The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.
Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11. New Mexico State is expected to play a spring schedule against lower division teams and will be added in a supplement after they have completed their schedule.
The estimated home field advantage is .560, or about 3.25 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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Revised 11-29-20
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2020 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 8 - 0 | 0.945 | 14 |
2 | 3 | Brigham Young | 9 - 0 | 0.904 | 107 |
3 | 4 | Cincinnati | 8 - 0 | 0.896 | 95 |
4 | 5 | Notre Dame | 9 - 0 | 0.893 | 83 |
5 | 8 | Coastal Carolina | 9 - 0 | 0.867 | 100 |
6 | 7 | Ohio St. | 4 - 0 | 0.866 | 33 |
7 | 6 | Marshall | 7 - 0 | 0.866 | 112 |
8 | 9 | Clemson | 8 - 1 | 0.863 | 72 |
9 | 11 | Florida | 7 - 1 | 0.849 | 27 |
10 | 2 | Northwestern | 5 - 1 | 0.836 | 16 |
11 | 10 | Wisconsin | 2 - 1 | 0.823 | 18 |
12 | 13 | Georgia | 6 - 2 | 0.818 | 12 |
13 | 14 | Texas A&M | 6 - 1 | 0.811 | 24 |
14 | 20 | Indiana | 5 - 1 | 0.802 | 31 |
15 | 19 | Louisiana | 8 - 1 | 0.781 | 81 |
16 | 18 | Oklahoma | 6 - 2 | 0.779 | 67 |
17 | 21 | Iowa St. | 7 - 2 | 0.776 | 35 |
18 | 16 | Iowa | 4 - 2 | 0.776 | 32 |
19 | 17 | Miami, Florida | 7 - 1 | 0.772 | 44 |
20 | 12 | Southern California | 3 - 0 | 0.752 | 59 |
21 | 23 | Oklahoma St. | 6 - 2 | 0.731 | 28 |
22 | 33 | Colorado | 3 - 0 | 0.710 | 56 |
23 | 35 | Buffalo | 4 - 0 | 0.709 | 123 |
24 | 34 | Appalachian St. | 7 - 2 | 0.703 | 103 |
25 | 27 | Tulsa | 5 - 1 | 0.703 | 66 |
26 | 22 | Auburn | 5 - 3 | 0.693 | 13 |
27 | 32 | Washington | 3 - 0 | 0.692 | 87 |
28 | 26 | Texas | 5 - 3 | 0.691 | 37 |
29 | 24 | San Jose St. | 4 - 0 | 0.687 | 109 |
30 | 15 | Oregon | 3 - 1 | 0.686 | 55 |
31 | 28 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 1 | 0.685 | 111 |
32 | 30 | Boise State | 4 - 1 | 0.682 | 79 |
33 | 42 | Liberty | 9 - 1 | 0.665 | 127 |
34 | 37 | Central Florida | 6 - 3 | 0.656 | 78 |
35 | 29 | North Carolina | 6 - 3 | 0.654 | 70 |
36 | 39 | West Virginia | 5 - 3 | 0.651 | 85 |
37 | 41 | Army | 7 - 2 | 0.633 | 118 |
38 | 36 | Western Michigan | 4 - 0 | 0.628 | 121 |
39 | 25 | Nevada | 5 - 1 | 0.616 | 113 |
40 | 43 | North Carolina St. | 7 - 3 | 0.601 | 61 |
41 | 55 | Missouri | 4 - 3 | 0.599 | 26 |
42 | 46 | Wake Forest | 4 - 3 | 0.596 | 74 |
43 | 48 | Mississippi | 4 - 4 | 0.590 | 22 |
44 | 40 | San Diego St. | 3 - 3 | 0.589 | 80 |
45 | 38 | Southern Methodist | 7 - 3 | 0.579 | 99 |
46 | 69 | Texas Christian | 4 - 4 | 0.575 | 38 |
47 | 31 | Purdue | 2 - 3 | 0.570 | 17 |
48 | 52 | UCLA | 2 - 2 | 0.570 | 58 |
49 | 45 | Arizona St. | 0 - 1 | 0.565 | 51 |
50 | 56 | AL-Birmingham | 4 - 3 | 0.564 | 88 |
51 | 44 | Maryland | 2 - 2 | 0.561 | 6 |
52 | 47 | Pittsburgh | 5 - 5 | 0.553 | 57 |
53 | 61 | Memphis | 6 - 2 | 0.550 | 104 |
54 | 53 | Virginia | 4 - 4 | 0.549 | 50 |
55 | 60 | Houston | 3 - 3 | 0.547 | 43 |
56 | 63 | Boston College | 6 - 4 | 0.545 | 71 |
57 | 58 | Arkansas | 3 - 5 | 0.543 | 4 |
58 | 51 | Louisiana St. | 3 - 4 | 0.540 | 34 |
59 | 57 | Virginia Tech | 4 - 5 | 0.540 | 36 |
60 | 50 | Washington St. | 1 - 1 | 0.540 | 48 |
61 | 54 | Air Force | 2 - 2 | 0.526 | 92 |
62 | 66 | Tulane | 5 - 5 | 0.524 | 91 |
63 | 59 | Minnesota | 2 - 3 | 0.509 | 30 |
64 | 73 | Central Michigan | 3 - 1 | 0.507 | 116 |
65 | 79 | Wyoming | 2 - 2 | 0.506 | 97 |
