ARGH 2012 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2012 season after games of September 15. Teams included are the 124 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus one team that will be starting FBS play in 2013.

The estimated home field advantage is .567, or about 3.75 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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This Week	Last Week	Team	2012 Record	Power Rating
1	1	Alabama	3 - 0	0.912
2	6	Notre Dame	3 - 0	0.854
3	2	Louisiana St.	3 - 0	0.851
4	3	Oklahoma	2 - 0	0.833
5	7	Stanford	3 - 0	0.830
6	10	Florida	3 - 0	0.821
7	5	South Carolina	3 - 0	0.816
8	14	Ohio St.	3 - 0	0.786
9	4	Southern California	2 - 1	0.779
10	9	Georgia	3 - 0	0.778
11	15	Florida St.	3 - 0	0.773
12	12	Texas	3 - 0	0.769
13	8	Michigan St.	2 - 1	0.761
14	19	Kansas St.	3 - 0	0.757
15	13	Clemson	3 - 0	0.756
16	11	Oregon	3 - 0	0.752
17	18	Nebraska	2 - 1	0.738
18	21	Oklahoma St.	2 - 1	0.736
19	16	West Virginia	2 - 0	0.733
20	22	Michigan	2 - 1	0.730
21	30	UCLA	3 - 0	0.723
22	24	Texas Christian	2 - 0	0.720
23	25	Mississippi St.	3 - 0	0.716
24	31	Texas A&M	1 - 1	0.710
25	23	Baylor	2 - 0	0.706
26	27	Boise State	1 - 1	0.704
27	17	Tennessee	2 - 1	0.703
28	38	Rutgers	3 - 0	0.699
29	28	Iowa St.	3 - 0	0.699
30	32	Texas Tech	3 - 0	0.691
31	29	Missouri	2 - 1	0.674
32	37	Louisville	3 - 0	0.665
33	36	Utah	2 - 1	0.660
34	39	North Carolina St.	2 - 1	0.650
35	26	Auburn	1 - 2	0.650
36	42	Georgia Tech	2 - 1	0.644
37	20	Virginia Tech	2 - 1	0.644
38	47	Arizona	3 - 0	0.642
39	50	Ohio	3 - 0	0.638
40	45	Northwestern	3 - 0	0.636
41	40	Cincinnati	2 - 0	0.627
42	35	Brigham Young	2 - 1	0.621
43	46	Purdue	2 - 1	0.617
44	51	Vanderbilt	1 - 2	0.614
45	41	Wisconsin	2 - 1	0.613
46	53	Connecticut	2 - 1	0.606
47	44	Washington	2 - 1	0.594
48	54	Arizona St.	2 - 1	0.591
49	34	South Florida	2 - 1	0.590
50	48	Tulsa	2 - 1	0.588
51	62	Central Florida	2 - 1	0.587
52	43	Iowa	2 - 1	0.582
53	59	Louisiana Tech	2 - 0	0.578
54	33	Arkansas	1 - 2	0.577
55	49	Oregon St.	1 - 0	0.571
56	73	Penn State	1 - 2	0.561
57	67	Illinois	2 - 1	0.554
58	58	Miami, Florida	2 - 1	0.549
59	57	Northern Illinois	2 - 1	0.549
60	56	Nevada	2 - 1	0.544
61	65	Utah St.	2 - 1	0.542
62	76	Western Kentucky	2 - 1	0.541
63	52	North Carolina	1 - 2	0.531
64	80	Duke	2 - 1	0.523
65	75	Toledo	2 - 1	0.520
66	78	Minnesota	3 - 0	0.518
67	61	California	1 - 2	0.514
68	55	Virginia	2 - 1	0.511
69	60	San Diego St.	2 - 1	0.508
70	86	East Carolina	2 - 1	0.503
71	68	LA-Lafayette	2 - 1	0.495
72	66	Maryland	2 - 1	0.485
73	69	Syracuse	1 - 2	0.485
74	70	Kentucky	1 - 2	0.485
75	63	Mississippi	2 - 1	0.478
76	71	Boston College	1 - 2	0.467
77	88	Ball St.	2 - 1	0.463
78	94	Pittsburgh	1 - 2	0.450
79	96	Fresno St.	2 - 1	0.450
80	82	Miami, Ohio	1 - 2	0.445
81	64	Southern Mississippi	0 - 2	0.444
82	101	San Jose St.	2 - 1	0.442
83	77	Marshall	1 - 2	0.438
84	99	LA-Monroe	1 - 1	0.437
85	81	Bowling Green	1 - 2	0.437
86	85	Indiana	2 - 1	0.436
87	83	Florida International	1 - 2	0.430
88	72	Wake Forest	2 - 1	0.430
89	89	North Texas	1 - 2	0.419
90	92	Kent	1 - 1	0.419
91	74	Houston	0 - 3	0.417
92	79	Southern Methodist	1 - 2	0.415
93	95	Temple	1 - 1	0.414
94	93	Central Michigan	1 - 1	0.414
95	84	Western Michigan	1 - 2	0.413
96	90	Air Force	1 - 1	0.409
97	87	Arkansas St.	1 - 2	0.402
98	91	Navy	0 - 2	0.395
99	100	Rice	1 - 2	0.384
100	103	Washington St.	2 - 1	0.376
101	107	Texas-San Antonio	3 - 0	0.371
102	108	Hawaii	1 - 1	0.365
103	105	Troy St.	1 - 2	0.361
104	106	Texas-El Paso	1 - 2	0.354
105	98	Army	0 - 2	0.345
106	102	Kansas	1 - 2	0.344
107	104	Buffalo	1 - 1	0.324
108	97	Wyoming	0 - 3	0.316
109	109	Texas St.	1 - 1	0.288
110	115	Middle Tennessee St.	2 - 1	0.286
111	110	New Mexico St.	1 - 2	0.285
112	113	New Mexico	1 - 2	0.281
113	125	Akron	1 - 2	0.277
114	114	South Alabama	1 - 2	0.267
115	111	Eastern Michigan	0 - 3	0.236
116	117	AL-Birmingham	0 - 2	0.226
117	119	Florida Atlantic	1 - 2	0.222
118	118	Tulane	0 - 2	0.218
119	116	Colorado St.	1 - 2	0.201
120	112	Colorado	0 - 3	0.193
121	120	Nevada-Las Vegas	0 - 3	0.191
122	124	Massachusetts	0 - 3	0.175
123	122	Idaho	0 - 3	0.174
124	123	Wild Card U.	10 - 72	0.169
125	121	Memphis	0 - 3	0.156
126	126	Georgia St.	0 - 3	0.088

2012 conference power ratings:

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