The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2016 season as of December 4, 2016. Teams included are the 128 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams.
The estimated home field advantage is .559, or about 3.17 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.
Revised 12-4-16
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2016 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 13 - 0 | 0.961 | 8 |
2 | 2 | Ohio St. | 11 - 1 | 0.929 | 5 |
3 | 3 | Michigan | 10 - 2 | 0.900 | 16 |
4 | 5 | Washington | 12 - 1 | 0.899 | 46 |
5 | 4 | Clemson | 12 - 1 | 0.894 | 29 |
6 | 7 | Western Michigan | 13 - 0 | 0.852 | 119 |
7 | 6 | Wisconsin | 10 - 3 | 0.843 | 4 |
8 | 9 | Penn State | 11 - 2 | 0.841 | 9 |
9 | 8 | Colorado | 10 - 3 | 0.811 | 15 |
10 | 10 | Auburn | 8 - 4 | 0.803 | 19 |
11 | 11 | Southern California | 9 - 3 | 0.800 | 6 |
12 | 13 | Oklahoma | 10 - 2 | 0.799 | 36 |
13 | 12 | Louisiana St. | 7 - 4 | 0.786 | 3 |
14 | 15 | Florida St. | 9 - 3 | 0.773 | 23 |
15 | 16 | Louisville | 9 - 3 | 0.769 | 61 |
16 | 17 | Boise State | 10 - 2 | 0.755 | 72 |
17 | 18 | Stanford | 9 - 3 | 0.755 | 21 |
18 | 31 | Temple | 10 - 3 | 0.743 | 87 |
19 | 19 | West Virginia | 10 - 2 | 0.742 | 62 |
20 | 14 | Florida | 8 - 4 | 0.736 | 11 |
21 | 20 | Texas A&M | 8 - 4 | 0.734 | 30 |
22 | 21 | Miami, Florida | 8 - 4 | 0.730 | 57 |
23 | 25 | Washington St. | 8 - 4 | 0.721 | 39 |
24 | 26 | Houston | 9 - 3 | 0.718 | 79 |
25 | 22 | Virginia Tech | 9 - 4 | 0.717 | 53 |
26 | 24 | Tennessee | 8 - 4 | 0.716 | 18 |
27 | 29 | Iowa | 8 - 4 | 0.712 | 47 |
28 | 27 | Nebraska | 9 - 3 | 0.712 | 34 |
29 | 30 | South Florida | 10 - 2 | 0.711 | 85 |
30 | 32 | Western Kentucky | 10 - 3 | 0.706 | 105 |
31 | 23 | Oklahoma St. | 9 - 3 | 0.700 | 63 |
32 | 33 | Appalachian St. | 9 - 3 | 0.693 | 94 |
33 | 35 | Minnesota | 8 - 4 | 0.681 | 50 |
34 | 28 | Navy | 9 - 3 | 0.681 | 65 |
35 | 44 | Kansas St. | 8 - 4 | 0.674 | 66 |
36 | 36 | Utah | 8 - 4 | 0.674 | 48 |
37 | 37 | Pittsburgh | 8 - 4 | 0.667 | 41 |
38 | 38 | Brigham Young | 8 - 4 | 0.662 | 78 |
39 | 39 | Tulsa | 9 - 3 | 0.658 | 82 |
40 | 40 | Memphis | 8 - 4 | 0.655 | 77 |
41 | 45 | San Diego St. | 10 - 3 | 0.650 | 120 |
42 | 41 | North Carolina | 8 - 4 | 0.650 | 67 |
43 | 34 | Troy | 9 - 3 | 0.645 | 111 |
44 | 42 | Toledo | 9 - 3 | 0.641 | 113 |
45 | 43 | Georgia Tech | 8 - 4 | 0.640 | 49 |
46 | 46 | Arkansas | 7 - 5 | 0.620 | 24 |
47 | 47 | Air Force | 9 - 3 | 0.612 | 98 |
48 | 48 | Northwestern | 6 - 6 | 0.611 | 26 |
49 | 49 | Georgia | 7 - 5 | 0.603 | 32 |
50 | 50 | Kentucky | 7 - 5 | 0.592 | 38 |
51 | 51 | Vanderbilt | 6 - 6 | 0.587 | 25 |
52 | 52 | Colorado St. | 7 - 5 | 0.584 | 69 |
53 | 53 | Mississippi | 5 - 7 | 0.582 | 1 |
54 | 55 | North Carolina St. | 6 - 6 | 0.573 | 44 |
55 | 56 | Wyoming | 8 - 5 | 0.555 | 74 |
56 | 58 | Old Dominion | 9 - 3 | 0.555 | 125 |
57 | 59 | Central Florida | 6 - 6 | 0.550 | 70 |
58 | 54 | Texas Christian | 6 - 6 | 0.546 | 59 |
59 | 60 | Indiana | 6 - 6 | 0.543 | 37 |
60 | 57 | Louisiana Tech | 8 - 5 | 0.541 | 112 |
61 | 61 | Mississippi St. | 5 - 7 | 0.534 | 22 |
62 | 63 | California | 5 - 7 | 0.529 | 12 |
63 | 62 | Maryland | 6 - 6 | 0.526 | 35 |
64 | 64 | Baylor | 6 - 6 | 0.522 | 73 |
65 | 65 | New Mexico | 8 - 4 | 0.515 | 116 |
66 | 66 | Notre Dame | 4 - 8 | 0.515 | 33 |
