The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2021 season as of 11-21-21. Teams currently included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .557, or about 3.03 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 11-24-21 to correct strength of schedule only.
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2021 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Georgia | 11 - 0 | 0.954 | 41 |
2 | 3 | Ohio St. | 10 - 1 | 0.888 | 30 |
3 | 4 | Cincinnati | 11 - 0 | 0.883 | 97 |
4 | 2 | Michigan | 10 - 1 | 0.879 | 28 |
5 | 6 | Notre Dame | 10 - 1 | 0.863 | 18 |
6 | 7 | Oklahoma St. | 10 - 1 | 0.862 | 40 |
7 | 5 | Alabama | 10 - 1 | 0.861 | 52 |
8 | 8 | Wisconsin | 8 - 3 | 0.824 | 2 |
9 | 11 | Oklahoma | 10 - 1 | 0.809 | 53 |
10 | 14 | Baylor | 9 - 2 | 0.806 | 37 |
11 | 10 | Texas-San Antonio | 11 - 0 | 0.799 | 126 |
12 | 12 | Iowa | 9 - 2 | 0.789 | 25 |
13 | 16 | Texas A&M | 8 - 3 | 0.775 | 47 |
14 | 15 | Mississippi | 9 - 2 | 0.771 | 32 |
15 | 20 | Penn State | 7 - 4 | 0.756 | 10 |
16 | 19 | Houston | 10 - 1 | 0.756 | 123 |
17 | 22 | Clemson | 8 - 3 | 0.755 | 36 |
18 | 9 | Michigan St. | 9 - 2 | 0.755 | 21 |
19 | 18 | Pittsburgh | 9 - 2 | 0.752 | 78 |
20 | 21 | North Carolina St. | 8 - 3 | 0.750 | 50 |
21 | 13 | Wake Forest | 9 - 2 | 0.749 | 49 |
22 | 28 | Appalachian St. | 9 - 2 | 0.737 | 91 |
23 | 31 | Louisiana | 10 - 1 | 0.729 | 125 |
24 | 26 | Purdue | 7 - 4 | 0.726 | 4 |
25 | 23 | Brigham Young | 9 - 2 | 0.724 | 60 |
26 | 27 | Boise State | 7 - 4 | 0.723 | 31 |
27 | 33 | Utah | 8 - 3 | 0.722 | 56 |
28 | 25 | San Diego St. | 10 - 1 | 0.718 | 122 |
29 | 17 | Oregon | 9 - 2 | 0.707 | 66 |
30 | 24 | Arkansas | 7 - 4 | 0.696 | 14 |
31 | 30 | Iowa St. | 6 - 5 | 0.685 | 19 |
32 | 38 | Minnesota | 7 - 4 | 0.679 | 42 |
33 | 29 | Auburn | 6 - 5 | 0.678 | 13 |
34 | 35 | Air Force | 8 - 3 | 0.678 | 73 |
35 | 32 | Kansas St. | 7 - 4 | 0.672 | 33 |
36 | 36 | Mississippi St. | 7 - 4 | 0.669 | 35 |
37 | 42 | Kentucky | 8 - 3 | 0.664 | 74 |
38 | 46 | Tennessee | 6 - 5 | 0.657 | 23 |
39 | 41 | Fresno St. | 8 - 3 | 0.656 | 96 |
40 | 39 | Coastal Carolina | 9 - 2 | 0.648 | 130 |
41 | 45 | Louisville | 6 - 5 | 0.648 | 27 |
42 | 34 | Southern Methodist | 8 - 3 | 0.646 | 87 |
43 | 37 | Army | 7 - 3 | 0.646 | 90 |
44 | 49 | Miami, Florida | 6 - 5 | 0.630 | 11 |
45 | 52 | UCLA | 7 - 4 | 0.614 | 62 |
46 | 44 | Virginia | 6 - 5 | 0.609 | 24 |
47 | 43 | Arizona St. | 7 - 4 | 0.605 | 76 |
48 | 47 | Nevada | 7 - 4 | 0.603 | 81 |
49 | 40 | Liberty | 7 - 4 | 0.600 | 109 |
50 | 64 | Oregon St. | 7 - 4 | 0.596 | 80 |
51 | 59 | West Virginia | 5 - 6 | 0.596 | 9 |
52 | 55 | Marshall | 7 - 4 | 0.596 | 119 |
53 | 50 | North Carolina | 6 - 5 | 0.593 | 46 |
54 | 54 | Nebraska | 3 - 8 | 0.585 | 6 |
55 | 57 | Central Florida | 7 - 4 | 0.583 | 84 |
56 | 62 | East Carolina | 7 - 4 | 0.577 | 83 |
57 | 51 | Texas | 4 - 7 | 0.577 | 8 |
58 | 63 | Western Kentucky | 7 - 4 | 0.576 | 116 |
59 | 60 | Louisiana St. | 5 - 6 | 0.572 | 16 |
60 | 53 | AL-Birmingham | 7 - 4 | 0.572 | 88 |
61 | 48 | Utah St. | 8 - 3 | 0.568 | 104 |
62 | 71 | South Carolina | 6 - 5 | 0.562 | 34 |
63 | 58 | Florida | 5 - 6 | 0.556 | 45 |
64 | 70 | Florida St. | 5 - 6 | 0.553 | 26 |
65 | 56 | Boston College | 6 - 5 | 0.549 | 75 |
66 | 69 | Northern Illinois | 8 - 3 | 0.545 | 89 |
67 | 65 | Texas Tech | 6 - 5 | 0.538 | 43 |
68 | 73 | Toledo | 6 - 5 | 0.533 | 115 |
69 | 72 | Washington St. | 6 - 5 | 0.530 | 61 |
