The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2018 season as of 12-2-18. Teams included are the 130 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .561, or about 3.15 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
Click here to send me feedback.
ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 12-2-18
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2018 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 13 - 0 | 0.956 | 18 |
2 | 2 | Clemson | 13 - 0 | 0.953 | 35 |
3 | 4 | Notre Dame | 12 - 0 | 0.912 | 30 |
4 | 3 | Georgia | 11 - 2 | 0.895 | 2 |
5 | 6 | Michigan | 10 - 2 | 0.865 | 19 |
6 | 5 | Central Florida | 12 - 0 | 0.863 | 104 |
7 | 7 | Ohio St. | 12 - 1 | 0.856 | 38 |
8 | 8 | Oklahoma | 12 - 1 | 0.837 | 39 |
9 | 9 | Mississippi St. | 8 - 4 | 0.826 | 15 |
10 | 11 | Fresno St. | 11 - 2 | 0.820 | 88 |
11 | 15 | Washington | 10 - 3 | 0.808 | 31 |
12 | 10 | Kentucky | 9 - 3 | 0.801 | 20 |
13 | 12 | Florida | 9 - 3 | 0.800 | 28 |
14 | 13 | Louisiana St. | 9 - 3 | 0.799 | 12 |
15 | 14 | Penn State | 9 - 3 | 0.796 | 33 |
16 | 19 | Appalachian St. | 10 - 2 | 0.782 | 108 |
17 | 16 | Cincinnati | 10 - 2 | 0.779 | 101 |
18 | 17 | Missouri | 8 - 4 | 0.778 | 9 |
19 | 18 | Washington St. | 10 - 2 | 0.777 | 69 |
20 | 21 | Texas A&M | 8 - 4 | 0.769 | 3 |
21 | 20 | Utah | 9 - 4 | 0.761 | 29 |
22 | 22 | Boise State | 10 - 3 | 0.744 | 66 |
23 | 23 | Iowa | 8 - 4 | 0.742 | 49 |
24 | 25 | Auburn | 7 - 5 | 0.738 | 8 |
25 | 24 | West Virginia | 8 - 3 | 0.736 | 56 |
26 | 27 | Syracuse | 9 - 3 | 0.732 | 55 |
27 | 26 | Utah St. | 10 - 2 | 0.731 | 124 |
28 | 29 | Army | 9 - 2 | 0.713 | 102 |
29 | 32 | Stanford | 8 - 4 | 0.709 | 26 |
30 | 33 | North Carolina St. | 9 - 3 | 0.707 | 80 |
31 | 30 | South Carolina | 7 - 5 | 0.703 | 6 |
32 | 28 | Texas | 9 - 4 | 0.696 | 36 |
33 | 31 | Miami, Florida | 7 - 5 | 0.696 | 48 |
34 | 39 | AL-Birmingham | 10 - 3 | 0.663 | 122 |
35 | 37 | Oregon | 8 - 4 | 0.656 | 71 |
36 | 35 | Northwestern | 8 - 5 | 0.648 | 17 |
37 | 38 | Vanderbilt | 6 - 6 | 0.647 | 7 |
38 | 34 | Iowa St. | 8 - 4 | 0.647 | 53 |
39 | 40 | Purdue | 6 - 6 | 0.644 | 13 |
40 | 44 | Boston College | 7 - 5 | 0.642 | 42 |
41 | 41 | Michigan St. | 7 - 5 | 0.642 | 27 |
42 | 42 | Temple | 8 - 4 | 0.633 | 85 |
43 | 45 | Georgia Southern | 9 - 3 | 0.632 | 114 |
44 | 46 | Troy | 9 - 3 | 0.630 | 112 |
45 | 43 | Pittsburgh | 7 - 6 | 0.630 | 4 |
46 | 47 | Arizona St. | 7 - 5 | 0.629 | 45 |
47 | 36 | Buffalo | 10 - 3 | 0.627 | 117 |
48 | 48 | Georgia Tech | 7 - 5 | 0.623 | 51 |
49 | 49 | Wisconsin | 7 - 5 | 0.611 | 54 |
50 | 51 | Virginia | 7 - 5 | 0.608 | 70 |
51 | 50 | Ohio | 8 - 4 | 0.605 | 115 |
52 | 52 | Duke | 7 - 5 | 0.603 | 34 |
53 | 56 | North Texas | 9 - 3 | 0.582 | 130 |
54 | 57 | Oklahoma St. | 6 - 6 | 0.572 | 52 |
55 | 59 | Minnesota | 6 - 6 | 0.568 | 37 |
56 | 53 | Middle Tennessee | 8 - 5 | 0.568 | 77 |
57 | 55 | California | 7 - 5 | 0.567 | 61 |
58 | 61 | Brigham Young | 6 - 6 | 0.562 | 58 |
59 | 58 | Memphis | 8 - 5 | 0.560 | 111 |
60 | 60 | Texas Christian | 6 - 6 | 0.555 | 40 |
61 | 62 | Texas Tech | 5 - 7 | 0.551 | 44 |
62 | 63 | Houston | 8 - 4 | 0.550 | 121 |
63 | 74 | Northern Illinois | 8 - 5 | 0.547 | 63 |
64 | 64 | Maryland | 5 - 7 | 0.544 | 24 |
65 | 66 | Wake Forest | 6 - 6 | 0.543 | 41 |
66 | 67 | Arkansas St. | 8 - 4 | 0.543 | 113 |
67 | 54 | Marshall | 8 - 4 | 0.542 | 116 |
68 | 65 | Toledo | 7 - 5 | 0.541 | 110 |
