ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the preliminary ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams included are the 76 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a full(ish) fall schedule, plus Air Force, who has a two game schedule against the other service academies. Teams that decide to play a fall schedule later will be added once their scheduling is official. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

The estimated home field advantage is .563, or about 3.42 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 9-13-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2020 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Clemson 1 - 0 0.839 0
2 2 Notre Dame 1 - 0 0.778 0
3 5 Alabama 0 - 0 0.775 0
4 6 Texas A&M 0 - 0 0.772 0
5 7 Georgia 0 - 0 0.762 0
6 8 Florida 0 - 0 0.755 0
7 3 Texas 1 - 0 0.753 0
8 9 Oklahoma St. 0 - 0 0.749 0
9 4 Oklahoma 1 - 0 0.746 0
10 10 Tennessee 0 - 0 0.732 0
11 11 Cincinnati 0 - 0 0.723 0
12 12 Auburn 0 - 0 0.720 0
13 13 Louisiana St. 0 - 0 0.701 0
14 14 North Carolina 1 - 0 0.691 0
15 15 Central Florida 0 - 0 0.681 0
16 16 Kentucky 0 - 0 0.674 0
17 17 Memphis 1 - 0 0.668 0
18 18 Appalachian St. 1 - 0 0.667 0
19 19 Virginia Tech 0 - 0 0.664 0
20 21 Virginia 0 - 0 0.627 0
21 29 Louisiana 1 - 0 0.624 0
22 22 Brigham Young 1 - 0 0.622 0
23 27 Louisville 1 - 0 0.613 0
24 24 Houston 0 - 0 0.607 0
25 23 Pittsburgh 1 - 0 0.602 0
26 26 South Carolina 0 - 0 0.599 0
27 20 Iowa St. 0 - 1 0.597 0
28 28 Southern Methodist 1 - 0 0.583 0
29 34 Georgia Tech 1 - 0 0.581 0
30 31 Boston College 0 - 0 0.572 0
31 25 Florida St. 0 - 1 0.570 0
32 32 Baylor 0 - 0 0.569 0
33 30 Texas Tech 1 - 0 0.552 0
34 35 West Virginia 1 - 0 0.539 0
35 36 North Carolina St. 0 - 0 0.529 0
36 52 Army 2 - 0 0.518 0
37 37 Temple 0 - 0 0.514 0
38 47 Arkansas St. 1 - 1 0.512 0
39 38 Texas Christian 0 - 0 0.509 0
40 39 Marshall 1 - 0 0.508 0
41 40 Mississippi St. 0 - 0 0.504 0
42 44 Tulane 1 - 0 0.500 0
43 41 Navy 0 - 1 0.498 0
44 33 AL-Birmingham 1 - 1 0.490 0
45 50 Miami, Florida 1 - 0 0.484 0
46 42 Western Kentucky 0 - 1 0.480 0
47 46 Mississippi 0 - 0 0.480 0
48 45 Georgia Southern 1 - 0 0.476 0
49 43 Kansas St. 0 - 1 0.471 0
50 48 Florida Atlantic 0 - 0 0.470 0
51 49 Air Force 0 - 0 0.468 0
52 51 Missouri 0 - 0 0.446 0
53 58 Coastal Carolina 1 - 0 0.437 0
54 53 Vanderbilt 0 - 0 0.435 0
55 55 Tulsa 0 - 0 0.434 0
56 56 Wake Forest 0 - 1 0.431 0
57 57 Duke 0 - 1 0.428 0
58 54 Syracuse 0 - 1 0.423 0
59 62 South Florida 1 - 0 0.417 0
60 61 Middle Tennessee 0 - 1 0.401 0
61 60 Charlotte 0 - 1 0.399 0
62 59 East Carolina 0 - 0 0.397 0
63 63 Southern Mississippi 0 - 1 0.388 0
64 64 Rice 0 - 0 0.354 0
65 65 Georgia St. 0 - 0 0.351 0
66 66 Arkansas 0 - 0 0.348 0
67 70 South Alabama 1 - 1 0.331 0
68 67 Troy 0 - 0 0.328 0
69 68 North Texas 1 - 0 0.327 0
70 69 Kansas 0 - 1 0.306 0
71 74 Texas-San Antonio 1 - 0 0.301 0
72 71 LA-Monroe 0 - 1 0.299 0
73 72 Louisiana Tech 0 - 0 0.289 0
74 73 Florida International 0 - 0 0.278 0
75 76 Liberty 0 - 0 0.261 0
76 75 Texas St. 0 - 2 0.235 0
77 77 Wild Card U. 0 - 10 0.206 0
78 78 Texas-El Paso 1 - 1 0.162 0

2019 conference power ratings:

Conference2020 Record Power Rating
SEC 0-0 .622
ACC 3-0 .589
Big Twelve 4-3 .579
AAC 4-1 .548
Independents 3-0 .467
Sun Belt 6-5 .426
Conference USA 5-6.373

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