ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. I have not heard that Connecticut, New Mexico State, or Old Dominion will be playing. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11.

The estimated home field advantage is .559, or about 3.26 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 10-25-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2020 Record Power Rating SOS
1 2 Alabama 5 - 0 0.893 0
2 1 Clemson 6 - 0 0.867 0
3 4 Brigham Young 6 - 0 0.847 0
4 3 Ohio St. 1 - 0 0.846 0
5 6 Oklahoma St. 4 - 0 0.825 0
6 5 Georgia 3 - 1 0.822 0
7 9 Notre Dame 5 - 0 0.821 0
8 10 Marshall 5 - 0 0.812 0
9 7 Wisconsin 1 - 0 0.809 0
10 13 Cincinnati 4 - 0 0.782 0
11 12 Southern California 0 - 0 0.738 0
12 8 Penn State 0 - 1 0.736 0
13 11 Florida 2 - 1 0.735 0
14 17 Indiana 1 - 0 0.723 0
15 14 Texas A&M 3 - 1 0.722 0
16 24 Michigan 1 - 0 0.708 0
17 15 Oregon 0 - 0 0.708 0
18 16 Miami, Florida 5 - 1 0.707 0
19 28 Coastal Carolina 5 - 0 0.704 0
20 29 Louisiana 4 - 1 0.699 0
21 25 North Carolina 4 - 1 0.692 0
22 19 California 0 - 0 0.691 0
23 22 Stanford 0 - 0 0.673 0
24 40 Appalachian St. 3 - 1 0.673 0
25 27 Auburn 3 - 2 0.664 0
26 42 Kansas St. 4 - 1 0.655 0
27 44 Oklahoma 3 - 2 0.648 0
28 34 Iowa St. 3 - 2 0.645 0
29 39 Northwestern 1 - 0 0.645 0
30 43 Purdue 1 - 0 0.642 0
31 21 Iowa 0 - 1 0.639 0
32 38 Boise State 1 - 0 0.636 0
33 33 Memphis 3 - 1 0.636 0
34 20 Virginia Tech 3 - 2 0.632 0
35 46 Army 6 - 1 0.624 0
36 18 Southern Methodist 5 - 1 0.623 0
37 23 Minnesota 0 - 1 0.622 0
38 36 Arizona St. 0 - 0 0.619 0
39 55 Louisiana St. 2 - 2 0.616 0
40 37 Utah 0 - 0 0.616 0
41 45 Houston 2 - 1 0.606 0
42 64 Tulsa 2 - 1 0.602 0
43 49 Texas 3 - 2 0.600 0
44 26 Kentucky 2 - 3 0.599 0
45 31 Tennessee 2 - 3 0.593 0
46 41 AL-Birmingham 4 - 2 0.583 0
47 66 Missouri 2 - 2 0.582 0
48 48 Central Florida 3 - 2 0.581 0
49 59 Wake Forest 3 - 2 0.578 0
50 32 North Carolina St. 4 - 2 0.576 0
51 50 Washington 0 - 0 0.567 0
52 47 Nebraska 0 - 1 0.566 0
53 30 South Carolina 2 - 3 0.561 0
54 52 Arkansas 2 - 2 0.559 0
55 56 Liberty 6 - 0 0.557 0
56 35 West Virginia 3 - 2 0.556 0
57 53 Buffalo 0 - 0 0.555 0
58 54 Washington St. 0 - 0 0.553 0
59 62 Boston College 4 - 2 0.543 0
60 60 Colorado 0 - 0 0.533 0
61 61 Illinois 0 - 1 0.522 0
62 67 Florida Atlantic 1 - 1 0.501 0
63 65 Arkansas St. 3 - 3 0.501 0
64 58 Mississippi 1 - 4 0.500 0
65 63 Air Force 1 - 1 0.499 0
