ARGH 2023 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2023 season after games of September 4. Teams currently included are the 133 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus Kennesaw State.

The estimated home field advantage is .555, or about 2.73 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 9-6-23

This WeekLast Week Team 2023 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Georgia 1 - 0 0.854 0
2 2 Michigan 1 - 0 0.820 0
3 3 Ohio St. 1 - 0 0.801 0
4 4 Alabama 1 - 0 0.792 0
5 5 Penn State 1 - 0 0.768 0
6 8 Tennessee 1 - 0 0.754 0
7 6 Texas 1 - 0 0.752 0
8 12 Florida St. 1 - 0 0.749 0
9 15 Southern California 2 - 0 0.746 0
10 10 Utah 1 - 0 0.741 0
11 11 Notre Dame 2 - 0 0.727 0
12 9 Louisiana St. 0 - 1 0.705 0
13 7 Clemson 0 - 1 0.701 0
14 13 Oregon 1 - 0 0.697 0
15 14 Kansas St. 1 - 0 0.695 0
16 18 Oklahoma 1 - 0 0.687 0
17 22 Washington 1 - 0 0.686 0
18 16 Mississippi 1 - 0 0.686 0
19 21 Iowa 1 - 0 0.675 0
20 19 Texas A&M 1 - 0 0.673 0
21 24 Oregon St. 1 - 0 0.670 0
22 27 North Carolina 1 - 0 0.662 0
23 25 Minnesota 1 - 0 0.651 0
24 36 Tulane 1 - 0 0.647 0
25 17 Texas Christian 0 - 1 0.647 0
26 23 Mississippi St. 1 - 0 0.642 0
27 28 Illinois 1 - 0 0.641 0
28 20 Texas Tech 0 - 1 0.639 0
29 30 Wisconsin 1 - 0 0.639 0
30 32 Central Florida 1 - 0 0.636 0
31 35 Kentucky 1 - 0 0.636 0
32 39 UCLA 1 - 0 0.631 0
33 38 North Carolina St. 1 - 0 0.625 0
34 42 Michigan St. 1 - 0 0.625 0
35 34 Auburn 1 - 0 0.621 0
36 41 Louisville 1 - 0 0.618 0
37 29 Arkansas 1 - 0 0.617 0
38 26 Texas-San Antonio 0 - 1 0.614 0
39 55 Duke 1 - 0 0.614 0
40 31 Iowa St. 1 - 0 0.613 0
41 49 Houston 1 - 0 0.607 0
42 37 Wake Forest 1 - 0 0.600 0
43 40 Pittsburgh 1 - 0 0.600 0
44 51 Miami, Florida 1 - 0 0.599 0
45 56 Fresno St. 1 - 0 0.588 0
46 44 Oklahoma St. 1 - 0 0.587 0
47 47 Maryland 1 - 0 0.586 0
48 46 Missouri 1 - 0 0.585 0
49 43 South Carolina 0 - 1 0.584 0
50 45 Florida 0 - 1 0.581 0
51 33 Baylor 0 - 1 0.572 0
52 54 Southern Methodist 1 - 0 0.572 0
53 60 Brigham Young 1 - 0 0.572 0
54 59 Washington St. 1 - 0 0.569 0
55 48 Boise State 0 - 1 0.566 0
56 52 Kansas 1 - 0 0.560 0
57 50 Purdue 0 - 1 0.554 0
58 58 Syracuse 1 - 0 0.552 0
59 57 Cincinnati 1 - 0 0.552 0
60 53 South Alabama 0 - 1 0.547 0
61 62 Air Force 1 - 0 0.546 0
62 61 West Virginia 0 - 1 0.538 0
63 63 Troy 1 - 0 0.535 0
64 70 California 1 - 0 0.526 0
65 65 East Carolina 0 - 1 0.511 0
66 64 Nebraska 0 - 1 0.511 0
67 66 James Madison 1 - 0 0.509 0
68 69 Memphis 1 - 0 0.501 0
69 71 Louisiana 1 - 0 0.495 0
