The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season as of November 12, 2016. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .559, or about 3.12 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 11-13-16
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 10 - 0 | 0.959 | 2 |
2 | 4 | Ohio St. | 9 - 1 | 0.919 | 19 |
3 | 2 | Michigan | 9 - 1 | 0.912 | 29 |
4 | 3 | Clemson | 9 - 1 | 0.879 | 25 |
5 | 9 | Wisconsin | 8 - 2 | 0.857 | 9 |
6 | 7 | Louisville | 9 - 1 | 0.856 | 59 |
7 | 5 | Washington | 9 - 1 | 0.855 | 64 |
8 | 8 | Western Michigan | 10 - 0 | 0.842 | 116 |
9 | 6 | Auburn | 7 - 3 | 0.817 | 15 |
10 | 11 | Colorado | 8 - 2 | 0.815 | 33 |
11 | 13 | Louisiana St. | 6 - 3 | 0.809 | 8 |
12 | 12 | Penn State | 8 - 2 | 0.793 | 14 |
13 | 18 | Southern California | 7 - 3 | 0.786 | 4 |
14 | 15 | Boise State | 9 - 1 | 0.784 | 76 |
15 | 14 | Florida | 7 - 2 | 0.783 | 51 |
16 | 10 | Texas A&M | 7 - 3 | 0.778 | 17 |
17 | 20 | Washington St. | 8 - 2 | 0.771 | 61 |
18 | 17 | West Virginia | 8 - 1 | 0.770 | 67 |
19 | 22 | Oklahoma | 8 - 2 | 0.753 | 45 |
20 | 19 | Tennessee | 7 - 3 | 0.750 | 10 |
21 | 21 | Florida St. | 7 - 3 | 0.746 | 16 |
22 | 28 | Stanford | 7 - 3 | 0.739 | 7 |
23 | 24 | Nebraska | 8 - 2 | 0.739 | 31 |
24 | 23 | San Diego St. | 9 - 1 | 0.737 | 128 |
25 | 27 | Troy | 8 - 1 | 0.733 | 105 |
26 | 31 | Utah | 8 - 2 | 0.726 | 53 |
27 | 26 | Houston | 8 - 2 | 0.721 | 96 |
28 | 16 | Virginia Tech | 7 - 3 | 0.713 | 52 |
29 | 33 | Miami, Florida | 6 - 4 | 0.698 | 50 |
30 | 32 | Oklahoma St. | 8 - 2 | 0.695 | 82 |
31 | 25 | North Carolina | 7 - 3 | 0.688 | 40 |
32 | 36 | South Florida | 8 - 2 | 0.683 | 90 |
33 | 37 | Mississippi | 5 - 5 | 0.682 | 1 |
34 | 35 | Temple | 7 - 3 | 0.670 | 87 |
35 | 30 | Appalachian St. | 7 - 3 | 0.669 | 77 |
36 | 39 | Western Kentucky | 8 - 3 | 0.668 | 107 |
37 | 29 | Arkansas | 6 - 4 | 0.661 | 5 |
38 | 40 | Toledo | 8 - 2 | 0.661 | 120 |
39 | 42 | Navy | 7 - 2 | 0.658 | 63 |
40 | 34 | Minnesota | 7 - 3 | 0.650 | 75 |
41 | 41 | Brigham Young | 6 - 4 | 0.648 | 42 |
42 | 46 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 4 | 0.644 | 23 |
43 | 38 | Tulsa | 7 - 3 | 0.630 | 79 |
44 | 54 | Iowa | 6 - 4 | 0.628 | 47 |
45 | 51 | Northwestern | 5 - 5 | 0.625 | 22 |
46 | 50 | Georgia | 6 - 4 | 0.623 | 21 |
47 | 56 | Georgia Tech | 6 - 4 | 0.609 | 37 |
48 | 48 | Central Florida | 6 - 4 | 0.603 | 88 |
49 | 43 | Memphis | 6 - 4 | 0.602 | 83 |
50 | 47 | Kansas St. | 5 - 4 | 0.601 | 55 |
51 | 49 | Louisiana Tech | 8 - 3 | 0.599 | 121 |
52 | 45 | Baylor | 6 - 3 | 0.596 | 98 |
53 | 59 | UCLA | 4 - 6 | 0.589 | 12 |
54 | 52 | Texas Christian | 5 - 4 | 0.577 | 72 |
55 | 44 | Wyoming | 7 - 3 | 0.577 | 92 |
56 | 63 | North Carolina St. | 5 - 5 | 0.572 | 46 |
57 | 55 | Texas | 5 - 5 | 0.566 | 39 |
58 | 60 | Air Force | 7 - 3 | 0.563 | 113 |
59 | 53 | Arizona St. | 5 - 5 | 0.549 | 27 |
60 | 70 | Old Dominion | 7 - 3 | 0.546 | 112 |
61 | 61 | Kentucky | 5 - 5 | 0.545 | 24 |
62 | 78 | Notre Dame | 4 - 6 | 0.537 | 48 |
63 | 62 | Indiana | 5 - 5 | 0.537 | 38 |
64 | 58 | Wake Forest | 6 - 4 | 0.526 | 68 |
65 | 57 | Maryland | 5 - 5 | 0.526 | 30 |
66 | 64 | California | 4 - 6 | 0.523 | 11 |
67 | 65 | Mississippi St. | 4 - 6 | 0.519 | 18 |
