ARGH 2012 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2012 season after games of September 29. Teams included are the 124 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus one team that will be starting FBS play in 2013.

The estimated home field advantage is .568, or about 3.82 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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This Week	Last Week	Team	2012 Record	Power Rating
1	1	Alabama	5 - 0	0.915
2	4	South Carolina	5 - 0	0.887
3	2	Notre Dame	4 - 0	0.882
4	5	Florida	4 - 0	0.859
5	3	Louisiana St.	5 - 0	0.858
6	7	Georgia	5 - 0	0.855
7	8	Florida St.	5 - 0	0.852
8	11	Ohio St.	5 - 0	0.844
9	9	Oregon	5 - 0	0.836
10	13	Texas	4 - 0	0.831
11	10	Kansas St.	4 - 0	0.822
12	6	Stanford	3 - 1	0.807
13	16	Texas Christian	4 - 0	0.789
14	29	Texas Tech	4 - 0	0.785
15	12	Southern California	3 - 1	0.784
16	14	Oklahoma	2 - 1	0.773
17	17	West Virginia	4 - 0	0.761
18	20	Nebraska	4 - 1	0.760
19	18	Mississippi St.	4 - 0	0.750
20	26	Texas A&M	3 - 1	0.746
21	15	Michigan St.	3 - 2	0.745
22	24	Louisville	5 - 0	0.738
23	23	Clemson	4 - 1	0.738
24	33	Arizona St.	4 - 1	0.736
25	22	Boise State	3 - 1	0.732
26	27	UCLA	4 - 1	0.720
27	38	Oregon St.	3 - 0	0.719
28	21	Rutgers	4 - 0	0.716
29	19	Oklahoma St.	2 - 2	0.711
30	36	Missouri	3 - 2	0.710
31	35	Northwestern	5 - 0	0.703
32	41	Cincinnati	3 - 0	0.699
33	32	Michigan	2 - 2	0.691
34	28	Iowa St.	3 - 1	0.689
35	34	Ohio	5 - 0	0.681
36	39	Louisiana Tech	4 - 0	0.678
37	25	Baylor	3 - 1	0.673
38	46	Brigham Young	3 - 2	0.669
39	53	Washington	3 - 1	0.661
40	50	Western Kentucky	4 - 1	0.659
41	42	Purdue	3 - 1	0.655
42	30	Tennessee	3 - 2	0.654
43	31	Virginia Tech	3 - 2	0.646
44	44	Miami, Florida	4 - 1	0.645
45	45	Tulsa	4 - 1	0.643
46	56	Penn State	3 - 2	0.640
47	43	Arizona	3 - 2	0.626
48	49	Nevada	4 - 1	0.626
49	52	North Carolina	3 - 2	0.621
50	40	Wisconsin	3 - 2	0.609
51	37	North Carolina St.	3 - 2	0.607
52	57	Utah St.	4 - 1	0.605
53	64	San Jose St.	4 - 1	0.600
54	55	Utah	2 - 2	0.596
55	60	Northern Illinois	4 - 1	0.595
56	51	Auburn	1 - 3	0.594
57	54	Central Florida	2 - 2	0.593
58	68	Toledo	4 - 1	0.585
59	66	Iowa	3 - 2	0.584
60	63	Duke	4 - 1	0.580
61	69	LA-Lafayette	3 - 1	0.576
62	59	Vanderbilt	1 - 3	0.561
63	47	Minnesota	4 - 1	0.560
64	61	Mississippi	3 - 2	0.556
65	62	Connecticut	3 - 2	0.551
66	72	Fresno St.	3 - 2	0.547
67	48	Georgia Tech	2 - 3	0.520
68	88	Troy St.	3 - 2	0.515
69	90	LA-Monroe	2 - 2	0.512
70	85	Texas-San Antonio	5 - 0	0.511
71	58	South Florida	2 - 3	0.510
72	71	Pittsburgh	2 - 2	0.504
73	84	Kent	3 - 1	0.495
74	65	Ball St.	3 - 2	0.494
75	76	Kentucky	1 - 4	0.481
76	87	East Carolina	3 - 2	0.479
77	70	California	1 - 4	0.470
78	83	Maryland	2 - 2	0.464
79	91	Miami, Ohio	3 - 2	0.456
80	77	Boston College	1 - 3	0.454
81	78	Marshall	2 - 3	0.453
82	82	Arkansas St.	2 - 3	0.445
83	86	Syracuse	1 - 3	0.442
84	79	Virginia	2 - 3	0.440
85	67	Illinois	2 - 3	0.436
86	89	Indiana	2 - 2	0.435
87	81	San Diego St.	2 - 3	0.432
88	93	Houston	1 - 3	0.428
89	75	Wake Forest	3 - 2	0.427
90	97	North Texas	2 - 3	0.423
91	80	Central Michigan	2 - 2	0.422
92	102	Bowling Green	2 - 3	0.418
93	74	Western Michigan	2 - 3	0.415
94	112	Middle Tennessee St.	3 - 1	0.406
95	96	Temple	1 - 2	0.405
96	73	Arkansas	1 - 4	0.405
97	100	Air Force	2 - 2	0.397
98	103	New Mexico	2 - 3	0.397
99	95	Southern Methodist	1 - 3	0.386
100	92	Navy	1 - 3	0.365
101	94	Florida International	1 - 4	0.359
102	106	Texas St.	2 - 2	0.341
103	98	Southern Mississippi	0 - 4	0.340
104	108	Wyoming	1 - 3	0.331
105	105	Kansas	1 - 3	0.329
106	109	Buffalo	1 - 3	0.324
107	107	Washington St.	2 - 3	0.319
108	101	Texas-El Paso	1 - 4	0.317
109	99	Rice	1 - 4	0.313
110	104	Hawaii	1 - 3	0.293
111	110	Akron	1 - 4	0.282
112	114	AL-Birmingham	0 - 4	0.281
113	116	Florida Atlantic	1 - 4	0.234
114	117	Nevada-Las Vegas	1 - 4	0.230
115	113	South Alabama	1 - 4	0.228
116	115	New Mexico St.	1 - 4	0.225
117	118	Eastern Michigan	0 - 4	0.220
118	119	Colorado	1 - 4	0.209
119	111	Army	0 - 4	0.200
120	120	Colorado St.	1 - 4	0.186
121	121	Tulane	0 - 4	0.156
122	124	Memphis	0 - 4	0.154
123	122	Wild Card U.	13 - 85	0.148
124	125	Massachusetts	0 - 5	0.142
125	123	Idaho	0 - 5	0.115
126	126	Georgia St.	0 - 5	0.054

2012 conference power ratings:

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