70 72 Toledo 0 - 1 0.492 0
71 68 Marshall 1 - 0 0.491 0
72 73 San Diego St. 2 - 0 0.489 0
73 77 Rutgers 1 - 0 0.489 0
74 76 Vanderbilt 2 - 0 0.487 0
75 78 Western Kentucky 1 - 0 0.483 0
76 74 Coastal Carolina 0 - 1 0.478 0
77 75 Appalachian St. 1 - 0 0.477 0
78 87 Wyoming 1 - 0 0.473 0
79 67 Army 0 - 1 0.470 0
80 79 Arizona 1 - 0 0.469 0
81 85 Virginia Tech 1 - 0 0.455 0
82 80 Virginia 0 - 1 0.445 0
83 81 Arizona St. 1 - 0 0.442 0
84 86 Florida Atlantic 1 - 0 0.440 0
85 82 Georgia Tech 0 - 1 0.438 0
86 88 Southern Mississippi 1 - 0 0.431 0
87 89 AL-Birmingham 1 - 0 0.431 0
88 83 Navy 0 - 1 0.429 0
89 94 Liberty 1 - 0 0.420 0
90 90 Ohio 1 - 1 0.411 0
91 84 Boston College 0 - 1 0.411 0
92 96 Eastern Michigan 1 - 0 0.399 0
93 93 Indiana 0 - 1 0.398 0
94 95 Middle Tennessee 0 - 1 0.397 0
95 101 Stanford 1 - 0 0.397 0
96 97 Georgia St. 1 - 0 0.395 0
97 112 Colorado 1 - 0 0.395 0
98 92 Miami, Ohio 0 - 1 0.393 0
99 103 Tulsa 1 - 0 0.389 0
100 104 Georgia Southern 1 - 0 0.388 0
101 91 North Texas 0 - 1 0.384 0
102 120 Jacksonville St. 2 - 0 0.382 0
103 108 Northern Illinois 1 - 0 0.379 0
104 102 Utah St. 0 - 1 0.375 0
105 100 Buffalo 0 - 1 0.372 0
106 98 Central Michigan 0 - 1 0.372 0
107 99 San Jose St. 0 - 2 0.370 0
108 105 Rice 0 - 1 0.368 0
109 110 Western Michigan 1 - 0 0.361 0
110 109 Temple 1 - 0 0.359 0
111 119 LA-Monroe 1 - 0 0.358 0
112 115 Texas-El Paso 1 - 1 0.350 0
113 106 Ball St. 0 - 1 0.348 0
114 111 Connecticut 0 - 1 0.338 0
115 121 Nevada-Las Vegas 1 - 0 0.335 0
116 127 Texas St. 1 - 0 0.333 0
117 107 Louisiana Tech 1 - 1 0.325 0
118 117 Nevada 0 - 1 0.324 0
119 114 South Florida 0 - 1 0.322 0
120 125 New Mexico St. 1 - 1 0.314 0
121 113 Northwestern 0 - 1 0.314 0
122 116 Bowling Green 0 - 1 0.311 0
123 118 Old Dominion 0 - 1 0.303 0
124 122 Arkansas St. 0 - 1 0.303 0
125 123 Kent St. 0 - 1 0.299 0
126 124 Colorado St. 0 - 1 0.293 0
127 132 Charlotte 1 - 0 0.276 0
128 130 Florida International 1 - 1 0.266 0
129 129 Massachusetts 1 - 1 0.257 0
130 128 Sam Houston St. 0 - 1 0.253 0
131 131 Akron 0 - 1 0.245 0
132 126 Hawaii 0 - 2 0.243 0
133 133 New Mexico 0 - 1 0.216 0
134 135 Kennesaw St. 1 - 0 0.206 0
135 134 Wild Card U. 0 - 43 0.129 0

2023 conference power ratings:

Conference2023 Record Power Rating
SEC 12-3 .658
Big Twelve 10-4 .618
Big Ten 7-1 .605
Pac-12 13-0 .581
ACC 8-2 .576
Independents 3-3 .448
AAC 8-6 .446
Sun Belt 10-4 .432
Mountain West 6-9.402
MAC 4-9 .365
Conference USA 6-4.354

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