ARGH 2018 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2018 season as of 9-4-18. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.

The estimated home field advantage is .563, or about 3.27 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 9-4-18

This WeekLast Week Team 2018 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Clemson 1 - 0 0.859 0
2 2 Michigan St. 1 - 0 0.849 0
3 3 Wisconsin 1 - 0 0.842 0
4 4 Alabama 1 - 0 0.838 0
5 5 Notre Dame 1 - 0 0.832 0
6 6 Ohio St. 1 - 0 0.816 0
7 8 Georgia 1 - 0 0.787 0
8 11 Stanford 1 - 0 0.786 0
9 14 Auburn 1 - 0 0.780 0
10 13 Oklahoma 1 - 0 0.778 0
11 9 Penn State 1 - 0 0.778 0
12 7 Washington 0 - 1 0.777 0
13 16 Boise State 1 - 0 0.765 0
14 15 Southern California 1 - 0 0.758 0
15 17 Iowa 1 - 0 0.755 0
16 12 Michigan 0 - 1 0.743 0
17 19 Northwestern 1 - 0 0.742 0
18 10 Miami, Florida 0 - 1 0.733 0
19 22 Virginia Tech 1 - 0 0.723 0
20 18 Mississippi St. 1 - 0 0.716 0
21 20 Central Florida 1 - 0 0.711 0
22 27 Duke 1 - 0 0.690 0
23 21 Boston College 1 - 0 0.689 0
24 34 Louisiana St. 1 - 0 0.684 0
25 24 South Carolina 1 - 0 0.674 0
26 33 Wake Forest 1 - 0 0.667 0
27 23 Florida 1 - 0 0.664 0
28 25 Oklahoma St. 1 - 0 0.660 0
29 28 Missouri 1 - 0 0.653 0
30 29 Georgia Tech 1 - 0 0.648 0
31 40 West Virginia 1 - 0 0.645 0
32 30 Texas Christian 1 - 0 0.643 0
33 32 Texas A&M 1 - 0 0.642 0
34 26 Florida St. 0 - 1 0.638 0
35 35 Purdue 0 - 1 0.628 0
36 31 Texas 0 - 1 0.625 0
37 46 California 1 - 0 0.618 0
38 36 Utah 1 - 0 0.618 0
39 44 Oregon 1 - 0 0.615 0
40 49 Maryland 1 - 0 0.611 0
41 43 Iowa St. 0 - 0 0.611 0
42 37 Louisville 0 - 1 0.611 0
43 39 North Carolina St. 1 - 0 0.606 0
44 42 Memphis 1 - 0 0.605 0
45 41 San Diego St. 0 - 1 0.602 0
46 50 Kentucky 1 - 0 0.593 0
47 38 Texas Tech 0 - 1 0.592 0
48 52 Syracuse 1 - 0 0.590 0
49 48 Fresno St. 1 - 0 0.585 0
50 54 Minnesota 1 - 0 0.572 0
51 55 Arizona St. 1 - 0 0.572 0
52 45 Arizona 0 - 1 0.568 0
53 51 Arkansas 1 - 0 0.568 0
54 57 North Texas 1 - 0 0.565 0
55 53 Nebraska 0 - 0 0.561 0
56 60 Washington St. 1 - 0 0.559 0
57 62 Mississippi 1 - 0 0.558 0
58 56 Utah St. 0 - 1 0.556 0
59 63 Marshall 1 - 0 0.544 0
60 47 Wyoming 1 - 1 0.542 0
61 59 Toledo 1 - 0 0.528 0
62 66 Louisiana Tech 1 - 0 0.526 0
63 61 Pittsburgh 1 - 0 0.525 0
64 58 Florida Atlantic 0 - 1 0.523 0
65 74 Colorado 1 - 0 0.511 0
66 65 Troy 0 - 1 0.502 0
67 64 Kansas St. 1 - 0 0.502 0
68 67 Northern Illinois 0 - 1 0.498 0
