ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11. New Mexico State is expected to play a spring schedule against lower division teams and will be added in a supplement after they have completed their schedule.

The estimated home field advantage is .560, or about 3.25 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 11-29-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2020 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Alabama 8 - 0 0.945 14
2 3 Brigham Young 9 - 0 0.904 107
3 4 Cincinnati 8 - 0 0.896 95
4 5 Notre Dame 9 - 0 0.893 83
5 8 Coastal Carolina 9 - 0 0.867 100
6 7 Ohio St. 4 - 0 0.866 33
7 6 Marshall 7 - 0 0.866 112
8 9 Clemson 8 - 1 0.863 72
9 11 Florida 7 - 1 0.849 27
10 2 Northwestern 5 - 1 0.836 16
11 10 Wisconsin 2 - 1 0.823 18
12 13 Georgia 6 - 2 0.818 12
13 14 Texas A&M 6 - 1 0.811 24
14 20 Indiana 5 - 1 0.802 31
15 19 Louisiana 8 - 1 0.781 81
16 18 Oklahoma 6 - 2 0.779 67
17 21 Iowa St. 7 - 2 0.776 35
18 16 Iowa 4 - 2 0.776 32
19 17 Miami, Florida 7 - 1 0.772 44
20 12 Southern California 3 - 0 0.752 59
21 23 Oklahoma St. 6 - 2 0.731 28
22 33 Colorado 3 - 0 0.710 56
23 35 Buffalo 4 - 0 0.709 123
24 34 Appalachian St. 7 - 2 0.703 103
25 27 Tulsa 5 - 1 0.703 66
26 22 Auburn 5 - 3 0.693 13
27 32 Washington 3 - 0 0.692 87
28 26 Texas 5 - 3 0.691 37
29 24 San Jose St. 4 - 0 0.687 109
30 15 Oregon 3 - 1 0.686 55
31 28 Florida Atlantic 5 - 1 0.685 111
32 30 Boise State 4 - 1 0.682 79
33 42 Liberty 9 - 1 0.665 127
34 37 Central Florida 6 - 3 0.656 78
35 29 North Carolina 6 - 3 0.654 70
36 39 West Virginia 5 - 3 0.651 85
37 41 Army 7 - 2 0.633 118
38 36 Western Michigan 4 - 0 0.628 121
39 25 Nevada 5 - 1 0.616 113
40 43 North Carolina St. 7 - 3 0.601 61
41 55 Missouri 4 - 3 0.599 26
42 46 Wake Forest 4 - 3 0.596 74
43 48 Mississippi 4 - 4 0.590 22
44 40 San Diego St. 3 - 3 0.589 80
45 38 Southern Methodist 7 - 3 0.579 99
46 69 Texas Christian 4 - 4 0.575 38
47 31 Purdue 2 - 3 0.570 17
48 52 UCLA 2 - 2 0.570 58
49 45 Arizona St. 0 - 1 0.565 51
50 56 AL-Birmingham 4 - 3 0.564 88
51 44 Maryland 2 - 2 0.561 6
52 47 Pittsburgh 5 - 5 0.553 57
53 61 Memphis 6 - 2 0.550 104
54 53 Virginia 4 - 4 0.549 50
55 60 Houston 3 - 3 0.547 43
56 63 Boston College 6 - 4 0.545 71
57 58 Arkansas 3 - 5 0.543 4
58 51 Louisiana St. 3 - 4 0.540 34
59 57 Virginia Tech 4 - 5 0.540 36
60 50 Washington St. 1 - 1 0.540 48
61 54 Air Force 2 - 2 0.526 92
62 66 Tulane 5 - 5 0.524 91
63 59 Minnesota 2 - 3 0.509 30
64 73 Central Michigan 3 - 1 0.507 116
65 79 Wyoming 2 - 2 0.506 97
66 62 Georgia Southern 6 - 4 0.503 101
67 82 Oregon St. 2 - 2 0.503 46
68 71 Fresno St. 3 - 1 0.498 117
69 89 Rutgers 2 - 4 0.496 15
70 67 Kansas St. 4 - 5 0.496 39
71 78 Texas-San Antonio 7 - 4 0.489 106
72 81 Georgia St. 5 - 4 0.486 82
73 64 Michigan 2 - 4 0.484 20
74 99 Michigan St. 2 - 3 0.484 2
75 72 Kentucky 3 - 6 0.461 8
76 49 Utah 0 - 2 0.460 25
77 68 Stanford 1 - 2 0.459 40
78 76 Tennessee 2 - 5 0.455 3
79 94 Miami, Ohio 2 - 1 0.454 108
80 87 Baylor 2 - 5 0.452 41
81 75 Illinois 2 - 3 0.451 23
82 91 Penn State 1 - 5 0.445 5
83 74 Nebraska 1 - 4 0.442 1
84 92 Ohio 2 - 1 0.441 126
85 83 Louisiana Tech 4 - 3 0.441 93
86 98 Ball St. 3 - 1 0.430 120
87 93 Hawaii 3 - 3 0.429 73
88 65 Kent St. 3 - 1 0.429 125
89 70 Toledo 2 - 2 0.416 119
90 80 Louisville 3 - 7 0.415 68
91 90 Texas Tech 3 - 6 0.415 29
92 84 Mississippi St. 2 - 6 0.394 7
93 88 South Carolina 2 - 7 0.374 11
94 102 East Carolina 3 - 6 0.369 69
95 86 Troy 4 - 5 0.368 102
96 95 Charlotte 2 - 3 0.365 96
97 97 Colorado St. 1 - 2 0.362 53
98 105 Georgia Tech 3 - 5 0.339 62
99 103 South Alabama 4 - 6 0.338 89
100 77 Arizona 0 - 3 0.338 19
101 96 Arkansas St. 3 - 7 0.327 76
102 101 Navy 3 - 5 0.314 65
103 85 California 0 - 3 0.306 63
104 100 Duke 2 - 7 0.304 54
105 106 Western Kentucky 4 - 6 0.292 94
106 104 Florida St. 2 - 6 0.288 47
107 108 Texas St. 2 - 10 0.260 52
108 107 North Texas 3 - 4 0.238 124
109 109 Rice 1 - 2 0.231 122
110 113 Texas-El Paso 3 - 4 0.222 115
111 114 Utah St. 1 - 4 0.221 75
112 110 Middle Tennessee 3 - 6 0.217 105
113 119 South Florida 1 - 8 0.197 49
114 117 Southern Mississippi 2 - 7 0.197 114
115 120 Northern Illinois 0 - 4 0.195 64
116 118 Syracuse 1 - 9 0.184 45
117 115 Eastern Michigan 0 - 4 0.176 98
118 116 Massachusetts 0 - 4 0.166 10
119 111 New Mexico 0 - 5 0.166 60
120 122 Temple 1 - 6 0.166 84
121 112 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 5 0.151 42
122 126 Florida International 0 - 5 0.132 110
123 121 Vanderbilt 0 - 8 0.131 21
124 123 Kansas 0 - 8 0.129 9
125 125 Akron 0 - 4 0.100 90
126 124 Bowling Green 0 - 4 0.099 86
127 127 Wild Card U. 1 - 32 0.089 0
128 128 LA-Monroe 0 - 9 0.082 77

2020 conference power ratings:

Conference2020 Record Power Rating
Big Ten 0-0 .610
Independents 24-6 .592
SEC 0-0 .586
Big Twelve 5-3 .569
Pac-12 1-0 .549
ACC 11-3 .540
AAC 12-6 .500
Sun Belt 14-14 .472
Mountain West 1-2.453
MAC 0-0 .382
Conference USA 16-19.380

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