ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. I have not heard that Connecticut, New Mexico State, or Old Dominion will be playing. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11.

The estimated home field advantage is .556, or about 3.08 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 11-8-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2020 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Alabama 6 - 0 0.919 0
2 4 Brigham Young 8 - 0 0.898 0
3 7 Cincinnati 6 - 0 0.867 0
4 3 Ohio St. 3 - 0 0.865 0
5 6 Notre Dame 7 - 0 0.865 0
6 8 Marshall 6 - 0 0.849 0
7 2 Clemson 7 - 1 0.838 0
8 14 Northwestern 3 - 0 0.834 0
9 12 Florida 4 - 1 0.829 0
10 5 Georgia 4 - 2 0.822 0
11 10 Coastal Carolina 7 - 0 0.821 0
12 17 Texas A&M 5 - 1 0.800 0
13 9 Wisconsin 1 - 0 0.800 0
14 11 Oklahoma St. 5 - 1 0.796 0
15 13 Indiana 3 - 0 0.783 0
16 18 Miami, Florida 6 - 1 0.742 0
17 21 Oregon 1 - 0 0.740 0
18 19 Oklahoma 5 - 2 0.732 0
19 15 Southern California 1 - 0 0.730 0
20 16 Auburn 4 - 2 0.728 0
21 20 Louisiana 6 - 1 0.722 0
22 25 Texas 5 - 2 0.710 0
23 23 California 0 - 0 0.701 0
24 26 Iowa St. 5 - 2 0.693 0
25 22 Purdue 2 - 0 0.690 0
26 47 Iowa 1 - 2 0.679 0
27 30 Appalachian St. 5 - 1 0.673 0
28 31 North Carolina 5 - 2 0.662 0
29 34 Southern Methodist 7 - 1 0.658 0
30 67 San Jose St. 3 - 0 0.651 0
31 35 Army 6 - 1 0.638 0
32 52 Liberty 7 - 0 0.628 0
33 33 Central Florida 4 - 2 0.628 0
34 40 Utah 0 - 0 0.627 0
35 32 Wake Forest 4 - 2 0.625 0
36 49 Nevada 3 - 0 0.617 0
37 36 West Virginia 4 - 3 0.616 0
38 51 Arkansas 3 - 3 0.614 0
39 38 Tulsa 3 - 1 0.612 0
40 27 Virginia Tech 4 - 3 0.612 0
41 28 Stanford 0 - 1 0.605 0
42 24 Boise State 2 - 1 0.604 0
43 45 Florida Atlantic 3 - 1 0.598 0
44 42 Kansas St. 4 - 3 0.595 0
45 39 Arizona St. 0 - 1 0.594 0
46 75 Maryland 2 - 1 0.589 0
47 57 Washington St. 1 - 0 0.587 0
48 44 Kentucky 2 - 4 0.580 0
49 50 Washington 0 - 0 0.578 0
50 56 Buffalo 1 - 0 0.575 0
51 41 San Diego St. 2 - 1 0.573 0
52 37 Michigan 1 - 2 0.572 0
53 64 Georgia Southern 5 - 2 0.571 0
54 53 Mississippi 2 - 4 0.568 0
55 43 North Carolina St. 4 - 3 0.567 0
56 65 Texas Christian 3 - 3 0.564 0
57 61 Colorado 1 - 0 0.558 0
58 54 Boston College 5 - 3 0.544 0
59 29 Penn State 0 - 3 0.543 0
60 48 Nebraska 0 - 2 0.538 0
61 59 AL-Birmingham 4 - 3 0.538 0
62 70 Minnesota 1 - 2 0.532 0
63 63 Missouri 2 - 3 0.530 0
64 58 Memphis 4 - 2 0.527 0
65 60 Louisiana St. 2 - 3 0.520 0
66 72 Pittsburgh 4 - 4 0.519 0
67 46 Tennessee 2 - 4 0.505 0
68 68 Rutgers 1 - 2 0.499 0
69 62 Houston 2 - 3 0.498 0
70 73 Miami, Ohio 1 - 0 0.488 0
71 66 Virginia 2 - 4 0.487 0
72 74 Arizona 0 - 0 0.479 0
73 55 South Carolina 2 - 4 0.472 0
74 71 Troy 4 - 3 0.464 0
75 80 Tulane 4 - 4 0.462 0
76 81 Air Force 1 - 2 0.456 0
77 76 Baylor 1 - 4 0.446 0
78 99 Fresno St. 2 - 1 0.441 0
79 92 Toledo 1 - 0 0.437 0
80 77 UCLA 0 - 1 0.436 0
81 83 Louisiana Tech 4 - 3 0.435 0
82 69 Wyoming 1 - 2 0.432 0
83 95 Hawaii 2 - 1 0.425 0
84 93 Mississippi St. 2 - 4 0.419 0
85 84 Louisville 2 - 5 0.415 0
86 97 Western Michigan 1 - 0 0.411 0
87 91 Georgia St. 3 - 3 0.403 0
88 85 Oregon St. 0 - 1 0.397 0
89 78 Michigan St. 1 - 2 0.396 0
90 98 Kent St. 1 - 0 0.396 0
91 90 Arkansas St. 3 - 5 0.396 0
92 94 Texas-San Antonio 4 - 4 0.388 0
93 104 Colorado St. 1 - 1 0.381 0
94 86 Texas Tech 2 - 5 0.380 0
95 107 Central Michigan 1 - 0 0.368 0
96 96 Charlotte 2 - 3 0.363 0
97 82 Ohio 0 - 1 0.359 0
98 88 Ball St. 0 - 1 0.356 0
99 87 Northern Illinois 0 - 1 0.352 0
100 101 South Alabama 3 - 4 0.347 0
101 89 Duke 2 - 6 0.346 0
102 79 Illinois 0 - 3 0.331 0
103 103 Navy 3 - 4 0.327 0
104 106 Rice 1 - 1 0.304 0
105 100 Florida St. 2 - 5 0.295 0
106 108 Georgia Tech 2 - 5 0.292 0
107 105 Eastern Michigan 0 - 1 0.279 0
108 112 New Mexico 0 - 2 0.257 0
109 113 North Texas 2 - 3 0.251 0
110 111 Western Kentucky 2 - 6 0.250 0
111 116 Texas-El Paso 3 - 3 0.246 0
112 102 Utah St. 0 - 3 0.245 0
113 109 East Carolina 1 - 5 0.244 0
114 115 Texas St. 1 - 8 0.235 0
115 110 Temple 1 - 4 0.230 0
116 117 Syracuse 1 - 7 0.225 0
117 120 Southern Mississippi 2 - 5 0.224 0
118 123 Massachusetts 0 - 2 0.219 0
119 119 Bowling Green 0 - 1 0.206 0
120 114 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 3 0.198 0
121 121 South Florida 1 - 6 0.197 0
122 122 Middle Tennessee 2 - 5 0.189 0
123 118 Vanderbilt 0 - 5 0.184 0
124 125 Florida International 0 - 3 0.170 0
125 124 Kansas 0 - 7 0.150 0
126 126 Akron 0 - 1 0.145 0
127 127 Wild Card U. 1 - 28 0.104 0
128 128 LA-Monroe 0 - 8 0.086 0

2020 conference power ratings:

Conference2020 Record Power Rating
Big Ten 0-0 .618
SEC 0-0 .606
Independents 21-3 .596
Pac-12 0-0 .586
Big Twelve 5-3 .568
ACC 9-3 .536
AAC 10-6 .477
Sun Belt 14-12 .472
Mountain West 1-1.440
Conference USA 14-19.370
MAC 0-0 .364

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