAC | 18-19 | .413 |
Conference USA | 21-27 | .392 |
MAC | 22-36 | .343 |
Sun Belt | 12-34 | .277 |