The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season as of October 10, 2016. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .556, or about 3.02 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 10-9-16
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Michigan | 6 - 0 | 0.917 | 16 |
2 | 1 | Alabama | 6 - 0 | 0.907 | 20 |
3 | 3 | Clemson | 6 - 0 | 0.900 | 17 |
4 | 4 | Ohio St. | 5 - 0 | 0.878 | 57 |
5 | 6 | Texas A&M | 6 - 0 | 0.870 | 9 |
6 | 7 | Washington | 6 - 0 | 0.860 | 87 |
7 | 5 | Tennessee | 5 - 1 | 0.827 | 1 |
8 | 9 | Wisconsin | 4 - 1 | 0.811 | 8 |
9 | 10 | Louisville | 4 - 1 | 0.791 | 29 |
10 | 11 | Western Michigan | 6 - 0 | 0.789 | 96 |
11 | 16 | Boise State | 5 - 0 | 0.787 | 77 |
12 | 13 | Nebraska | 5 - 0 | 0.784 | 83 |
13 | 18 | Auburn | 4 - 2 | 0.774 | 10 |
14 | 8 | Houston | 5 - 1 | 0.772 | 80 |
15 | 14 | Florida | 4 - 1 | 0.767 | 51 |
16 | 12 | Miami, Florida | 4 - 1 | 0.764 | 64 |
17 | 28 | Virginia Tech | 4 - 1 | 0.752 | 44 |
18 | 17 | Louisiana St. | 3 - 2 | 0.742 | 18 |
19 | 20 | West Virginia | 4 - 0 | 0.736 | 50 |
20 | 19 | Baylor | 5 - 0 | 0.731 | 126 |
21 | 27 | Florida St. | 4 - 2 | 0.722 | 4 |
22 | 24 | Mississippi | 3 - 2 | 0.716 | 12 |
23 | 21 | Colorado | 4 - 2 | 0.711 | 33 |
24 | 29 | Utah | 5 - 1 | 0.698 | 73 |
25 | 38 | North Carolina St. | 4 - 1 | 0.688 | 84 |
26 | 26 | Oklahoma | 3 - 2 | 0.684 | 13 |
27 | 33 | South Florida | 5 - 1 | 0.683 | 103 |
28 | 23 | Arkansas | 4 - 2 | 0.677 | 27 |
29 | 43 | Penn State | 4 - 2 | 0.675 | 11 |
30 | 15 | Stanford | 3 - 2 | 0.674 | 3 |
31 | 46 | Arizona St. | 5 - 1 | 0.674 | 47 |
32 | 37 | Memphis | 4 - 1 | 0.672 | 111 |
33 | 36 | Southern California | 3 - 3 | 0.672 | 2 |
34 | 31 | Troy | 4 - 1 | 0.666 | 79 |
35 | 25 | UCLA | 3 - 3 | 0.665 | 5 |
36 | 48 | Wake Forest | 5 - 1 | 0.664 | 67 |
37 | 30 | Maryland | 4 - 1 | 0.656 | 89 |
38 | 35 | Georgia | 4 - 2 | 0.653 | 14 |
39 | 22 | North Carolina | 4 - 2 | 0.652 | 25 |
40 | 60 | Washington St. | 3 - 2 | 0.650 | 49 |
41 | 57 | Navy | 4 - 1 | 0.645 | 60 |
42 | 55 | Toledo | 4 - 1 | 0.642 | 115 |
43 | 39 | Pittsburgh | 4 - 2 | 0.641 | 43 |
44 | 50 | Brigham Young | 3 - 3 | 0.640 | 6 |
45 | 34 | Oklahoma St. | 4 - 2 | 0.634 | 78 |
46 | 32 | Air Force | 4 - 1 | 0.633 | 92 |
47 | 41 | Appalachian St. | 3 - 2 | 0.633 | 19 |
48 | 42 | Kansas St. | 3 - 2 | 0.629 | 66 |
49 | 61 | San Diego St. | 4 - 1 | 0.595 | 117 |
50 | 51 | Missouri | 2 - 3 | 0.592 | 32 |
51 | 40 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 3 | 0.591 | 24 |
52 | 68 | Iowa | 4 - 2 | 0.577 | 122 |
53 | 54 | Indiana | 3 - 2 | 0.575 | 38 |
54 | 53 | Minnesota | 3 - 2 | 0.571 | 70 |
55 | 62 | Middle Tennessee | 4 - 1 | 0.571 | 121 |
56 | 49 | California | 3 - 3 | 0.571 | 23 |
57 | 59 | Texas Christian | 4 - 2 | 0.569 | 107 |
58 | 58 | Texas Tech | 3 - 2 | 0.567 | 82 |
59 | 65 | Central Michigan | 4 - 2 | 0.551 | 86 |
60 | 66 | Central Florida | 3 - 2 | 0.546 | 53 |
61 | 79 | Old Dominion | 4 - 2 | 0.539 | 106 |
62 | 83 | Wyoming | 4 - 2 | 0.538 | 69 |
63 | 67 | Tulsa | 4 - 1 | 0.537 | 119 |
64 | 45 | Georgia Southern | 3 - 2 | 0.537 | 110 |
65 | 70 | Northwestern | 2 - 3 | 0.533 | 40 |
66 | 52 | Mississippi St. | 2 - 3 | 0.531 | 35 |
67 | 63 | Temple | 3 - 3 | 0.531 | 99 |
