The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season as of October 16, 2016. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .554, or about 2.93 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 10-16-16
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2 | Alabama | 7 - 0 | 0.930 | 8 |
2 | 1 | Michigan | 6 - 0 | 0.914 | 25 |
3 | 3 | Clemson | 7 - 0 | 0.911 | 12 |
4 | 4 | Ohio St. | 6 - 0 | 0.906 | 37 |
5 | 5 | Texas A&M | 6 - 0 | 0.866 | 18 |
6 | 6 | Washington | 6 - 0 | 0.859 | 91 |
7 | 10 | Western Michigan | 7 - 0 | 0.838 | 86 |
8 | 12 | Nebraska | 6 - 0 | 0.815 | 66 |
9 | 9 | Louisville | 5 - 1 | 0.812 | 32 |
10 | 11 | Boise State | 6 - 0 | 0.803 | 76 |
11 | 15 | Florida | 5 - 1 | 0.794 | 59 |
12 | 19 | West Virginia | 5 - 0 | 0.782 | 58 |
13 | 14 | Houston | 6 - 1 | 0.782 | 82 |
14 | 13 | Auburn | 4 - 2 | 0.779 | 10 |
15 | 8 | Wisconsin | 4 - 2 | 0.778 | 4 |
16 | 7 | Tennessee | 5 - 2 | 0.774 | 1 |
17 | 18 | Louisiana St. | 4 - 2 | 0.761 | 35 |
18 | 23 | Colorado | 5 - 2 | 0.758 | 27 |
19 | 20 | Baylor | 6 - 0 | 0.756 | 126 |
20 | 21 | Florida St. | 5 - 2 | 0.748 | 5 |
21 | 16 | Miami, Florida | 4 - 2 | 0.735 | 53 |
22 | 26 | Oklahoma | 4 - 2 | 0.725 | 9 |
23 | 33 | Southern California | 4 - 3 | 0.716 | 2 |
24 | 24 | Utah | 6 - 1 | 0.715 | 77 |
25 | 28 | Arkansas | 5 - 2 | 0.709 | 21 |
26 | 27 | South Florida | 6 - 1 | 0.707 | 101 |
27 | 32 | Memphis | 5 - 1 | 0.703 | 110 |
28 | 40 | Washington St. | 4 - 2 | 0.694 | 43 |
29 | 34 | Troy | 5 - 1 | 0.692 | 89 |
30 | 17 | Virginia Tech | 4 - 2 | 0.692 | 55 |
31 | 22 | Mississippi | 3 - 3 | 0.690 | 7 |
32 | 39 | North Carolina | 5 - 2 | 0.689 | 19 |
33 | 25 | North Carolina St. | 4 - 2 | 0.686 | 48 |
34 | 30 | Stanford | 4 - 2 | 0.684 | 3 |
35 | 29 | Penn State | 4 - 2 | 0.674 | 13 |
36 | 43 | Pittsburgh | 5 - 2 | 0.657 | 51 |
37 | 36 | Wake Forest | 5 - 2 | 0.648 | 47 |
38 | 47 | Appalachian St. | 4 - 2 | 0.646 | 46 |
39 | 42 | Toledo | 5 - 1 | 0.646 | 120 |
40 | 44 | Brigham Young | 4 - 3 | 0.644 | 15 |
41 | 54 | Minnesota | 4 - 2 | 0.639 | 60 |
42 | 31 | Arizona St. | 5 - 2 | 0.637 | 39 |
43 | 45 | Oklahoma St. | 4 - 2 | 0.637 | 79 |
44 | 41 | Navy | 4 - 1 | 0.635 | 73 |
45 | 35 | UCLA | 3 - 4 | 0.629 | 6 |
46 | 51 | Georgia Tech | 4 - 3 | 0.625 | 29 |
47 | 49 | San Diego St. | 5 - 1 | 0.608 | 122 |
48 | 37 | Maryland | 4 - 2 | 0.606 | 83 |
49 | 52 | Iowa | 5 - 2 | 0.601 | 119 |
50 | 48 | Kansas St. | 3 - 3 | 0.596 | 49 |
51 | 38 | Georgia | 4 - 3 | 0.587 | 30 |
52 | 65 | Northwestern | 3 - 3 | 0.582 | 38 |
53 | 57 | Texas Christian | 4 - 2 | 0.572 | 102 |
54 | 59 | Central Michigan | 5 - 2 | 0.572 | 88 |
55 | 50 | Missouri | 2 - 4 | 0.569 | 16 |
56 | 46 | Air Force | 4 - 2 | 0.567 | 98 |
57 | 53 | Indiana | 3 - 3 | 0.567 | 22 |
58 | 67 | Temple | 4 - 3 | 0.566 | 87 |
59 | 56 | California | 3 - 3 | 0.565 | 33 |
60 | 63 | Tulsa | 4 - 2 | 0.543 | 85 |
61 | 55 | Middle Tennessee | 4 - 2 | 0.541 | 117 |
62 | 62 | Wyoming | 4 - 2 | 0.538 | 75 |
63 | 77 | Western Kentucky | 4 - 3 | 0.534 | 93 |
64 | 58 | Texas Tech | 3 - 3 | 0.533 | 68 |
65 | 61 | Old Dominion | 4 - 2 | 0.529 | 112 |
66 | 70 | Texas | 3 - 3 | 0.524 | 70 |
67 | 60 | Central Florida | 3 - 3 | 0.522 | 61 |