69 69 Tulane 0 - 1 0.495 0
70 72 Army 0 - 1 0.492 0
71 73 North Carolina 0 - 1 0.492 0
72 86 Vanderbilt 1 - 0 0.489 0
73 78 Indiana 1 - 0 0.489 0
74 70 Western Michigan 0 - 1 0.488 0
75 77 South Florida 1 - 0 0.485 0
76 79 Rutgers 1 - 0 0.483 0
77 76 Ohio 1 - 0 0.477 0
78 68 Navy 0 - 1 0.469 0
79 71 UCLA 0 - 1 0.469 0
80 84 Virginia 1 - 0 0.469 0
81 75 Tennessee 0 - 1 0.466 0
82 85 Nevada 1 - 0 0.463 0
83 87 Houston 1 - 0 0.456 0
84 88 Baylor 1 - 0 0.453 0
85 97 Brigham Young 1 - 0 0.453 0
86 81 Southern Methodist 0 - 1 0.452 0
87 83 Miami, Ohio 0 - 1 0.447 0
88 90 Appalachian St. 0 - 1 0.446 0
89 80 Middle Tennessee 0 - 1 0.439 0
90 89 Illinois 1 - 0 0.436 0
91 95 Air Force 1 - 0 0.431 0
92 102 Cincinnati 1 - 0 0.429 0
93 96 Buffalo 1 - 0 0.428 0
94 94 Arkansas St. 1 - 0 0.428 0
95 92 Tulsa 1 - 0 0.426 0
96 100 Eastern Michigan 1 - 0 0.417 0
97 82 Temple 0 - 1 0.415 0
98 98 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 1 0.411 0
99 103 AL-Birmingham 1 - 0 0.407 0
100 99 LA-Monroe 1 - 0 0.405 0
101 101 Akron 0 - 0 0.394 0
102 104 Georgia Southern 1 - 0 0.392 0
103 105 Southern Mississippi 1 - 0 0.389 0
104 93 Old Dominion 0 - 1 0.380 0
105 91 Kansas 0 - 1 0.379 0
106 106 Massachusetts 1 - 1 0.370 0
107 120 Hawaii 2 - 0 0.344 0
108 115 Charlotte 1 - 0 0.327 0
109 111 Oregon St. 0 - 1 0.325 0
110 109 Central Michigan 0 - 1 0.323 0
111 110 South Alabama 0 - 1 0.322 0
112 112 Western Kentucky 0 - 1 0.322 0
113 117 Georgia St. 1 - 0 0.294 0
114 116 Bowling Green 0 - 1 0.293 0
115 107 New Mexico St. 0 - 2 0.291 0
116 118 New Mexico 1 - 0 0.290 0
117 114 Florida International 0 - 1 0.290 0
118 113 Texas-San Antonio 0 - 1 0.290 0
119 108 Colorado St. 0 - 2 0.288 0
120 124 Ball St. 1 - 0 0.270 0
121 128 Liberty 1 - 0 0.252 0
122 127 Louisiana 1 - 0 0.251 0
123 122 Connecticut 0 - 1 0.247 0
124 119 East Carolina 0 - 1 0.236 0
125 121 San Jose St. 0 - 1 0.232 0
126 125 Coastal Carolina 0 - 1 0.224 0
127 123 Rice 1 - 1 0.221 0
128 129 Kent St. 0 - 1 0.205 0
129 130 Texas St. 0 - 1 0.181 0
130 126 Wild Card U. 5 - 38 0.163 0
131 131 Texas-El Paso 0 - 1 0.104 0

2018 conference power ratings:

Conference2018 Record Power Rating
Big Ten 10-1 .665
SEC 13-1 .651
ACC 9-3 .639
Pac-12 8-4 .598
Big Twelve 6-3 .589
Mountain West 7-6.459
AAC 5-5 .452
Independents 4-4 .448
MAC 5-6 .397
Conference USA 7-8.380
Sun Belt 5-5 .345

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