ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the preliminary ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 113 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a full(ish) fall schedule and have schedules available. The MAC and Massachusetts will be added once their schedules are released. At this point, I have not heard that Connecticut, New Mexico State, or Old Dominion will be playing. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4.

The estimated home field advantage is .560, or about 3.27 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 10-4-20

This Week	Last Week	Team	2020 Record	Power Rating	SOS
1	1	Ohio St.	0 - 0	0.857	0
2	2	Clemson	3 - 0	0.828	0
3	8	Georgia	2 - 0	0.820	0
4	7	Oklahoma St.	3 - 0	0.815	0
5	5	Alabama	2 - 0	0.811	0
6	3	Wisconsin	0 - 0	0.807	0
7	10	Florida	2 - 0	0.785	0
8	4	Penn State	0 - 0	0.783	0
9	13	Tennessee	2 - 0	0.774	0
10	6	Notre Dame	2 - 0	0.773	0
11	19	Brigham Young	3 - 0	0.744	0
12	0	Southern California	0 - 0	0.738	0
13	20	North Carolina	2 - 0	0.728	0
14	18	Cincinnati	3 - 0	0.720	0
15	0	Oregon	0 - 0	0.708	0
16	16	Indiana	0 - 0	0.700	0
17	17	Louisiana	3 - 0	0.696	0
18	23	Virginia Tech	2 - 0	0.694	0
19	0	California	0 - 0	0.691	0
20	12	Auburn	1 - 1	0.688	0
21	22	Iowa	0 - 0	0.678	0
22	30	Southern Methodist	4 - 0	0.677	0
23	0	Stanford	0 - 0	0.673	0
24	24	Minnesota	0 - 0	0.673	0
25	21	Miami, Florida	3 - 0	0.668	0
26	26	Michigan	0 - 0	0.667	0
27	9	Texas A&M	1 - 1	0.666	0
28	11	Texas	2 - 1	0.660	0
29	15	Pittsburgh	3 - 1	0.658	0
30	28	Louisiana St.	1 - 1	0.645	0
31	14	Central Florida	2 - 1	0.639	0
32	37	Iowa St.	2 - 1	0.635	0
33	0	Arizona St.	0 - 0	0.619	0
34	0	Boise State	0 - 0	0.617	0
35	25	Memphis	1 - 1	0.616	0
36	0	Utah	0 - 0	0.616	0
37	33	Northwestern	0 - 0	0.614	0
38	34	Houston	0 - 0	0.612	0
39	43	West Virginia	2 - 1	0.609	0
40	32	Marshall	2 - 0	0.608	0
41	36	Purdue	0 - 0	0.604	0
42	31	Virginia	1 - 1	0.590	0
43	35	Appalachian St.	2 - 1	0.590	0
44	47	North Carolina St.	2 - 1	0.586	0
45	38	Boston College	2 - 1	0.584	0
46	40	Nebraska	0 - 0	0.574	0
47	27	Oklahoma	1 - 2	0.573	0
48	0	Washington	0 - 0	0.567	0
49	41	Baylor	1 - 1	0.564	0
50	29	Kentucky	0 - 2	0.564	0
51	60	Coastal Carolina	3 - 0	0.562	0
52	39	South Carolina	0 - 2	0.561	0
53	44	AL-Birmingham	3 - 1	0.561	0
54	56	Mississippi	1 - 1	0.555	0
55	0	Washington St.	0 - 0	0.553	0
56	53	Texas Christian	1 - 1	0.550	0
57	66	Tulsa	1 - 1	0.542	0
58	48	Kansas St.	2 - 1	0.540	0
59	42	Mississippi St.	1 - 1	0.537	0
60	0	Colorado	0 - 0	0.533	0
61	46	Illinois	0 - 0	0.531	0
62	58	Air Force	1 - 0	0.529	0
63	50	Temple	0 - 0	0.519	0
64	45	Louisville	1 - 2	0.518	0
65	54	Army	3 - 1	0.509	0
66	51	Tulane	2 - 1	0.502	0
67	57	Florida Atlantic	1 - 0	0.495	0
68	0	Arizona	0 - 0	0.468	0
69	0	Nevada	0 - 0	0.466	0
70	0	San Diego St.	0 - 0	0.464	0
71	69	Wake Forest	1 - 2	0.463	0
72	68	Liberty	3 - 0	0.460	0
73	0	Utah St.	0 - 0	0.459	0
74	49	Arkansas St.	1 - 2	0.457	0
75	0	UCLA	0 - 0	0.455	0
76	63	Syracuse	1 - 2	0.454	0
77	59	Georgia Southern	2 - 1	0.453	0
78	81	Arkansas	1 - 1	0.452	0
79	65	Missouri	0 - 2	0.446	0
80	78	Georgia St.	1 - 1	0.440	0
81	67	Maryland	0 - 0	0.434	0
82	0	Wyoming	0 - 0	0.432	0
83	52	Texas Tech	1 - 2	0.429	0
84	62	Georgia Tech	1 - 2	0.425	0
85	0	Oregon St.	0 - 0	0.417	0
86	61	Florida St.	1 - 2	0.412	0
87	55	Navy	1 - 2	0.408	0
88	76	Louisiana Tech	2 - 1	0.391	0
89	72	Texas-San Antonio	3 - 1	0.390	0
90	74	Rutgers	0 - 0	0.388	0
91	75	Michigan St.	0 - 0	0.381	0
92	64	Vanderbilt	0 - 2	0.380	0
93	71	Western Kentucky	1 - 2	0.377	0
94	77	Troy	1 - 1	0.372	0
95	0	Colorado St.	0 - 0	0.371	0
96	80	Rice	0 - 0	0.359	0
97	73	Charlotte	0 - 2	0.355	0
98	0	Fresno St.	0 - 0	0.342	0
99	0	Hawaii	0 - 0	0.337	0
100	70	East Carolina	0 - 2	0.337	0
101	79	South Florida	1 - 2	0.332	0
102	84	Texas St.	1 - 3	0.319	0
103	83	Duke	0 - 4	0.317	0
104	0	Nevada-Las Vegas	0 - 0	0.298	0
105	85	Florida International	0 - 1	0.297	0
106	0	San Jose St.	0 - 0	0.292	0
107	87	South Alabama	1 - 2	0.286	0
108	82	North Texas	1 - 2	0.284	0
109	86	Texas-El Paso	3 - 1	0.276	0
110	89	Southern Mississippi	1 - 3	0.269	0
111	88	Kansas	0 - 3	0.258	0
112	0	New Mexico	0 - 0	0.241	0
113	90	Middle Tennessee	0 - 4	0.182	0
114	91	Wild Card U.	0 - 22	0.154	0
115	92	LA-Monroe	0 - 4	0.144	0

2020 conference power ratings:

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