The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2021 season as of 10-31-21. Teams currently included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .557, or about 2.97 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 10-31-21
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2021 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Georgia | 8 - 0 | 0.943 | 17 |
2 | 3 | Cincinnati | 8 - 0 | 0.872 | 93 |
3 | 5 | Ohio St. | 7 - 1 | 0.848 | 36 |
4 | 2 | Michigan | 7 - 1 | 0.848 | 15 |
5 | 4 | Alabama | 7 - 1 | 0.841 | 37 |
6 | 7 | Oklahoma | 9 - 0 | 0.835 | 74 |
7 | 8 | Michigan St. | 8 - 0 | 0.828 | 44 |
8 | 10 | Wake Forest | 8 - 0 | 0.811 | 85 |
9 | 9 | Notre Dame | 7 - 1 | 0.808 | 6 |
10 | 13 | Baylor | 7 - 1 | 0.792 | 54 |
11 | 15 | Oklahoma St. | 7 - 1 | 0.784 | 46 |
12 | 11 | Texas-San Antonio | 8 - 0 | 0.778 | 126 |
13 | 6 | Iowa | 6 - 2 | 0.778 | 10 |
14 | 20 | Auburn | 6 - 2 | 0.761 | 30 |
15 | 25 | Wisconsin | 5 - 3 | 0.758 | 1 |
16 | 16 | Texas A&M | 6 - 2 | 0.745 | 53 |
17 | 14 | Mississippi | 6 - 2 | 0.728 | 22 |
18 | 23 | Oregon | 7 - 1 | 0.727 | 88 |
19 | 12 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 2 | 0.723 | 76 |
20 | 32 | Minnesota | 6 - 2 | 0.722 | 39 |
21 | 18 | Penn State | 5 - 3 | 0.721 | 16 |
22 | 30 | North Carolina St. | 6 - 2 | 0.720 | 71 |
23 | 24 | Coastal Carolina | 7 - 1 | 0.715 | 129 |
24 | 28 | Houston | 7 - 1 | 0.715 | 115 |
25 | 35 | Brigham Young | 7 - 2 | 0.708 | 29 |
26 | 34 | Purdue | 5 - 3 | 0.704 | 8 |
27 | 31 | Clemson | 5 - 3 | 0.698 | 20 |
28 | 19 | Iowa St. | 5 - 3 | 0.693 | 41 |
29 | 17 | San Diego St. | 7 - 1 | 0.691 | 117 |
30 | 33 | Air Force | 6 - 2 | 0.684 | 87 |
31 | 21 | Kentucky | 6 - 2 | 0.683 | 43 |
32 | 39 | Appalachian St. | 6 - 2 | 0.681 | 64 |
33 | 26 | Texas | 4 - 4 | 0.678 | 4 |
34 | 29 | Arkansas | 5 - 3 | 0.677 | 23 |
35 | 41 | Fresno St. | 7 - 2 | 0.676 | 106 |
36 | 22 | Southern Methodist | 7 - 1 | 0.675 | 122 |
37 | 38 | Liberty | 7 - 2 | 0.671 | 124 |
38 | 42 | Louisiana | 7 - 1 | 0.669 | 127 |
39 | 43 | Boise State | 4 - 4 | 0.664 | 9 |
40 | 44 | Utah | 5 - 3 | 0.657 | 34 |
41 | 36 | Florida | 4 - 4 | 0.650 | 13 |
42 | 27 | Virginia | 6 - 3 | 0.647 | 45 |
43 | 48 | Kansas St. | 5 - 3 | 0.645 | 24 |
44 | 52 | Miami, Florida | 4 - 4 | 0.643 | 3 |
45 | 46 | Nevada | 6 - 2 | 0.639 | 107 |
46 | 54 | Mississippi St. | 5 - 3 | 0.634 | 25 |
47 | 55 | West Virginia | 4 - 4 | 0.629 | 18 |
48 | 60 | Central Florida | 5 - 3 | 0.599 | 73 |
49 | 37 | Arizona St. | 5 - 3 | 0.599 | 89 |
50 | 45 | Nebraska | 3 - 6 | 0.599 | 11 |
51 | 40 | Oregon St. | 5 - 3 | 0.599 | 65 |
52 | 57 | Maryland | 5 - 3 | 0.596 | 27 |
53 | 51 | Tennessee | 4 - 4 | 0.593 | 42 |
54 | 50 | North Carolina | 4 - 4 | 0.588 | 32 |
55 | 49 | Louisville | 4 - 4 | 0.584 | 19 |
56 | 58 | Army | 4 - 3 | 0.583 | 57 |
57 | 53 | Louisiana St. | 4 - 4 | 0.582 | 21 |
58 | 68 | Syracuse | 5 - 4 | 0.580 | 62 |
59 | 67 | Utah St. | 6 - 2 | 0.579 | 80 |
60 | 47 | UCLA | 5 - 4 | 0.579 | 47 |
61 | 69 | Rutgers | 4 - 4 | 0.570 | 28 |
62 | 56 | Western Michigan | 5 - 3 | 0.569 | 60 |
63 | 74 | Marshall | 5 - 3 | 0.558 | 125 |
64 | 59 | Toledo | 4 - 4 | 0.554 | 91 |
65 | 80 | Washington St. | 5 - 4 | 0.550 | 52 |
66 | 63 | AL-Birmingham | 5 - 3 | 0.547 | 102 |
67 | 61 | Northern Illinois | 6 - 2 | 0.547 | 82 |
68 | 65 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 3 | 0.546 | 110 |
69 | 79 | Virginia Tech | 4 - 4 | 0.543 | 38 |