69 | 68 | Tennessee | 5 - 7 | 0.539 | 5 |
70 | 70 | Southern California | 5 - 7 | 0.535 | 25 |
71 | 72 | Mississippi | 5 - 7 | 0.530 | 22 |
72 | 71 | Indiana | 5 - 7 | 0.529 | 16 |
73 | 69 | Florida International | 8 - 4 | 0.528 | 129 |
74 | 80 | Virginia Tech | 6 - 6 | 0.523 | 50 |
75 | 73 | Eastern Michigan | 7 - 5 | 0.520 | 109 |
76 | 75 | Nevada | 7 - 5 | 0.516 | 97 |
77 | 77 | San Diego St. | 7 - 5 | 0.510 | 84 |
78 | 76 | Miami, Ohio | 6 - 6 | 0.504 | 76 |
79 | 78 | Nebraska | 4 - 8 | 0.496 | 23 |
80 | 79 | Baylor | 6 - 6 | 0.487 | 59 |
81 | 81 | Louisiana | 7 - 6 | 0.486 | 75 |
82 | 86 | Florida St. | 5 - 7 | 0.480 | 10 |
83 | 82 | Western Michigan | 7 - 5 | 0.478 | 93 |
84 | 83 | Arizona | 5 - 7 | 0.473 | 57 |
85 | 85 | Southern Mississippi | 6 - 5 | 0.468 | 127 |
86 | 87 | Colorado | 5 - 7 | 0.466 | 62 |
87 | 84 | Kansas St. | 5 - 7 | 0.464 | 46 |
88 | 89 | Tulane | 6 - 6 | 0.456 | 74 |
89 | 88 | South Florida | 7 - 5 | 0.455 | 98 |
90 | 90 | Wyoming | 6 - 6 | 0.452 | 82 |
91 | 91 | Hawaii | 8 - 5 | 0.449 | 107 |
92 | 92 | Air Force | 5 - 7 | 0.444 | 95 |
93 | 93 | UCLA | 3 - 9 | 0.443 | 1 |
94 | 94 | Louisiana Tech | 7 - 5 | 0.438 | 119 |
95 | 95 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 7 | 0.428 | 81 |
96 | 96 | Southern Methodist | 5 - 7 | 0.420 | 68 |
97 | 97 | LA-Monroe | 6 - 6 | 0.391 | 99 |
98 | 98 | Coastal Carolina | 5 - 7 | 0.378 | 79 |
99 | 100 | Liberty | 6 - 6 | 0.365 | 120 |
100 | 99 | Charlotte | 5 - 7 | 0.356 | 92 |
101 | 101 | Navy | 3 - 9 | 0.339 | 47 |
102 | 102 | Massachusetts | 4 - 8 | 0.333 | 73 |
103 | 103 | North Carolina | 2 - 9 | 0.332 | 43 |
104 | 104 | Kansas | 3 - 9 | 0.322 | 67 |
105 | 105 | Illinois | 4 - 8 | 0.319 | 65 |
106 | 107 | Arkansas | 2 - 10 | 0.310 | 14 |
107 | 108 | Ball St. | 4 - 8 | 0.293 | 94 |
108 | 106 | Akron | 4 - 8 | 0.291 | 87 |
109 | 109 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 4 - 8 | 0.288 | 106 |
110 | 110 | Old Dominion | 4 - 8 | 0.278 | 123 |
111 | 112 | Oregon St. | 2 - 10 | 0.276 | 21 |
112 | 111 | Tulsa | 3 - 9 | 0.276 | 100 |
113 | 114 | New Mexico | 3 - 9 | 0.263 | 89 |
114 | 115 | Louisville | 2 - 10 | 0.248 | 11 |
115 | 113 | East Carolina | 3 - 9 | 0.243 | 78 |
116 | 116 | South Alabama | 3 - 9 | 0.242 | 83 |
117 | 117 | Colorado St. | 3 - 9 | 0.234 | 86 |
118 | 120 | Georgia St. | 2 - 10 | 0.220 | 72 |
119 | 118 | Western Kentucky | 3 - 9 | 0.218 | 125 |
120 | 119 | Bowling Green | 3 - 9 | 0.217 | 96 |
121 | 122 | Texas St. | 3 - 9 | 0.206 | 126 |
122 | 121 | Kent St. | 2 - 10 | 0.203 | 90 |
123 | 123 | New Mexico St. | 3 - 9 | 0.192 | 118 |
124 | 124 | San Jose St. | 1 - 11 | 0.182 | 60 |
125 | 126 | Texas-San Antonio | 3 - 9 | 0.169 | 105 |
126 | 125 | Rutgers | 1 - 11 | 0.169 | 32 |
127 | 127 | Rice | 2 - 11 | 0.151 | 103 |
128 | 128 | Central Michigan | 1 - 11 | 0.139 | 91 |
129 | 129 | Connecticut | 1 - 11 | 0.135 | 64 |
130 | 130 | Wild Card U. | 7 - 105 | 0.100 | 0 |
131 | 131 | Texas-El Paso | 1 - 11 | 0.099 | 128 |
2018 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2018 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 50-6 | .721 |
Big Ten | 28-14 | .602 |
ACC | 37-18 | .594 |
Pac-12 | 24-12 | .592 |
Big Twelve | 22-7 | .587 |
Independents | 34-25 | .513 |
AAC | 25-22 | .476 |
Mountain West | 26-23 | .469 |
Sun Belt | 21-18 | .451 |
MAC | 18-30 | .414 |
Conference USA | 22-34 | .392 |