68 | 80 | Army | 4 - 2 | 0.521 | 127 |
69 | 78 | Eastern Michigan | 5 - 2 | 0.515 | 108 |
70 | 64 | Georgia Southern | 3 - 3 | 0.515 | 84 |
71 | 72 | Oregon | 2 - 4 | 0.510 | 14 |
72 | 82 | Louisiana Tech | 4 - 3 | 0.503 | 106 |
73 | 73 | Kentucky | 3 - 3 | 0.501 | 28 |
74 | 68 | Southern Mississippi | 4 - 3 | 0.500 | 105 |
75 | 85 | Vanderbilt | 3 - 4 | 0.500 | 20 |
76 | 75 | Duke | 3 - 4 | 0.492 | 56 |
77 | 66 | Mississippi St. | 2 - 4 | 0.488 | 36 |
78 | 96 | Syracuse | 3 - 4 | 0.472 | 31 |
79 | 71 | Akron | 4 - 3 | 0.466 | 81 |
80 | 84 | Oregon St. | 2 - 4 | 0.465 | 17 |
81 | 76 | Notre Dame | 2 - 5 | 0.463 | 50 |
82 | 86 | Colorado St. | 3 - 4 | 0.460 | 45 |
83 | 79 | Tulane | 3 - 3 | 0.459 | 90 |
84 | 98 | Illinois | 2 - 4 | 0.454 | 42 |
85 | 69 | Michigan St. | 2 - 4 | 0.452 | 41 |
86 | 83 | Boston College | 3 - 3 | 0.451 | 80 |
87 | 74 | Arizona | 2 - 5 | 0.433 | 23 |
88 | 89 | Cincinnati | 3 - 3 | 0.432 | 95 |
89 | 92 | Utah St. | 2 - 4 | 0.430 | 54 |
90 | 81 | Ohio | 4 - 3 | 0.426 | 123 |
91 | 88 | Connecticut | 3 - 4 | 0.425 | 57 |
92 | 103 | Idaho | 4 - 3 | 0.424 | 72 |
93 | 90 | East Carolina | 2 - 4 | 0.416 | 44 |
94 | 104 | New Mexico | 3 - 3 | 0.416 | 114 |
95 | 97 | Texas-San Antonio | 3 - 3 | 0.415 | 104 |
96 | 91 | South Carolina | 2 - 4 | 0.414 | 24 |
97 | 94 | Ball St. | 4 - 3 | 0.413 | 125 |
98 | 102 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 3 - 4 | 0.406 | 99 |
99 | 95 | Virginia | 2 - 4 | 0.389 | 71 |
100 | 93 | Purdue | 3 - 3 | 0.383 | 103 |
101 | 87 | South Alabama | 3 - 3 | 0.382 | 111 |
102 | 101 | Marshall | 2 - 4 | 0.370 | 97 |
103 | 105 | North Texas | 3 - 3 | 0.354 | 115 |
104 | 100 | Hawaii | 3 - 4 | 0.346 | 94 |
105 | 99 | Rutgers | 2 - 5 | 0.345 | 11 |
106 | 108 | Southern Methodist | 2 - 4 | 0.339 | 65 |
107 | 114 | Arkansas St. | 2 - 4 | 0.327 | 74 |
108 | 106 | Georgia St. | 1 - 5 | 0.327 | 26 |
109 | 110 | Northern Illinois | 1 - 6 | 0.319 | 40 |
110 | 118 | LA-Monroe | 2 - 4 | 0.315 | 64 |
111 | 107 | LA-Lafayette | 2 - 4 | 0.307 | 92 |
112 | 111 | Texas St. | 2 - 4 | 0.297 | 78 |
113 | 109 | Kent | 2 - 5 | 0.284 | 116 |
114 | 113 | Iowa St. | 1 - 6 | 0.275 | 62 |
115 | 119 | Florida International | 3 - 4 | 0.268 | 121 |
116 | 112 | Nevada | 3 - 4 | 0.260 | 128 |
117 | 115 | Kansas | 1 - 5 | 0.259 | 52 |
118 | 117 | New Mexico St. | 2 - 4 | 0.259 | 96 |
119 | 123 | San Jose St. | 2 - 5 | 0.253 | 118 |
120 | 116 | Charlotte | 2 - 5 | 0.252 | 100 |
121 | 122 | Bowling Green | 1 - 6 | 0.245 | 34 |
122 | 121 | Fresno St. | 1 - 6 | 0.232 | 69 |
123 | 120 | Massachusetts | 1 - 6 | 0.223 | 67 |
124 | 128 | Miami, Ohio | 1 - 6 | 0.195 | 109 |
125 | 124 | Florida Atlantic | 1 - 6 | 0.191 | 113 |
126 | 125 | Rice | 0 - 6 | 0.175 | 63 |
127 | 127 | Texas-El Paso | 1 - 5 | 0.164 | 107 |
128 | 126 | Buffalo | 1 - 5 | 0.150 | 124 |
129 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 88 | 0.141 | 0 |
2016 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 29-8 | .669 |
ACC | 36-10 | .643 |
Pac-12 | 24-10 | .639 |
Big Ten | 32-10 | .623 |
Big Twelve | 19-11 | .566 |
AAC | 29-14 | .544 |
Independents | 11-16 | .463 |
Mountain West | 22-22 | .443 |
MAC | 23-25 | .422 |
Sun Belt | 15-22 | .408 |
Conference USA | 16-30 | .369 |