ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. I have not heard that Connecticut, New Mexico State, or Old Dominion will be playing. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11.

The estimated home field advantage is .559, or about 3.22 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 10-18-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2020 Record Power Rating SOS
1 3 Clemson 5 - 0 0.874 0
2 4 Alabama 4 - 0 0.870 0
3 2 Ohio St. 0 - 0 0.857 0
4 7 Brigham Young 5 - 0 0.845 0
5 1 Georgia 3 - 1 0.822 0
6 5 Oklahoma St. 3 - 0 0.811 0
7 6 Wisconsin 0 - 0 0.807 0
8 8 Penn State 0 - 0 0.783 0
9 9 Notre Dame 4 - 0 0.779 0
10 21 Marshall 4 - 0 0.753 0
11 11 Florida 2 - 1 0.741 0
12 12 Southern California 0 - 0 0.738 0
13 15 Cincinnati 3 - 0 0.716 0
14 20 Texas A&M 3 - 1 0.713 0
15 16 Oregon 0 - 0 0.708 0
16 29 Miami, Florida 4 - 1 0.704 0
17 17 Indiana 0 - 0 0.700 0
18 27 Southern Methodist 5 - 0 0.695 0
19 18 California 0 - 0 0.691 0
20 23 Virginia Tech 3 - 1 0.684 0
21 22 Iowa 0 - 0 0.678 0
22 24 Stanford 0 - 0 0.673 0
23 25 Minnesota 0 - 0 0.673 0
24 26 Michigan 0 - 0 0.667 0
25 10 North Carolina 3 - 1 0.663 0
26 46 Kentucky 2 - 2 0.660 0
27 14 Auburn 2 - 2 0.659 0
28 54 Coastal Carolina 4 - 0 0.658 0
29 19 Louisiana 3 - 1 0.648 0
30 41 South Carolina 2 - 2 0.642 0
31 13 Tennessee 2 - 2 0.642 0
32 28 North Carolina St. 4 - 1 0.640 0
33 38 Memphis 2 - 1 0.638 0
34 31 Iowa St. 3 - 1 0.638 0
35 40 West Virginia 3 - 1 0.635 0
36 33 Arizona St. 0 - 0 0.619 0
37 34 Utah 0 - 0 0.616 0
38 35 Boise State 0 - 0 0.615 0
39 36 Northwestern 0 - 0 0.614 0
40 43 Appalachian St. 2 - 1 0.613 0
41 51 AL-Birmingham 4 - 1 0.607 0
42 45 Kansas St. 3 - 1 0.604 0
43 39 Purdue 0 - 0 0.604 0
44 44 Oklahoma 2 - 2 0.599 0
45 37 Houston 1 - 1 0.591 0
46 62 Army 5 - 1 0.574 0
47 47 Nebraska 0 - 0 0.574 0
48 30 Central Florida 2 - 2 0.571 0
49 49 Texas 2 - 2 0.567 0
50 48 Washington 0 - 0 0.567 0
51 52 Baylor 1 - 1 0.562 0
52 64 Arkansas 2 - 2 0.560 0
53 53 Buffalo 0 - 0 0.555 0
54 55 Washington St. 0 - 0 0.553 0
55 56 Louisiana St. 1 - 2 0.551 0
56 67 Liberty 5 - 0 0.549 0
57 42 Pittsburgh 3 - 3 0.540 0
58 50 Mississippi 1 - 3 0.539 0
59 68 Wake Forest 2 - 2 0.533 0
60 59 Colorado 0 - 0 0.533 0
61 60 Illinois 0 - 0 0.531 0
62 32 Boston College 3 - 2 0.528 0
63 61 Air Force 1 - 0 0.527 0
64 57 Tulsa 1 - 1 0.527 0
65 74 Arkansas St. 3 - 2 0.520 0