68 | 71 | Texas Tech | 4 - 6 | 0.513 | 43 |
69 | 68 | South Carolina | 5 - 5 | 0.512 | 32 |
70 | 66 | Colorado St. | 5 - 5 | 0.509 | 71 |
71 | 74 | Ohio | 7 - 3 | 0.502 | 126 |
72 | 76 | New Mexico | 7 - 3 | 0.497 | 125 |
73 | 69 | Vanderbilt | 4 - 6 | 0.495 | 28 |
74 | 81 | Duke | 4 - 6 | 0.493 | 44 |
75 | 82 | Missouri | 3 - 7 | 0.482 | 35 |
76 | 75 | Oregon | 3 - 7 | 0.481 | 13 |
77 | 80 | Eastern Michigan | 6 - 4 | 0.480 | 97 |
78 | 67 | Middle Tennessee | 6 - 4 | 0.477 | 111 |
79 | 86 | Idaho | 6 - 4 | 0.465 | 81 |
80 | 72 | Texas-San Antonio | 6 - 4 | 0.455 | 114 |
81 | 89 | Southern Methodist | 5 - 5 | 0.454 | 60 |
82 | 95 | Michigan St. | 3 - 7 | 0.450 | 36 |
83 | 73 | Army | 5 - 5 | 0.445 | 119 |
84 | 77 | Southern Mississippi | 5 - 5 | 0.445 | 104 |
85 | 88 | Arkansas St. | 5 - 4 | 0.431 | 115 |
86 | 87 | Central Michigan | 5 - 5 | 0.424 | 99 |
87 | 79 | Georgia Southern | 4 - 6 | 0.422 | 86 |
88 | 84 | Oregon St. | 2 - 8 | 0.420 | 3 |
89 | 83 | Syracuse | 4 - 6 | 0.414 | 34 |
90 | 85 | Illinois | 3 - 7 | 0.390 | 26 |
91 | 91 | Boston College | 4 - 6 | 0.374 | 49 |
92 | 96 | South Alabama | 4 - 5 | 0.372 | 103 |
93 | 93 | Utah St. | 3 - 7 | 0.370 | 56 |
94 | 109 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 4 - 6 | 0.366 | 106 |
95 | 90 | East Carolina | 3 - 7 | 0.363 | 65 |
96 | 92 | Akron | 5 - 6 | 0.361 | 100 |
97 | 99 | Tulane | 3 - 7 | 0.360 | 69 |
98 | 94 | Cincinnati | 4 - 6 | 0.359 | 80 |
99 | 100 | Miami, Ohio | 5 - 6 | 0.358 | 117 |
100 | 98 | Northern Illinois | 3 - 7 | 0.349 | 94 |
101 | 101 | Arizona | 2 - 8 | 0.347 | 6 |
102 | 110 | LA-Lafayette | 4 - 5 | 0.344 | 110 |
103 | 97 | North Texas | 4 - 6 | 0.336 | 93 |
104 | 104 | Kent | 3 - 7 | 0.322 | 84 |
105 | 106 | Hawaii | 4 - 7 | 0.320 | 73 |
106 | 116 | Marshall | 3 - 7 | 0.315 | 102 |
107 | 102 | Ball St. | 4 - 6 | 0.315 | 122 |
108 | 103 | Purdue | 3 - 7 | 0.312 | 57 |
109 | 108 | Virginia | 2 - 8 | 0.308 | 54 |
110 | 115 | Iowa St. | 2 - 8 | 0.304 | 58 |
111 | 114 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 6 | 0.301 | 95 |
112 | 107 | Charlotte | 4 - 6 | 0.297 | 109 |
113 | 112 | Connecticut | 3 - 7 | 0.283 | 74 |
114 | 113 | San Jose St. | 3 - 7 | 0.280 | 85 |
115 | 105 | Rutgers | 2 - 8 | 0.274 | 20 |
116 | 111 | Georgia St. | 2 - 8 | 0.261 | 89 |
117 | 117 | Massachusetts | 2 - 8 | 0.253 | 78 |
118 | 119 | Florida International | 3 - 7 | 0.243 | 101 |
119 | 118 | New Mexico St. | 2 - 7 | 0.237 | 62 |
120 | 120 | Nevada | 3 - 7 | 0.229 | 123 |
121 | 125 | Bowling Green | 2 - 8 | 0.219 | 66 |
122 | 124 | Florida Atlantic | 3 - 7 | 0.208 | 124 |
123 | 121 | Texas St. | 2 - 7 | 0.201 | 91 |
124 | 127 | Rice | 2 - 8 | 0.196 | 108 |
125 | 122 | Kansas | 1 - 9 | 0.194 | 41 |
126 | 123 | Texas-El Paso | 2 - 8 | 0.185 | 118 |
127 | 126 | Fresno St. | 1 - 9 | 0.175 | 70 |
128 | 128 | Buffalo | 2 - 8 | 0.137 | 127 |
129 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 96 | 0.117 | 0 |
2016 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 35-9 | .673 |
Pac-12 | 24-10 | .633 |
Big Ten | 32-10 | .615 |
ACC | 36-12 | .608 |
Big Twelve | 19-11 | .557 |
AAC | 30-15 | .532 |
Independents | 16-22 | .468 |
Mountain West | 25-22 | .451 |
MAC | 23-25 | .414 |
Sun Belt | 17-25 | .403 |
Conference USA | 20-30 | .382 |