66 74 San Diego St. 1 - 0 0.498 0
67 51 Baylor 1 - 2 0.494 0
68 73 Nevada 1 - 0 0.491 0
69 57 Pittsburgh 3 - 4 0.475 0
70 68 Georgia Southern 3 - 2 0.474 0
71 70 Miami, Ohio 0 - 0 0.473 0
72 71 Arizona 0 - 0 0.468 0
73 89 Georgia St. 2 - 2 0.463 0
74 87 Charlotte 2 - 2 0.460 0
75 78 Mississippi St. 1 - 3 0.460 0
76 77 UCLA 0 - 0 0.455 0
77 69 Texas Christian 1 - 3 0.454 0
78 95 Texas Tech 2 - 3 0.450 0
79 93 Louisville 2 - 4 0.444 0
80 96 Rutgers 1 - 0 0.440 0
81 85 Ohio 0 - 0 0.428 0
82 75 Virginia 1 - 4 0.427 0
83 76 Utah St. 0 - 1 0.426 0
84 94 Texas-San Antonio 4 - 3 0.425 0
85 83 Maryland 0 - 1 0.417 0
86 88 Oregon St. 0 - 0 0.417 0
87 80 Troy 3 - 2 0.412 0
88 72 Tulane 2 - 4 0.411 0
89 84 Wyoming 0 - 1 0.411 0
90 90 Northern Illinois 0 - 0 0.404 0
91 86 Louisiana Tech 3 - 3 0.401 0
92 91 Ball St. 0 - 0 0.400 0
93 92 Toledo 0 - 0 0.396 0
94 106 Hawaii 1 - 0 0.396 0
95 81 Temple 1 - 2 0.393 0
96 113 San Jose St. 1 - 0 0.390 0
97 79 Navy 3 - 3 0.389 0
98 82 Florida St. 2 - 4 0.368 0
99 99 Colorado St. 0 - 0 0.368 0
100 100 Western Michigan 0 - 0 0.365 0
101 101 Kent St. 0 - 0 0.365 0
102 97 Michigan St. 0 - 1 0.358 0
103 104 South Alabama 3 - 2 0.355 0
104 98 Georgia Tech 2 - 4 0.334 0
105 105 Duke 1 - 5 0.323 0
106 108 Vanderbilt 0 - 3 0.317 0
107 102 Rice 0 - 1 0.310 0
108 107 East Carolina 1 - 3 0.308 0
109 103 Fresno St. 0 - 1 0.303 0
110 109 Eastern Michigan 0 - 0 0.302 0
111 114 Western Kentucky 2 - 4 0.300 0
112 110 Central Michigan 0 - 0 0.300 0
113 111 Syracuse 1 - 5 0.286 0
114 112 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 1 0.280 0
115 116 North Texas 2 - 3 0.276 0
116 117 Texas-El Paso 3 - 3 0.260 0
117 118 Texas St. 1 - 6 0.252 0
118 115 Southern Mississippi 1 - 4 0.251 0
119 122 New Mexico 0 - 0 0.239 0
120 123 Bowling Green 0 - 0 0.228 0
121 119 South Florida 1 - 5 0.227 0
122 124 Middle Tennessee 2 - 5 0.210 0
123 120 Kansas 0 - 5 0.206 0
124 125 Massachusetts 0 - 1 0.178 0
125 121 Florida International 0 - 3 0.178 0
126 126 Wild Card U. 1 - 27 0.144 0
127 127 Akron 0 - 0 0.142 0
128 128 LA-Monroe 0 - 6 0.104 0

2020 conference power ratings:

Conference2020 Record Power Rating
Big Ten 0-0 .620
SEC 0-0 .616
Pac-12 0-0 .586
Big Twelve 5-3 .553
Independents 18-2 .552
ACC 8-2 .538
AAC 10-6 .505
Sun Belt 14-12 .464
Mountain West 1-0.411
Conference USA 12-17.382
MAC 0-0 .363

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