66 63 Missouri 1 - 2 0.505 0
67 65 Florida Atlantic 1 - 0 0.495 0
68 80 Georgia Southern 3 - 1 0.495 0
69 66 Texas Christian 1 - 2 0.493 0
70 70 Miami, Ohio 0 - 0 0.473 0
71 72 Arizona 0 - 0 0.468 0
72 76 Tulane 2 - 3 0.463 0
73 73 Nevada 0 - 0 0.463 0
74 75 San Diego St. 0 - 0 0.461 0
75 58 Virginia 1 - 3 0.457 0
76 77 Utah St. 0 - 0 0.456 0
77 79 UCLA 0 - 0 0.455 0
78 69 Mississippi St. 1 - 3 0.450 0
79 84 Navy 3 - 2 0.445 0
80 81 Troy 3 - 1 0.441 0
81 71 Temple 1 - 1 0.439 0
82 100 Florida St. 2 - 3 0.438 0
83 83 Maryland 0 - 0 0.434 0
84 85 Wyoming 0 - 0 0.429 0
85 86 Ohio 0 - 0 0.428 0
86 88 Louisiana Tech 3 - 2 0.425 0
87 91 Charlotte 1 - 2 0.421 0
88 89 Oregon St. 0 - 0 0.417 0
89 82 Georgia St. 1 - 2 0.408 0
90 92 Northern Illinois 0 - 0 0.404 0
91 93 Ball St. 0 - 0 0.400 0
92 94 Toledo 0 - 0 0.396 0
93 87 Louisville 1 - 4 0.395 0
94 90 Texas-San Antonio 3 - 3 0.391 0
95 98 Texas Tech 1 - 3 0.388 0
96 97 Rutgers 0 - 0 0.388 0
97 99 Michigan St. 0 - 0 0.381 0
98 78 Georgia Tech 2 - 3 0.374 0
99 102 Colorado St. 0 - 0 0.368 0
100 103 Western Michigan 0 - 0 0.365 0
101 104 Kent St. 0 - 0 0.365 0
102 105 Rice 0 - 0 0.355 0
103 106 Fresno St. 0 - 0 0.340 0
104 115 South Alabama 2 - 2 0.339 0
105 95 Duke 1 - 5 0.339 0
106 107 Hawaii 0 - 0 0.334 0
107 101 East Carolina 1 - 3 0.310 0
108 111 Vanderbilt 0 - 3 0.306 0
109 109 Eastern Michigan 0 - 0 0.302 0
110 110 Central Michigan 0 - 0 0.300 0
111 96 Syracuse 1 - 4 0.299 0
112 112 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 0 0.295 0
113 114 San Jose St. 0 - 0 0.289 0
114 108 Western Kentucky 1 - 4 0.287 0
115 117 Southern Mississippi 1 - 3 0.284 0
116 122 North Texas 2 - 3 0.278 0
117 118 Texas-El Paso 3 - 2 0.267 0
118 113 Texas St. 1 - 5 0.259 0
119 116 South Florida 1 - 4 0.248 0
120 119 Kansas 0 - 4 0.245 0
121 120 Florida International 0 - 2 0.244 0
122 121 New Mexico 0 - 0 0.239 0
123 123 Bowling Green 0 - 0 0.228 0
124 124 Middle Tennessee 1 - 5 0.181 0
125 125 Massachusetts 0 - 1 0.179 0
126 126 Wild Card U. 0 - 25 0.146 0
127 127 Akron 0 - 0 0.142 0
128 128 LA-Monroe 0 - 5 0.122 0

2020 conference power ratings:

Conference2020 Record Power Rating
Big Ten 0-0 .621
SEC 0-0 .619
Pac-12 0-0 .586
Big Twelve 5-3 .554
ACC 8-2 .550
Independents 15-2 .537
AAC 10-6 .513
Sun Belt 13-11 .450
Mountain West 1-0.401
Conference USA 11-14.384
MAC 0-0 .363

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