70 | 66 | Southern California | 4 - 4 | 0.528 | 63 |
71 | 64 | Texas Tech | 5 - 4 | 0.526 | 55 |
72 | 72 | Eastern Michigan | 5 - 3 | 0.520 | 114 |
73 | 62 | Boston College | 4 - 4 | 0.513 | 83 |
74 | 76 | Miami, Ohio | 4 - 4 | 0.508 | 66 |
75 | 70 | Texas Christian | 3 - 5 | 0.507 | 26 |
76 | 71 | Florida St. | 3 - 5 | 0.506 | 35 |
77 | 85 | East Carolina | 4 - 4 | 0.498 | 75 |
78 | 88 | Western Kentucky | 4 - 4 | 0.498 | 96 |
79 | 84 | Washington | 4 - 4 | 0.490 | 100 |
80 | 75 | Texas-El Paso | 6 - 2 | 0.482 | 128 |
81 | 82 | South Carolina | 4 - 4 | 0.480 | 40 |
82 | 81 | Ball St. | 4 - 4 | 0.478 | 59 |
83 | 73 | Stanford | 3 - 5 | 0.469 | 33 |
84 | 77 | Illinois | 3 - 6 | 0.468 | 5 |
85 | 78 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 5 | 0.458 | 50 |
86 | 83 | Indiana | 2 - 6 | 0.456 | 2 |
87 | 103 | California | 3 - 5 | 0.453 | 67 |
88 | 92 | Memphis | 4 - 4 | 0.442 | 108 |
89 | 89 | Kent St. | 4 - 4 | 0.441 | 77 |
90 | 93 | Missouri | 4 - 4 | 0.435 | 98 |
91 | 94 | Georgia St. | 4 - 4 | 0.432 | 70 |
92 | 99 | Middle Tennessee | 4 - 4 | 0.432 | 112 |
93 | 90 | Troy | 4 - 4 | 0.426 | 120 |
94 | 91 | Colorado St. | 3 - 5 | 0.426 | 84 |
95 | 86 | Wyoming | 4 - 4 | 0.421 | 109 |
96 | 101 | South Alabama | 5 - 3 | 0.418 | 130 |
97 | 100 | San Jose St. | 5 - 4 | 0.415 | 116 |
98 | 96 | Central Michigan | 4 - 4 | 0.407 | 118 |
99 | 87 | Buffalo | 4 - 5 | 0.397 | 123 |
100 | 95 | Northwestern | 3 - 5 | 0.389 | 48 |
101 | 97 | Hawaii | 4 - 5 | 0.385 | 99 |
102 | 104 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 4 | 0.373 | 58 |
103 | 98 | Tulsa | 3 - 5 | 0.368 | 79 |
104 | 107 | Tulane | 1 - 7 | 0.353 | 7 |
105 | 112 | Navy | 2 - 6 | 0.353 | 12 |
106 | 102 | Charlotte | 4 - 4 | 0.345 | 119 |
107 | 105 | Louisiana Tech | 2 - 6 | 0.332 | 68 |
108 | 106 | Duke | 3 - 5 | 0.329 | 86 |
109 | 110 | Colorado | 2 - 6 | 0.319 | 56 |
110 | 117 | Bowling Green | 3 - 6 | 0.310 | 95 |
111 | 109 | South Florida | 2 - 6 | 0.307 | 61 |
112 | 116 | Old Dominion | 2 - 6 | 0.299 | 72 |
113 | 108 | Rice | 3 - 5 | 0.295 | 69 |
114 | 113 | New Mexico | 3 - 5 | 0.291 | 81 |
115 | 111 | Temple | 3 - 5 | 0.277 | 90 |
116 | 118 | North Texas | 2 - 6 | 0.270 | 92 |
117 | 114 | Georgia Southern | 2 - 6 | 0.260 | 101 |
118 | 115 | Texas St. | 2 - 6 | 0.241 | 97 |
119 | 119 | Kansas | 1 - 7 | 0.208 | 14 |
120 | 122 | Akron | 2 - 6 | 0.204 | 103 |
121 | 120 | Arkansas St. | 1 - 7 | 0.197 | 105 |
122 | 124 | Ohio | 1 - 7 | 0.193 | 113 |
123 | 123 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 7 | 0.190 | 78 |
124 | 126 | New Mexico St. | 1 - 7 | 0.183 | 104 |
125 | 125 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 0 - 8 | 0.179 | 31 |
126 | 121 | Florida International | 1 - 7 | 0.177 | 111 |
127 | 129 | Arizona | 0 - 8 | 0.159 | 51 |
128 | 127 | Southern Mississippi | 1 - 7 | 0.158 | 94 |
129 | 128 | Massachusetts | 1 - 7 | 0.156 | 49 |
130 | 130 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 98 | 0.123 | 0 |
131 | 131 | Connecticut | 1 - 8 | 0.115 | 121 |
2021 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2021 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Ten | 33-9 | .663 |
SEC | 36-7 | .639 |
Big Twelve | 24-6 | .630 |
ACC | 31-15 | .596 |
Pac-12 | 16-18 | .511 |
Mountain West | 29-18 | .504 |
AAC | 22-18 | .496 |
Independents | 25-27 | .461 |
Sun Belt | 20-16 | .441 |
MAC | 21-27 | .427 |
Conference USA | 24-32 | .408 |