70 | 79 | Central Michigan | 7 - 4 | 0.526 | 112 |
71 | 61 | Rutgers | 5 - 6 | 0.526 | 20 |
72 | 67 | Maryland | 5 - 6 | 0.524 | 7 |
73 | 80 | Missouri | 6 - 5 | 0.520 | 48 |
74 | 66 | Syracuse | 5 - 6 | 0.519 | 38 |
75 | 77 | Miami, Ohio | 6 - 5 | 0.516 | 102 |
76 | 75 | Texas Christian | 5 - 6 | 0.515 | 22 |
77 | 74 | Illinois | 4 - 7 | 0.510 | 3 |
78 | 68 | Virginia Tech | 5 - 6 | 0.507 | 55 |
79 | 81 | Eastern Michigan | 7 - 4 | 0.501 | 121 |
80 | 90 | Wyoming | 6 - 5 | 0.485 | 103 |
81 | 76 | Western Michigan | 6 - 5 | 0.481 | 86 |
82 | 82 | Memphis | 5 - 6 | 0.459 | 71 |
83 | 83 | Georgia St. | 6 - 5 | 0.456 | 72 |
84 | 87 | Kent St. | 6 - 5 | 0.454 | 92 |
85 | 78 | Southern California | 4 - 6 | 0.454 | 54 |
86 | 93 | Tulsa | 5 - 6 | 0.448 | 63 |
87 | 94 | California | 4 - 6 | 0.440 | 93 |
88 | 91 | Texas-El Paso | 7 - 4 | 0.435 | 129 |
89 | 84 | Ball St. | 5 - 6 | 0.424 | 69 |
90 | 86 | Washington | 4 - 7 | 0.414 | 79 |
91 | 85 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 6 | 0.403 | 110 |
92 | 89 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 8 | 0.395 | 29 |
93 | 88 | Middle Tennessee | 5 - 6 | 0.394 | 124 |
94 | 97 | Old Dominion | 5 - 6 | 0.392 | 108 |
95 | 92 | Troy | 5 - 6 | 0.383 | 113 |
96 | 105 | North Texas | 5 - 6 | 0.368 | 120 |
97 | 110 | Tulane | 2 - 9 | 0.363 | 17 |
98 | 106 | Colorado | 4 - 7 | 0.361 | 58 |
99 | 95 | Indiana | 2 - 9 | 0.359 | 1 |
100 | 103 | San Jose St. | 5 - 6 | 0.353 | 111 |
101 | 104 | Navy | 2 - 8 | 0.352 | 5 |
102 | 98 | Northwestern | 3 - 8 | 0.349 | 15 |
103 | 108 | Hawaii | 5 - 7 | 0.349 | 106 |
104 | 101 | Buffalo | 4 - 7 | 0.347 | 118 |
105 | 100 | Colorado St. | 3 - 8 | 0.346 | 82 |
106 | 99 | South Alabama | 5 - 6 | 0.338 | 127 |
107 | 96 | Stanford | 3 - 8 | 0.335 | 39 |
108 | 102 | Louisiana Tech | 3 - 8 | 0.314 | 77 |
109 | 107 | Charlotte | 5 - 6 | 0.304 | 128 |
110 | 109 | South Florida | 2 - 9 | 0.281 | 44 |
111 | 112 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 7 | 0.273 | 95 |
112 | 113 | Ohio | 3 - 8 | 0.268 | 105 |
113 | 111 | Duke | 3 - 8 | 0.267 | 65 |
114 | 116 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 2 - 9 | 0.261 | 59 |
115 | 117 | Kansas | 2 - 9 | 0.255 | 12 |
116 | 114 | Georgia Southern | 3 - 8 | 0.255 | 100 |
117 | 115 | Bowling Green | 3 - 8 | 0.249 | 94 |
118 | 118 | Rice | 3 - 8 | 0.247 | 70 |
119 | 120 | Texas St. | 3 - 8 | 0.232 | 114 |
120 | 121 | New Mexico | 3 - 8 | 0.220 | 64 |
121 | 119 | Temple | 3 - 8 | 0.215 | 68 |
122 | 122 | Arkansas St. | 2 - 9 | 0.205 | 98 |
123 | 123 | Arizona | 1 - 10 | 0.194 | 51 |
124 | 125 | Vanderbilt | 2 - 9 | 0.187 | 57 |
125 | 128 | Southern Mississippi | 2 - 9 | 0.180 | 101 |
126 | 124 | Akron | 2 - 9 | 0.166 | 107 |
127 | 126 | New Mexico St. | 1 - 10 | 0.150 | 67 |
128 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 12 - 105 | 0.122 | 0 |
129 | 127 | Florida International | 1 - 10 | 0.121 | 117 |
130 | 130 | Connecticut | 1 - 10 | 0.111 | 99 |
131 | 131 | Massachusetts | 1 - 10 | 0.107 | 85 |
2021 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2021 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Ten | 33-9 | .653 |
SEC | 45-7 | .651 |
Big Twelve | 24-6 | .632 |
ACC | 33-17 | .591 |
AAC | 23-19 | .506 |
Pac-12 | 16-18 | .498 |
Mountain West | 30-19 | .497 |
Independents | 32-36 | .457 |
Sun Belt | 21-19 | .426 |
MAC | 21-27 | .418 |
Conference USA | 24-32 | .407 |