The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2018 season as of 10-21-18. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .562, or about 3.19 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 10-21-18
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2018 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 8 - 0 | 0.923 | 46 |
2 | 2 | Clemson | 7 - 0 | 0.922 | 34 |
3 | 5 | Michigan | 7 - 1 | 0.892 | 7 |
4 | 6 | Louisiana St. | 7 - 1 | 0.882 | 3 |
5 | 4 | Notre Dame | 7 - 0 | 0.879 | 19 |
6 | 7 | Georgia | 6 - 1 | 0.859 | 25 |
7 | 8 | Florida | 6 - 1 | 0.843 | 18 |
8 | 9 | Oklahoma | 6 - 1 | 0.839 | 15 |
9 | 10 | Kentucky | 6 - 1 | 0.832 | 28 |
10 | 12 | Iowa | 6 - 1 | 0.824 | 43 |
11 | 11 | Central Florida | 7 - 0 | 0.811 | 125 |
12 | 3 | Ohio St. | 7 - 1 | 0.810 | 62 |
13 | 16 | Washington | 6 - 2 | 0.796 | 29 |
14 | 23 | Fresno St. | 6 - 1 | 0.776 | 104 |
15 | 13 | Texas | 6 - 1 | 0.774 | 24 |
16 | 15 | Mississippi St. | 4 - 3 | 0.770 | 9 |
17 | 21 | Miami, Florida | 5 - 2 | 0.766 | 45 |
18 | 19 | Penn State | 5 - 2 | 0.766 | 40 |
19 | 20 | Texas A&M | 5 - 2 | 0.765 | 16 |
20 | 27 | Utah | 5 - 2 | 0.748 | 32 |
21 | 22 | West Virginia | 5 - 1 | 0.741 | 72 |
22 | 30 | Auburn | 5 - 3 | 0.741 | 26 |
23 | 28 | Wisconsin | 5 - 2 | 0.735 | 53 |
24 | 24 | Stanford | 5 - 2 | 0.735 | 12 |
25 | 14 | Duke | 5 - 2 | 0.729 | 36 |
26 | 17 | North Carolina St. | 5 - 1 | 0.728 | 44 |
27 | 18 | Cincinnati | 6 - 1 | 0.727 | 107 |
28 | 25 | Army | 5 - 2 | 0.717 | 39 |
29 | 29 | Texas Tech | 5 - 2 | 0.713 | 55 |
30 | 35 | Appalachian St. | 5 - 1 | 0.712 | 111 |
31 | 31 | Utah St. | 6 - 1 | 0.708 | 120 |
32 | 45 | Buffalo | 7 - 1 | 0.704 | 99 |
33 | 46 | Washington St. | 6 - 1 | 0.704 | 102 |
34 | 51 | Virginia | 5 - 2 | 0.702 | 41 |
35 | 47 | AL-Birmingham | 6 - 1 | 0.701 | 121 |
36 | 56 | Purdue | 4 - 3 | 0.699 | 23 |
37 | 39 | South Carolina | 3 - 3 | 0.691 | 1 |
38 | 33 | Boise State | 5 - 2 | 0.691 | 86 |
39 | 26 | Michigan St. | 4 - 3 | 0.677 | 8 |
40 | 44 | Boston College | 5 - 2 | 0.670 | 78 |
41 | 43 | Syracuse | 5 - 2 | 0.668 | 75 |
42 | 41 | Iowa St. | 3 - 3 | 0.668 | 4 |
43 | 32 | North Texas | 6 - 2 | 0.668 | 114 |
44 | 54 | Missouri | 4 - 3 | 0.666 | 20 |
45 | 34 | Colorado | 5 - 2 | 0.664 | 70 |
46 | 40 | San Diego St. | 6 - 1 | 0.656 | 83 |
47 | 38 | Oregon | 5 - 2 | 0.649 | 91 |
48 | 49 | Virginia Tech | 4 - 2 | 0.648 | 64 |
49 | 36 | Southern California | 4 - 3 | 0.640 | 10 |
50 | 37 | Maryland | 4 - 3 | 0.639 | 21 |
51 | 48 | South Florida | 7 - 0 | 0.636 | 130 |
52 | 55 | Houston | 6 - 1 | 0.628 | 128 |
53 | 59 | Western Michigan | 6 - 2 | 0.623 | 95 |
54 | 52 | Northwestern | 4 - 3 | 0.622 | 17 |
55 | 58 | Georgia Southern | 6 - 1 | 0.620 | 126 |
56 | 42 | Texas Christian | 3 - 4 | 0.616 | 11 |
57 | 50 | Mississippi | 5 - 3 | 0.616 | 38 |
58 | 67 | Temple | 5 - 3 | 0.597 | 89 |
59 | 53 | Arizona St. | 3 - 4 | 0.595 | 31 |
60 | 62 | Oklahoma St. | 4 - 3 | 0.584 | 84 |
61 | 60 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 2 | 0.575 | 101 |
62 | 63 | Troy | 5 - 2 | 0.574 | 113 |
63 | 65 | Vanderbilt | 3 - 5 | 0.572 | 6 |
64 | 61 | Indiana | 4 - 4 | 0.571 | 14 |
65 | 72 | Eastern Michigan | 4 - 4 | 0.569 | 47 |
66 | 68 | Florida International | 5 - 2 | 0.562 | 122 |
67 | 75 | Florida St. | 4 - 3 | 0.553 | 63 |
68 | 70 | Brigham Young | 4 - 3 | 0.548 | 51 |
