ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season as of October 11. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. I have not heard that Connecticut, New Mexico State, or Old Dominion will be playing. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11.

The estimated home field advantage is .560, or about 3.25 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 10-11-20

This Week	Last Week	Team	2020 Record	Power Rating	SOS
1	3	Georgia	3 - 0	0.870	0
2	1	Ohio St.	0 - 0	0.857	0
3	2	Clemson	4 - 0	0.850	0
4	5	Alabama	3 - 0	0.836	0
5	4	Oklahoma St.	3 - 0	0.812	0
6	6	Wisconsin	0 - 0	0.807	0
7	11	Brigham Young	4 - 0	0.799	0
8	8	Penn State	0 - 0	0.783	0
9	10	Notre Dame	3 - 0	0.769	0
10	13	North Carolina	3 - 0	0.764	0
11	7	Florida	2 - 1	0.740	0
12	12	Southern California	0 - 0	0.738	0
13	9	Tennessee	2 - 1	0.734	0
14	20	Auburn	2 - 1	0.711	0
15	14	Cincinnati	3 - 0	0.710	0
16	15	Oregon	0 - 0	0.708	0
17	16	Indiana	0 - 0	0.700	0
18	19	California	0 - 0	0.691	0
19	17	Louisiana	3 - 0	0.690	0
20	27	Texas A&M	2 - 1	0.690	0
21	40	Marshall	3 - 0	0.682	0
22	21	Iowa	0 - 0	0.678	0
23	18	Virginia Tech	2 - 1	0.675	0
24	23	Stanford	0 - 0	0.673	0
25	24	Minnesota	0 - 0	0.673	0
26	26	Michigan	0 - 0	0.667	0
27	22	Southern Methodist	4 - 0	0.664	0
28	44	North Carolina St.	3 - 1	0.647	0
29	25	Miami, Florida	3 - 1	0.644	0
30	31	Central Florida	2 - 1	0.642	0
31	32	Iowa St.	3 - 1	0.642	0
32	45	Boston College	3 - 1	0.632	0
33	33	Arizona St.	0 - 0	0.619	0
34	36	Utah	0 - 0	0.616	0
35	34	Boise State	0 - 0	0.615	0
36	37	Northwestern	0 - 0	0.614	0
37	38	Houston	1 - 0	0.611	0
38	35	Memphis	1 - 1	0.607	0
39	41	Purdue	0 - 0	0.604	0
40	39	West Virginia	2 - 1	0.604	0
41	52	South Carolina	1 - 2	0.603	0
42	29	Pittsburgh	3 - 2	0.601	0
43	43	Appalachian St.	2 - 1	0.598	0
44	47	Oklahoma	2 - 2	0.595	0
45	58	Kansas St.	3 - 1	0.593	0
46	50	Kentucky	1 - 2	0.593	0
47	46	Nebraska	0 - 0	0.574	0
48	48	Washington	0 - 0	0.567	0
49	28	Texas	2 - 2	0.564	0
50	54	Mississippi	1 - 2	0.562	0
51	53	AL-Birmingham	3 - 1	0.561	0
52	49	Baylor	1 - 1	0.560	0
53	0	Buffalo	0 - 0	0.555	0
54	51	Coastal Carolina	3 - 0	0.554	0
55	55	Washington St.	0 - 0	0.553	0
56	30	Louisiana St.	1 - 2	0.550	0
57	57	Tulsa	1 - 1	0.539	0
58	42	Virginia	1 - 2	0.537	0
59	60	Colorado	0 - 0	0.533	0
60	61	Illinois	0 - 0	0.531	0
61	62	Air Force	1 - 0	0.527	0
62	65	Army	4 - 1	0.519	0
63	79	Missouri	1 - 2	0.512	0
64	78	Arkansas	1 - 2	0.496	0
65	67	Florida Atlantic	1 - 0	0.493	0
66	56	Texas Christian	1 - 2	0.491	0
67	72	Liberty	4 - 0	0.484	0
68	71	Wake Forest	1 - 2	0.474	0
69	59	Mississippi St.	1 - 2	0.473	0
70	0	Miami, Ohio	0 - 0	0.473	0
71	63	Temple	0 - 1	0.469	0
72	68	Arizona	0 - 0	0.468	0
73	69	Nevada	0 - 0	0.464	0
74	74	Arkansas St.	2 - 2	0.462	0
75	70	San Diego St.	0 - 0	0.461	0
76	66	Tulane	2 - 2	0.458	0
77	73	Utah St.	0 - 0	0.457	0
78	84	Georgia Tech	2 - 2	0.455	0
79	75	UCLA	0 - 0	0.455	0
80	77	Georgia Southern	2 - 1	0.442	0
81	94	Troy	2 - 1	0.438	0
82	80	Georgia St.	1 - 1	0.436	0
83	81	Maryland	0 - 0	0.434	0
84	87	Navy	2 - 2	0.431	0
85	82	Wyoming	0 - 0	0.429	0
86	0	Ohio	0 - 0	0.428	0
87	64	Louisville	1 - 3	0.421	0
88	88	Louisiana Tech	3 - 1	0.420	0
89	85	Oregon St.	0 - 0	0.417	0
90	89	Texas-San Antonio	3 - 2	0.412	0
91	97	Charlotte	1 - 2	0.409	0
92	0	Northern Illinois	0 - 0	0.404	0
93	0	Ball St.	0 - 0	0.400	0
94	0	Toledo	0 - 0	0.396	0
95	103	Duke	1 - 4	0.395	0
96	76	Syracuse	1 - 3	0.390	0
97	90	Rutgers	0 - 0	0.388	0
98	83	Texas Tech	1 - 3	0.384	0
99	91	Michigan St.	0 - 0	0.381	0
100	86	Florida St.	1 - 3	0.377	0
101	100	East Carolina	1 - 2	0.377	0
102	95	Colorado St.	0 - 0	0.369	0
103	0	Western Michigan	0 - 0	0.365	0
104	0	Kent St.	0 - 0	0.365	0
105	96	Rice	0 - 0	0.355	0
106	98	Fresno St.	0 - 0	0.340	0
107	99	Hawaii	0 - 0	0.335	0
108	93	Western Kentucky	1 - 3	0.314	0
109	0	Eastern Michigan	0 - 0	0.302	0
110	0	Central Michigan	0 - 0	0.300	0
111	92	Vanderbilt	0 - 3	0.298	0
112	104	Nevada-Las Vegas	0 - 0	0.296	0
113	102	Texas St.	1 - 4	0.294	0
114	106	San Jose St.	0 - 0	0.290	0
115	107	South Alabama	1 - 2	0.282	0
116	101	South Florida	1 - 3	0.269	0
117	110	Southern Mississippi	1 - 3	0.264	0
118	109	Texas-El Paso	3 - 2	0.259	0
119	111	Kansas	0 - 3	0.254	0
120	105	Florida International	0 - 2	0.241	0
121	112	New Mexico	0 - 0	0.239	0
122	108	North Texas	1 - 3	0.234	0
123	0	Bowling Green	0 - 0	0.228	0
124	113	Middle Tennessee	1 - 4	0.214	0
125	0	Massachusetts	0 - 0	0.148	0
126	114	Wild Card U.	0 - 24	0.142	0
127	0	Akron	0 - 0	0.142	0
128	115	LA-Monroe	0 - 5	0.114	0

2020 conference power ratings:

*Independents adjusted 10-11-20 to add Massachusetts.

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