ARGH 2012 Power Ratings

The following are the initial ARGH power ratings for the 2012 season. Teams included are the 124 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus one team that will be starting FBS play in 2013.

The estimated home field advantage is .567, or about 3.78 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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This Week	Last Week	Team	2012 Record	Power Rating
1	1	Alabama	1 - 0	0.893
2	3	Oklahoma	1 - 0	0.867
3	2	Louisiana St.	1 - 0	0.867
4	5	Southern California	1 - 0	0.819
5	4	Oklahoma St.	1 - 0	0.805
6	10	Oregon	1 - 0	0.786
7	7	Stanford	1 - 0	0.783
8	6	Auburn	0 - 1	0.780
9	13	Nebraska	1 - 0	0.778
10	14	South Carolina	1 - 0	0.777
11	9	Florida St.	1 - 0	0.776
12	11	Georgia	1 - 0	0.773
13	8	Michigan	0 - 1	0.769
14	16	Notre Dame	1 - 0	0.768
15	15	Texas	1 - 0	0.763
16	17	Florida	1 - 0	0.759
17	20	Tennessee	1 - 0	0.755
18	18	West Virginia	1 - 0	0.754
19	12	Arkansas	1 - 0	0.750
20	19	Virginia Tech	1 - 0	0.748
21	23	Michigan St.	1 - 0	0.745
22	27	Clemson	1 - 0	0.743
23	25	Ohio St.	1 - 0	0.740
24	24	Baylor	1 - 0	0.732
25	26	Texas Christian	0 - 0	0.726
26	21	Kansas St.	1 - 0	0.716
27	22	Missouri	1 - 0	0.716
28	31	Texas A&M	0 - 0	0.692
29	29	Utah	1 - 0	0.686
30	28	Boise State	0 - 1	0.680
31	30	Wisconsin	1 - 0	0.667
32	34	Brigham Young	1 - 0	0.646
33	32	Texas Tech	1 - 0	0.635
34	33	North Carolina St.	0 - 1	0.625
35	36	Mississippi St.	1 - 0	0.621
36	42	Iowa	1 - 0	0.620
37	35	Vanderbilt	0 - 1	0.619
38	40	Washington	1 - 0	0.619
39	39	Rutgers	1 - 0	0.617
40	43	Louisville	1 - 0	0.617
41	37	South Florida	1 - 0	0.612
42	47	Iowa St.	1 - 0	0.607
43	44	Cincinnati	0 - 0	0.596
44	41	Georgia Tech	0 - 1	0.595
45	51	UCLA	1 - 0	0.587
46	52	Miami, Florida	1 - 0	0.583
47	48	North Carolina	1 - 0	0.576
48	56	Nevada	1 - 0	0.576
49	53	Illinois	1 - 0	0.574
50	46	California	0 - 1	0.560
51	38	Houston	0 - 1	0.560
52	45	Penn State	0 - 1	0.555
53	50	Tulsa	0 - 1	0.549
54	57	Purdue	1 - 0	0.545
55	54	Oregon St.	0 - 0	0.544
56	58	Connecticut	1 - 0	0.539
57	55	Northern Illinois	0 - 1	0.535
58	66	Ohio	1 - 0	0.531
59	59	Louisiana Tech	0 - 0	0.514
60	61	Virginia	1 - 0	0.508
61	60	Southern Mississippi	0 - 1	0.507
62	49	Pittsburgh	0 - 1	0.506
63	72	Northwestern	1 - 0	0.488
64	62	Boston College	0 - 1	0.484
65	65	Miami, Ohio	0 - 1	0.482
66	69	Arizona St.	1 - 0	0.479
67	70	Central Florida	1 - 0	0.478
68	63	Syracuse	0 - 1	0.477
69	67	Marshall	0 - 1	0.474
70	79	Arizona	1 - 0	0.471
71	64	Florida International	0 - 1	0.467
72	74	Mississippi	1 - 0	0.462
73	71	Maryland	1 - 0	0.461
74	76	Kent	1 - 0	0.459
75	86	Duke	1 - 0	0.455
76	68	Kentucky	0 - 1	0.454
77	75	Wake Forest	1 - 0	0.451
78	78	Bowling Green	0 - 1	0.450
79	73	San Diego St.	0 - 1	0.448
80	82	LA-Lafayette	1 - 0	0.446
81	83	Arkansas St.	0 - 1	0.435
82	80	Southern Methodist	0 - 1	0.434
83	85	Minnesota	1 - 0	0.431
84	77	Western Michigan	0 - 1	0.430
85	89	Western Kentucky	1 - 0	0.429
86	87	East Carolina	1 - 0	0.428
87	90	Temple	1 - 0	0.427
88	84	Wyoming	0 - 1	0.425
89	93	Utah St.	1 - 0	0.414
90	91	Central Michigan	1 - 0	0.412
91	81	Toledo	0 - 1	0.411
92	88	Navy	0 - 1	0.411
93	94	Ball St.	1 - 0	0.410
94	92	Army	0 - 0	0.391
95	96	Indiana	1 - 0	0.372
96	97	North Texas	0 - 1	0.370
97	102	Fresno St.	1 - 0	0.365
98	103	Kansas	1 - 0	0.362
99	104	Air Force	1 - 0	0.359
100	100	Texas-El Paso	0 - 1	0.353
101	95	Colorado	0 - 1	0.340
102	101	Washington St.	0 - 1	0.339
103	99	Rice	0 - 1	0.333
104	98	Eastern Michigan	0 - 1	0.332
105	105	LA-Monroe	0 - 0	0.320
106	106	Troy St.	1 - 0	0.318
107	107	Hawaii	0 - 1	0.284
108	108	San Jose St.	0 - 1	0.281
109	112	Texas St.	1 - 0	0.280
110	109	Buffalo	0 - 1	0.258
111	116	Colorado St.	1 - 0	0.238
112	119	New Mexico St.	1 - 0	0.237
113	111	Nevada-Las Vegas	0 - 1	0.230
114	120	Florida Atlantic	1 - 0	0.230
115	110	South Alabama	0 - 1	0.225
116	118	Texas-San Antonio	1 - 0	0.223
117	124	New Mexico	1 - 0	0.215
118	114	Tulane	0 - 1	0.212
119	113	AL-Birmingham	0 - 1	0.205
120	117	Middle Tennessee St.	0 - 1	0.185
121	115	Idaho	0 - 1	0.185
122	122	Memphis	0 - 1	0.176
123	123	Massachusetts	0 - 1	0.170
124	121	Wild Card U.	5 - 31	0.168
125	125	Akron	0 - 1	0.126
126	126	Georgia St.	0 - 1	0.069

2012 conference power ratings:

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