69 | 64 | Baylor | 4 - 3 | 0.545 | 61 |
70 | 77 | Marshall | 5 - 2 | 0.544 | 118 |
71 | 69 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 4 | 0.541 | 67 |
72 | 66 | Tennessee | 3 - 4 | 0.531 | 13 |
73 | 57 | Minnesota | 3 - 4 | 0.524 | 22 |
74 | 76 | Northern Illinois | 4 - 3 | 0.515 | 42 |
75 | 73 | Toledo | 3 - 4 | 0.502 | 68 |
76 | 81 | Middle Tennessee | 4 - 3 | 0.487 | 69 |
77 | 79 | Pittsburgh | 3 - 4 | 0.486 | 27 |
78 | 93 | California | 4 - 3 | 0.480 | 106 |
79 | 71 | Memphis | 4 - 4 | 0.480 | 117 |
80 | 78 | Kansas St. | 3 - 4 | 0.479 | 48 |
81 | 87 | Ohio | 4 - 3 | 0.479 | 110 |
82 | 88 | UCLA | 2 - 5 | 0.478 | 5 |
83 | 90 | Nevada | 4 - 4 | 0.478 | 79 |
84 | 86 | Air Force | 3 - 4 | 0.465 | 97 |
85 | 94 | Coastal Carolina | 4 - 3 | 0.461 | 87 |
86 | 74 | Wake Forest | 3 - 4 | 0.455 | 49 |
87 | 91 | Arkansas St. | 4 - 3 | 0.455 | 94 |
88 | 83 | Miami, Ohio | 3 - 5 | 0.450 | 71 |
89 | 92 | Southern Methodist | 3 - 4 | 0.446 | 37 |
90 | 89 | Akron | 3 - 3 | 0.443 | 77 |
91 | 80 | Hawaii | 6 - 3 | 0.440 | 127 |
92 | 96 | Southern Mississippi | 3 - 3 | 0.435 | 123 |
93 | 105 | Nebraska | 1 - 6 | 0.435 | 2 |
94 | 84 | Arizona | 3 - 5 | 0.431 | 73 |
95 | 82 | Florida Atlantic | 3 - 4 | 0.429 | 66 |
96 | 95 | Liberty | 4 - 3 | 0.418 | 109 |
97 | 98 | Louisiana | 3 - 4 | 0.401 | 80 |
98 | 85 | Tulane | 2 - 5 | 0.390 | 54 |
99 | 97 | New Mexico | 3 - 4 | 0.389 | 105 |
100 | 104 | Arkansas | 2 - 6 | 0.387 | 35 |
101 | 99 | Illinois | 3 - 4 | 0.375 | 74 |
102 | 103 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 4 | 0.350 | 98 |
103 | 100 | Ball St. | 3 - 5 | 0.346 | 108 |
104 | 101 | Kansas | 2 - 5 | 0.344 | 85 |
105 | 102 | Navy | 2 - 5 | 0.336 | 93 |
106 | 110 | Louisville | 2 - 5 | 0.336 | 52 |
107 | 111 | North Carolina | 1 - 5 | 0.334 | 33 |
108 | 106 | Charlotte | 3 - 4 | 0.323 | 116 |
109 | 109 | Colorado St. | 3 - 5 | 0.321 | 82 |
110 | 107 | Massachusetts | 2 - 6 | 0.309 | 81 |
111 | 112 | Wyoming | 2 - 6 | 0.308 | 50 |
112 | 113 | Georgia St. | 2 - 5 | 0.290 | 76 |
113 | 114 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 5 | 0.285 | 112 |
114 | 108 | Tulsa | 1 - 6 | 0.285 | 57 |
115 | 116 | South Alabama | 2 - 5 | 0.275 | 92 |
116 | 117 | East Carolina | 2 - 5 | 0.268 | 90 |
117 | 120 | Old Dominion | 2 - 6 | 0.267 | 100 |
118 | 115 | Oregon St. | 1 - 6 | 0.237 | 59 |
119 | 118 | Central Michigan | 1 - 7 | 0.237 | 58 |
120 | 119 | Texas-San Antonio | 3 - 5 | 0.231 | 124 |
121 | 122 | Connecticut | 1 - 6 | 0.221 | 30 |
122 | 123 | New Mexico St. | 2 - 6 | 0.214 | 103 |
123 | 124 | Kent St. | 1 - 7 | 0.206 | 88 |
124 | 121 | Bowling Green | 1 - 7 | 0.200 | 65 |
125 | 126 | Western Kentucky | 1 - 6 | 0.195 | 115 |
126 | 125 | Rutgers | 1 - 7 | 0.192 | 56 |
127 | 129 | San Jose St. | 0 - 7 | 0.163 | 60 |
128 | 127 | Texas St. | 1 - 6 | 0.162 | 129 |
129 | 128 | Rice | 1 - 7 | 0.152 | 96 |
130 | 130 | Wild Card U. | 7 - 94 | 0.118 | 0 |
131 | 131 | Texas-El Paso | 0 - 7 | 0.100 | 119 |
2018 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2018 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 36-5 | .720 |
Big Twelve | 21-7 | .630 |
Big Ten | 27-13 | .626 |
ACC | 33-14 | .610 |
Pac-12 | 23-11 | .596 |
Independents | 22-18 | .514 |
AAC | 25-19 | .485 |
Mountain West | 25-22 | .473 |
MAC | 17-28 | .439 |
Sun Belt | 20-18 | .430 |
Conference USA | 21-28 | .405 |