68 | 47 | Southern Mississippi | 4 - 2 | 0.522 | 124 |
69 | 56 | Michigan St. | 2 - 3 | 0.511 | 34 |
70 | 64 | Texas | 2 - 3 | 0.509 | 45 |
71 | 75 | Akron | 4 - 2 | 0.504 | 98 |
72 | 69 | Oregon | 2 - 4 | 0.497 | 21 |
73 | 78 | Kentucky | 3 - 3 | 0.494 | 30 |
74 | 72 | Arizona | 2 - 4 | 0.490 | 22 |
75 | 87 | Duke | 3 - 3 | 0.488 | 88 |
76 | 73 | Notre Dame | 2 - 4 | 0.487 | 56 |
77 | 44 | Western Kentucky | 3 - 3 | 0.482 | 113 |
78 | 76 | Eastern Michigan | 4 - 2 | 0.481 | 105 |
79 | 82 | Tulane | 3 - 2 | 0.475 | 100 |
80 | 74 | Army | 3 - 2 | 0.474 | 127 |
81 | 80 | Ohio | 4 - 2 | 0.470 | 125 |
82 | 88 | Louisiana Tech | 3 - 3 | 0.469 | 95 |
83 | 71 | Boston College | 3 - 3 | 0.464 | 68 |
84 | 97 | Oregon St. | 2 - 3 | 0.463 | 31 |
85 | 92 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 4 | 0.442 | 28 |
86 | 102 | Colorado St. | 3 - 3 | 0.440 | 74 |
87 | 85 | South Alabama | 3 - 2 | 0.440 | 94 |
88 | 98 | Connecticut | 3 - 3 | 0.436 | 75 |
89 | 77 | Cincinnati | 3 - 3 | 0.431 | 97 |
90 | 91 | East Carolina | 2 - 4 | 0.429 | 36 |
91 | 81 | South Carolina | 2 - 4 | 0.429 | 15 |
92 | 84 | Utah St. | 2 - 4 | 0.428 | 48 |
93 | 100 | Purdue | 3 - 2 | 0.422 | 108 |
94 | 94 | Ball St. | 3 - 3 | 0.414 | 118 |
95 | 96 | Virginia | 2 - 3 | 0.410 | 81 |
96 | 90 | Syracuse | 2 - 4 | 0.408 | 37 |
97 | 113 | Texas-San Antonio | 2 - 3 | 0.406 | 76 |
98 | 86 | Illinois | 1 - 4 | 0.394 | 39 |
99 | 93 | Rutgers | 2 - 4 | 0.392 | 7 |
100 | 103 | Hawaii | 3 - 3 | 0.389 | 72 |
101 | 89 | Marshall | 1 - 4 | 0.376 | 62 |
102 | 95 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 4 | 0.375 | 91 |
103 | 105 | Idaho | 3 - 3 | 0.371 | 52 |
104 | 99 | New Mexico | 2 - 3 | 0.364 | 120 |
105 | 110 | North Texas | 3 - 3 | 0.358 | 114 |
106 | 119 | Georgia St. | 1 - 4 | 0.348 | 26 |
107 | 104 | LA-Lafayette | 2 - 3 | 0.342 | 101 |
108 | 106 | Southern Methodist | 2 - 4 | 0.337 | 63 |
109 | 115 | Kent | 2 - 4 | 0.336 | 93 |
110 | 107 | Northern Illinois | 1 - 5 | 0.333 | 42 |
111 | 101 | Texas St. | 2 - 3 | 0.330 | 58 |
112 | 108 | Nevada | 3 - 3 | 0.316 | 128 |
113 | 109 | Iowa St. | 1 - 5 | 0.302 | 65 |
114 | 123 | Arkansas St. | 1 - 4 | 0.298 | 54 |
115 | 114 | Kansas | 1 - 4 | 0.292 | 61 |
116 | 121 | Charlotte | 2 - 4 | 0.284 | 85 |
117 | 111 | New Mexico St. | 2 - 3 | 0.283 | 102 |
118 | 112 | LA-Monroe | 1 - 4 | 0.264 | 46 |
119 | 124 | Florida International | 2 - 4 | 0.258 | 116 |
120 | 117 | Massachusetts | 1 - 5 | 0.253 | 55 |
121 | 116 | Fresno St. | 1 - 5 | 0.253 | 71 |
122 | 120 | Bowling Green | 1 - 5 | 0.247 | 41 |
123 | 118 | San Jose St. | 1 - 5 | 0.239 | 109 |
124 | 122 | Florida Atlantic | 1 - 5 | 0.214 | 104 |
125 | 127 | Rice | 0 - 5 | 0.191 | 59 |
126 | 125 | Buffalo | 1 - 4 | 0.174 | 123 |
127 | 126 | Texas-El Paso | 1 - 5 | 0.163 | 112 |
128 | 128 | Miami, Ohio | 0 - 6 | 0.162 | 90 |
129 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 87 | 0.152 | 0 |
2016 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 28-7 | .673 |
ACC | 35-10 | .638 |
Pac-12 | 23-10 | .635 |
Big Ten | 32-10 | .621 |
Big Twelve | 19-11 | .565 |
AAC | 29-14 | .541 |
Independents | 9-14 | .463 |
Mountain West | 22-22 | .446 |
MAC | 23-25 | .425 |
Sun Belt | 15-21 | .410 |
Conference USA | 15-29 | .372 |