ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the preliminary ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams included are the 76 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are playing a full(ish) fall schedule, plus Air Force, who has a two game schedule against the other service academies. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

The estimated home field advantage is .564, or about 3.45 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 9-2-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2019 Record Power Rating SOS
1 3 Clemson 14 - 1 0.858 0
2 9 Notre Dame 11 - 2 0.795 0
3 27 Texas 8 - 5 0.792 0
4 14 Oklahoma 12 - 2 0.781 0
5 7 Alabama 11 - 2 0.775 0
6 29 Texas A&M 8 - 5 0.772 0
7 4 Georgia 12 - 2 0.762 0
8 8 Florida 11 - 2 0.755 0
9 34 Oklahoma St. 8 - 5 0.751 0
10 37 Tennessee 8 - 5 0.732 0
11 23 Cincinnati 11 - 3 0.726 0
12 13 Auburn 9 - 4 0.720 0
13 2 Louisiana St. 15 - 0 0.701 0
14 41 North Carolina 7 - 6 0.685 0
15 24 Central Florida 10 - 3 0.684 0
16 35 Kentucky 8 - 5 0.674 0
17 16 Appalachian St. 13 - 1 0.667 0
18 51 Virginia Tech 8 - 5 0.667 0
19 17 Memphis 12 - 2 0.665 0
20 36 Iowa St. 7 - 6 0.654 0
21 39 Virginia 9 - 5 0.630 0
22 60 Pittsburgh 8 - 5 0.611 0
23 79 Houston 4 - 8 0.610 0
24 63 Florida St. 6 - 7 0.610 0
25 31 Southern Methodist 10 - 3 0.599 0
26 61 South Carolina 4 - 8 0.599 0
27 44 Louisville 8 - 5 0.598 0
28 25 Louisiana 11 - 3 0.588 0
29 85 AL-Birmingham 9 - 5 0.588 0
30 86 Texas Tech 4 - 8 0.579 0
31 71 Boston College 6 - 7 0.575 0
32 20 Baylor 11 - 3 0.572 0
33 54 Brigham Young 7 - 6 0.563 0
34 117 Georgia Tech 3 - 9 0.555 0
35 18 Navy 11 - 2 0.542 0
36 90 West Virginia 5 - 7 0.537 0
37 110 North Carolina St. 4 - 8 0.532 0
38 59 Temple 8 - 5 0.517 0
39 56 Texas Christian 5 - 7 0.512 0
40 47 Mississippi St. 6 - 7 0.504 0
41 53 Western Kentucky 9 - 4 0.501 0
42 32 Kansas St. 8 - 5 0.498 0
43 64 Marshall 8 - 5 0.494 0
44 43 Tulane 7 - 6 0.494 0
45 68 Georgia Southern 7 - 6 0.486 0
46 73 Arkansas St. 8 - 5 0.485 0
47 69 Mississippi 4 - 8 0.480 0
48 28 Florida Atlantic 11 - 3 0.473 0
49 21 Air Force 11 - 2 0.471 0
50 58 Miami, Florida 6 - 7 0.449 0
51 48 Missouri 6 - 6 0.446 0
52 108 Middle Tennessee 4 - 8 0.439 0
53 89 Syracuse 5 - 7 0.438 0
54 70 Tulsa 4 - 8 0.437 0
55 115 Vanderbilt 3 - 9 0.435 0
56 50 Wake Forest 8 - 5 0.433 0
57 81 Duke 5 - 7 0.426 0
58 80 Southern Mississippi 7 - 6 0.425 0
59 106 Coastal Carolina 5 - 7 0.412 0
60 88 Army 5 - 8 0.403 0
61 112 East Carolina 4 - 8 0.400 0
62 94 Charlotte 7 - 6 0.399 0
63 99 South Florida 4 - 8 0.391 0
64 118 Rice 3 - 9 0.357 0
65 93 Georgia St. 7 - 6 0.353 0
66 116 Arkansas 2 - 10 0.348 0
67 104 Troy 5 - 7 0.331 0
68 111 Kansas 3 - 9 0.325 0
69 98 LA-Monroe 5 - 7 0.307 0
70 113 North Texas 4 - 8 0.292 0
71 55 Louisiana Tech 10 - 3 0.292 0
72 103 Florida International 6 - 7 0.281 0
73 120 Texas-San Antonio 4 - 8 0.271 0
74 87 Liberty 8 - 5 0.264 0
75 119 Texas St. 3 - 9 0.260 0
76 123 South Alabama 2 - 10 0.254 0
77 129 Wild Card U. 3 - 111 0.159 0
78 128 Texas-El Paso 1 - 11 0.085 0

2019 conference power ratings:

-- -- -- --
Conference2020 Record Power Rating
SEC 0-0 .622
Big Twelve 0-0 .600
ACC 0-0 .591
AAC 0-0 .551
Sun Belt 0-0 .414
Independents 0-0 .410
Conference USA 0-0.377
Big Ten 0-0 .621
Pac-12 0-0 .586
Mountain West 0-0.399
MAC 0-0 .363

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