ARGH 2011 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2011 season, as of November 13. Teams included are the 120 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus three teams that will be starting FBS play in 2012.

I will be travelling Thanksgiving week, and may not be able to update these in a timely manner. I will post new power ratings and predictions as soon as I am able.

The estimated home field advantage is .568, or about 3.83 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

Please note that I cannot comply with requests to send copies of these ratings out via e-mail. You can thank AOL's sledgehammer approach to spam prevention for this. I apologize for any inconveniences this may cause.

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This Week	Last Week	Team	2011 Record	Power Rating
1	1	Louisiana St.	10 - 0	0.942
2	2	Alabama	9 - 1	0.925
3	3	Oklahoma St.	10 - 0	0.911
4	4	Oklahoma	8 - 1	0.894
5	7	Oregon	9 - 1	0.859
6	6	Boise State	8 - 1	0.842
7	5	Stanford	9 - 1	0.838
8	11	Michigan	8 - 2	0.821
9	8	Houston	10 - 0	0.816
10	12	Arkansas	9 - 1	0.811
11	10	Virginia Tech	9 - 1	0.806
12	16	Georgia	8 - 2	0.797
13	14	South Carolina	8 - 2	0.791
14	15	Wisconsin	8 - 2	0.788
15	20	Notre Dame	7 - 3	0.773
16	9	Penn State	8 - 2	0.770
17	18	Clemson	9 - 1	0.767
18	17	Southern Mississippi	9 - 1	0.766
19	22	Michigan St.	8 - 2	0.761
20	24	Southern California	8 - 2	0.758
21	13	Texas	6 - 3	0.753
22	21	Kansas St.	8 - 2	0.752
23	26	Nebraska	8 - 2	0.748
24	28	Texas Christian	8 - 2	0.745
25	25	Florida St.	7 - 3	0.742
26	19	Cincinnati	7 - 2	0.716
27	23	Texas A&M	5 - 5	0.710
28	32	Missouri	5 - 5	0.707
29	38	Tulsa	7 - 3	0.680
30	36	Rutgers	7 - 3	0.679
31	27	Georgia Tech	7 - 3	0.676
32	35	Baylor	6 - 3	0.675
33	37	West Virginia	7 - 3	0.675
34	29	Arizona St.	6 - 4	0.659
35	33	Florida	5 - 5	0.652
36	31	Illinois	6 - 4	0.651
37	30	Ohio St.	6 - 4	0.650
38	43	Arkansas St.	8 - 2	0.645
39	39	Miami, Florida	5 - 5	0.635
40	51	South Florida	5 - 4	0.632
41	34	Auburn	6 - 4	0.626
42	40	North Carolina	6 - 4	0.623
43	50	Utah	6 - 4	0.621
44	41	Mississippi St.	5 - 5	0.619
45	45	Temple	6 - 4	0.604
46	42	Iowa	6 - 4	0.603
47	55	Vanderbilt	5 - 5	0.599
48	53	Brigham Young	7 - 3	0.595
49	49	Toledo	6 - 4	0.593
50	47	Virginia	7 - 3	0.592
51	54	California	6 - 4	0.587
52	44	Washington	6 - 4	0.580
53	61	San Diego St.	6 - 3	0.564
54	46	Texas Tech	5 - 5	0.563
55	58	Nevada	6 - 3	0.562
56	57	Wake Forest	5 - 5	0.555
57	67	Northern Illinois	7 - 3	0.554
58	48	Southern Methodist	6 - 4	0.553
59	69	Pittsburgh	5 - 5	0.552
60	63	Ohio	7 - 3	0.552
61	68	Northwestern	5 - 5	0.544
62	70	Purdue	5 - 5	0.541
63	52	Tennessee	4 - 6	0.535
64	62	LA-Lafayette	8 - 3	0.529
65	64	Iowa St.	5 - 4	0.526
66	72	Louisiana Tech	6 - 4	0.523
67	56	Louisville	5 - 5	0.519
68	65	Western Michigan	5 - 5	0.510
69	59	North Carolina St.	5 - 5	0.502
70	76	Wyoming	6 - 3	0.501
71	60	UCLA	5 - 5	0.498
72	66	Syracuse	5 - 5	0.491
73	73	Central Florida	4 - 6	0.489
74	71	Air Force	5 - 5	0.487
75	75	Florida International	6 - 4	0.486
76	80	Navy	4 - 6	0.480
77	77	Connecticut	4 - 5	0.464
78	78	Ball St.	6 - 4	0.450
79	89	Washington St.	4 - 6	0.448
80	74	Marshall	4 - 6	0.434
81	83	Utah St.	4 - 5	0.431
82	85	Texas-El Paso	5 - 5	0.430
83	88	Eastern Michigan	6 - 4	0.418
84	82	Hawaii	5 - 5	0.405
85	81	East Carolina	4 - 6	0.402
86	79	Arizona	2 - 8	0.396
87	90	Miami, Ohio	4 - 6	0.387
88	92	Western Kentucky	5 - 5	0.377
89	84	Kentucky	4 - 6	0.375
90	87	Rice	3 - 7	0.372
91	86	Bowling Green	4 - 6	0.372
92	93	Army	3 - 7	0.367
93	99	North Texas	4 - 6	0.366
94	91	Kansas	2 - 8	0.363
95	102	Boston College	3 - 7	0.359
96	94	Duke	3 - 7	0.356
97	103	LA-Monroe	3 - 7	0.356
98	104	Kent	4 - 6	0.353
99	95	Maryland	2 - 8	0.347
100	100	South Alabama	6 - 3	0.329
101	98	Fresno St.	3 - 7	0.327
102	97	Oregon St.	2 - 8	0.322
103	96	Mississippi	2 - 8	0.316
104	101	San Jose St.	3 - 7	0.315
105	107	New Mexico St.	4 - 6	0.313
106	115	Colorado	2 - 9	0.296
107	106	Minnesota	2 - 8	0.287
108	105	Central Michigan	3 - 8	0.269
109	108	Troy St.	2 - 7	0.261
110	110	Colorado St.	3 - 6	0.260
111	111	Indiana	1 - 9	0.254
112	113	Buffalo	2 - 8	0.236
113	112	Texas St.	6 - 5	0.229
114	109	Middle Tennessee St.	2 - 7	0.226
115	114	Idaho	2 - 8	0.224
116	116	Nevada-Las Vegas	2 - 7	0.194
117	119	AL-Birmingham	2 - 8	0.190
118	117	Massachusetts	5 - 5	0.178
119	118	Tulane	2 - 9	0.171
120	120	Memphis	2 - 8	0.143
121	122	Wild Card U.	14 - 99	0.140
122	121	Akron	1 - 9	0.127
123	124	New Mexico	1 - 9	0.110
124	123	Florida Atlantic	0 - 9	0.103

2011 conference power ratings:

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