67 | 67 | UCLA | 4 - 8 | 0.507 | 7 |
68 | 78 | Idaho | 8 - 4 | 0.497 | 95 |
69 | 70 | Texas | 5 - 7 | 0.494 | 51 |
70 | 68 | Missouri | 4 - 8 | 0.493 | 27 |
71 | 69 | Middle Tennessee | 8 - 4 | 0.493 | 124 |
72 | 79 | Arkansas St. | 7 - 5 | 0.488 | 114 |
73 | 71 | Army | 6 - 5 | 0.486 | 127 |
74 | 72 | Oregon | 4 - 8 | 0.485 | 10 |
75 | 73 | Arizona St. | 5 - 7 | 0.484 | 28 |
76 | 76 | Oregon St. | 4 - 8 | 0.483 | 13 |
77 | 75 | Texas Tech | 5 - 7 | 0.482 | 56 |
78 | 77 | Ohio | 8 - 5 | 0.479 | 121 |
79 | 74 | South Carolina | 6 - 6 | 0.476 | 45 |
80 | 80 | Wake Forest | 6 - 6 | 0.467 | 64 |
81 | 81 | Eastern Michigan | 7 - 5 | 0.462 | 100 |
82 | 83 | Michigan St. | 3 - 9 | 0.443 | 14 |
83 | 82 | Southern Mississippi | 6 - 6 | 0.438 | 109 |
84 | 84 | Texas-San Antonio | 6 - 6 | 0.429 | 108 |
85 | 90 | Georgia Southern | 5 - 7 | 0.427 | 83 |
86 | 85 | Boston College | 6 - 6 | 0.421 | 71 |
87 | 86 | Duke | 4 - 8 | 0.420 | 40 |
88 | 87 | Central Michigan | 6 - 6 | 0.418 | 99 |
89 | 88 | Southern Methodist | 5 - 7 | 0.414 | 52 |
90 | 96 | LA-Lafayette | 6 - 6 | 0.406 | 104 |
91 | 89 | Northern Illinois | 5 - 7 | 0.397 | 96 |
92 | 92 | South Alabama | 6 - 6 | 0.389 | 118 |
93 | 91 | Syracuse | 4 - 8 | 0.384 | 31 |
94 | 93 | Iowa St. | 3 - 9 | 0.371 | 55 |
95 | 94 | Tulane | 4 - 8 | 0.371 | 75 |
96 | 95 | Miami, Ohio | 6 - 6 | 0.368 | 123 |
97 | 97 | Arizona | 3 - 9 | 0.362 | 17 |
98 | 98 | Illinois | 3 - 9 | 0.341 | 20 |
99 | 99 | Hawaii | 6 - 7 | 0.341 | 91 |
100 | 100 | Utah St. | 3 - 9 | 0.339 | 60 |
101 | 101 | Akron | 5 - 7 | 0.336 | 101 |
102 | 102 | Cincinnati | 4 - 8 | 0.333 | 68 |
103 | 103 | East Carolina | 3 - 9 | 0.320 | 58 |
104 | 105 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 4 - 8 | 0.317 | 97 |
105 | 104 | North Texas | 5 - 7 | 0.315 | 102 |
106 | 106 | Purdue | 3 - 9 | 0.314 | 42 |
107 | 108 | Ball St. | 4 - 8 | 0.296 | 117 |
108 | 110 | Nevada | 5 - 7 | 0.292 | 128 |
109 | 111 | San Jose St. | 4 - 8 | 0.291 | 90 |
110 | 107 | LA-Monroe | 4 - 8 | 0.273 | 81 |
111 | 109 | Georgia St. | 3 - 9 | 0.270 | 89 |
112 | 113 | Bowling Green | 4 - 8 | 0.266 | 93 |
113 | 114 | Charlotte | 4 - 8 | 0.265 | 110 |
114 | 115 | Virginia | 2 - 10 | 0.262 | 54 |
115 | 112 | New Mexico St. | 3 - 9 | 0.260 | 76 |
116 | 116 | Florida International | 4 - 8 | 0.258 | 107 |
117 | 118 | Rutgers | 2 - 10 | 0.252 | 2 |
118 | 117 | Kent | 3 - 9 | 0.252 | 92 |
119 | 119 | Marshall | 3 - 9 | 0.245 | 103 |
120 | 120 | Kansas | 2 - 10 | 0.236 | 43 |
121 | 121 | Texas-El Paso | 4 - 8 | 0.233 | 126 |
122 | 123 | Rice | 3 - 9 | 0.222 | 106 |
123 | 122 | Massachusetts | 2 - 10 | 0.220 | 80 |
124 | 124 | Connecticut | 3 - 9 | 0.214 | 84 |
125 | 125 | Florida Atlantic | 3 - 9 | 0.206 | 115 |
126 | 127 | Fresno St. | 1 - 11 | 0.153 | 86 |
127 | 126 | Texas St. | 2 - 10 | 0.152 | 88 |
128 | 128 | Buffalo | 2 - 10 | 0.129 | 122 |
129 | 129 | Wild Card U. | 10 - 103 | 0.109 | 0 |
2016 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2016 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
SEC | 42-12 | .659 |
Pac-12 | 26-10 | .626 |
Big Ten | 32-10 | .618 |
ACC | 42-14 | .598 |
Big Twelve | 19-11 | .557 |
AAC | 31-16 | .531 |
Independents | 18-25 | .471 |
Mountain West | 26-23 | .450 |
MAC | 23-25 | .410 |
Sun Belt | 18-26 | .409 |
Conference USA | 20-32 | .377 |