66 | 62 | Georgia Southern | 6 - 4 | 0.503 | 101 |
67 | 82 | Oregon St. | 2 - 2 | 0.503 | 46 |
68 | 71 | Fresno St. | 3 - 1 | 0.498 | 117 |
69 | 89 | Rutgers | 2 - 4 | 0.496 | 15 |
70 | 67 | Kansas St. | 4 - 5 | 0.496 | 39 |
71 | 78 | Texas-San Antonio | 7 - 4 | 0.489 | 106 |
72 | 81 | Georgia St. | 5 - 4 | 0.486 | 82 |
73 | 64 | Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.484 | 20 |
74 | 99 | Michigan St. | 2 - 3 | 0.484 | 2 |
75 | 72 | Kentucky | 3 - 6 | 0.461 | 8 |
76 | 49 | Utah | 0 - 2 | 0.460 | 25 |
77 | 68 | Stanford | 1 - 2 | 0.459 | 40 |
78 | 76 | Tennessee | 2 - 5 | 0.455 | 3 |
79 | 94 | Miami, Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.454 | 108 |
80 | 87 | Baylor | 2 - 5 | 0.452 | 41 |
81 | 75 | Illinois | 2 - 3 | 0.451 | 23 |
82 | 91 | Penn State | 1 - 5 | 0.445 | 5 |
83 | 74 | Nebraska | 1 - 4 | 0.442 | 1 |
84 | 92 | Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.441 | 126 |
85 | 83 | Louisiana Tech | 4 - 3 | 0.441 | 93 |
86 | 98 | Ball St. | 3 - 1 | 0.430 | 120 |
87 | 93 | Hawaii | 3 - 3 | 0.429 | 73 |
88 | 65 | Kent St. | 3 - 1 | 0.429 | 125 |
89 | 70 | Toledo | 2 - 2 | 0.416 | 119 |
90 | 80 | Louisville | 3 - 7 | 0.415 | 68 |
91 | 90 | Texas Tech | 3 - 6 | 0.415 | 29 |
92 | 84 | Mississippi St. | 2 - 6 | 0.394 | 7 |
93 | 88 | South Carolina | 2 - 7 | 0.374 | 11 |
94 | 102 | East Carolina | 3 - 6 | 0.369 | 69 |
95 | 86 | Troy | 4 - 5 | 0.368 | 102 |
96 | 95 | Charlotte | 2 - 3 | 0.365 | 96 |
97 | 97 | Colorado St. | 1 - 2 | 0.362 | 53 |
98 | 105 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 5 | 0.339 | 62 |
99 | 103 | South Alabama | 4 - 6 | 0.338 | 89 |
100 | 77 | Arizona | 0 - 3 | 0.338 | 19 |
101 | 96 | Arkansas St. | 3 - 7 | 0.327 | 76 |
102 | 101 | Navy | 3 - 5 | 0.314 | 65 |
103 | 85 | California | 0 - 3 | 0.306 | 63 |
104 | 100 | Duke | 2 - 7 | 0.304 | 54 |
105 | 106 | Western Kentucky | 4 - 6 | 0.292 | 94 |
106 | 104 | Florida St. | 2 - 6 | 0.288 | 47 |
107 | 108 | Texas St. | 2 - 10 | 0.260 | 52 |
108 | 107 | North Texas | 3 - 4 | 0.238 | 124 |
109 | 109 | Rice | 1 - 2 | 0.231 | 122 |
110 | 113 | Texas-El Paso | 3 - 4 | 0.222 | 115 |
111 | 114 | Utah St. | 1 - 4 | 0.221 | 75 |
112 | 110 | Middle Tennessee | 3 - 6 | 0.217 | 105 |
113 | 119 | South Florida | 1 - 8 | 0.197 | 49 |
114 | 117 | Southern Mississippi | 2 - 7 | 0.197 | 114 |
115 | 120 | Northern Illinois | 0 - 4 | 0.195 | 64 |
116 | 118 | Syracuse | 1 - 9 | 0.184 | 45 |
117 | 115 | Eastern Michigan | 0 - 4 | 0.176 | 98 |
118 | 116 | Massachusetts | 0 - 4 | 0.166 | 10 |
119 | 111 | New Mexico | 0 - 5 | 0.166 | 60 |
120 | 122 | Temple | 1 - 6 | 0.166 | 84 |
121 | 112 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 0 - 5 | 0.151 | 42 |
122 | 126 | Florida International | 0 - 5 | 0.132 | 110 |
123 | 121 | Vanderbilt | 0 - 8 | 0.131 | 21 |
124 | 123 | Kansas | 0 - 8 | 0.129 | 9 |
125 | 125 | Akron | 0 - 4 | 0.100 | 90 |
126 | 124 | Bowling Green | 0 - 4 | 0.099 | 86 |
127 | 127 | Wild Card U. | 1 - 32 | 0.089 | 0 |
128 | 128 | LA-Monroe | 0 - 9 | 0.082 | 77 |
2020 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2020 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Ten | 0-0 | .610 |
Independents | 24-6 | .592 |
SEC | 0-0 | .586 |
Big Twelve | 5-3 | .569 |
Pac-12 | 1-0 | .549 |
ACC | 11-3 | .540 |
AAC | 12-6 | .500 |
Sun Belt | 14-14 | .472 |
Mountain West | 1-2 | .453 |
MAC | 0-0 | .382 |
Conference USA | 16-19 | .380 |