ARGH 2022 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the 2022 season after games of 12-3-22. Teams currently included are the 131 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams, plus Jacksonville State and Sam Houston State.

The estimated home field advantage is .555, or about 2.70 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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ARGH Power Ratings Facebook Page, where I may post ratings, predictions, and picks as well as a few random opinions.

Because neither Army nor Navy is in a bowl, this will be the last set of ratings until all bowls except the Championship game have been played.

Revised 12-4-22

This Week	Last Week	Team	2022 Record	Power Rating	SOS
1	1	Georgia	13 - 0	0.949	23
2	2	Michigan	13 - 0	0.932	60
3	4	Ohio St.	11 - 1	0.884	47
4	3	Texas Christian	12 - 1	0.869	13
5	5	Alabama	10 - 2	0.859	31
6	6	Tennessee	10 - 2	0.845	33
7	9	Kansas St.	10 - 3	0.840	3
8	7	Penn State	10 - 2	0.839	41
9	10	Texas	8 - 4	0.816	2
10	12	Utah	10 - 3	0.815	37
11	11	Clemson	11 - 2	0.814	52
12	8	Southern California	11 - 2	0.805	32
13	13	Florida St.	9 - 3	0.791	44
14	15	Tulane	11 - 2	0.787	66
15	16	Oregon	9 - 3	0.768	27
16	14	Louisiana St.	9 - 4	0.764	12
17	17	Washington	10 - 2	0.756	72
18	18	Oregon St.	9 - 3	0.754	49
19	22	Troy	11 - 2	0.741	77
20	19	Mississippi St.	8 - 4	0.736	18
21	20	Illinois	8 - 4	0.732	67
22	21	Notre Dame	8 - 4	0.728	28
23	23	Mississippi	8 - 4	0.724	30
24	25	UCLA	9 - 3	0.716	61
25	26	Minnesota	8 - 4	0.716	78
26	27	South Alabama	10 - 2	0.703	110
27	28	Louisville	7 - 5	0.700	20
28	32	Texas-San Antonio	11 - 2	0.696	98
29	29	Texas Tech	7 - 5	0.696	6
30	24	Central Florida	9 - 4	0.691	65
31	31	North Carolina St.	8 - 4	0.686	50
32	30	Cincinnati	9 - 3	0.686	84
33	34	South Carolina	8 - 4	0.678	35
34	33	James Madison	8 - 3	0.674	92
35	36	Baylor	6 - 6	0.663	15
36	38	Syracuse	7 - 5	0.654	42
37	39	Kentucky	7 - 5	0.653	26
38	35	Purdue	8 - 5	0.651	36
39	40	Oklahoma St.	7 - 5	0.650	21
40	41	Oklahoma	6 - 6	0.650	8
41	42	Wake Forest	7 - 5	0.649	46
42	45	Florida	6 - 6	0.645	10
43	47	Maryland	7 - 5	0.641	45
44	44	Pittsburgh	8 - 4	0.641	74
45	46	Marshall	8 - 4	0.639	85
46	37	North Carolina	9 - 4	0.639	62
47	48	Kansas	6 - 6	0.636	5
48	49	Washington St.	7 - 5	0.633	53
49	50	Air Force	9 - 3	0.632	129
50	58	Fresno St.	9 - 4	0.620	100
51	51	Arkansas	6 - 6	0.619	17
52	43	Boise State	9 - 4	0.614	114
53	53	Iowa	7 - 5	0.613	57
54	52	Southern Methodist	7 - 5	0.610	51
55	55	Wisconsin	6 - 6	0.602	55
56	54	Duke	8 - 4	0.598	99
57	57	Houston	7 - 5	0.590	59
58	59	Missouri	6 - 6	0.589	25
59	56	Coastal Carolina	9 - 3	0.571	86
60	60	West Virginia	5 - 7	0.568	9
61	61	Western Kentucky	8 - 5	0.568	115
62	62	East Carolina	7 - 5	0.565	75
63	63	Auburn	5 - 7	0.563	4
64	64	Memphis	6 - 6	0.560	73
65	66	Brigham Young	7 - 5	0.557	68
66	65	Iowa St.	4 - 8	0.556	7
67	67	Texas A&M	5 - 7	0.546	38
68	68	Michigan St.	5 - 7	0.545	14
69	70	Appalachian St.	6 - 6	0.525	87
70	71	Louisiana	6 - 6	0.516	82
71	69	Ohio	9 - 4	0.515	120
72	72	AL-Birmingham	6 - 6	0.506	93
73	73	Arizona	5 - 7	0.498	29
74	82	Toledo	8 - 5	0.494	124
75	75	Liberty	8 - 4	0.492	125
76	77	Southern Mississippi	6 - 6	0.487	79
77	74	Georgia Southern	6 - 6	0.486	81
78	78	San Jose St.	7 - 4	0.481	128
79	79	San Diego St.	7 - 5	0.473	106
80	76	North Texas	7 - 6	0.472	96
81	81	Vanderbilt	5 - 7	0.468	19
82	80	Army	5 - 6	0.466	101
83	83	California	4 - 8	0.449	40
84	85	Tulsa	5 - 7	0.444	70
85	86	Miami, Florida	5 - 7	0.441	64
86	84	Navy	4 - 7	0.440	58
87	87	Indiana	4 - 8	0.437	16
88	89	Middle Tennessee	7 - 5	0.435	122
89	88	Georgia Tech	5 - 7	0.434	24
90	90	Wyoming	7 - 5	0.428	108
91	91	Kent St.	5 - 7	0.426	83
92	92	Georgia St.	4 - 8	0.415	71
93	94	Nebraska	4 - 8	0.413	54
94	93	Florida Atlantic	5 - 7	0.410	109
95	95	Arizona St.	3 - 9	0.406	34
96	96	Eastern Michigan	8 - 4	0.405	130
97	97	Stanford	3 - 9	0.400	11
98	98	Buffalo	6 - 6	0.398	127
99	99	Jacksonville St.	9 - 2	0.376	133
100	100	Connecticut	6 - 6	0.374	94
101	102	Rutgers	4 - 8	0.363	43
102	101	Miami, Ohio	6 - 6	0.360	123
103	103	Bowling Green	6 - 6	0.360	95
104	105	Utah St.	6 - 6	0.353	111
105	104	Rice	5 - 7	0.352	88
106	107	LA-Monroe	4 - 8	0.351	56
107	108	Nevada-Las Vegas	5 - 7	0.349	118
108	106	Virginia	3 - 7	0.348	63
109	109	Ball St.	5 - 7	0.343	112
110	110	Texas-El Paso	5 - 7	0.340	119
111	118	New Mexico St.	6 - 6	0.330	131
112	112	Texas St.	4 - 8	0.323	90
113	111	Virginia Tech	3 - 8	0.320	76
114	113	Central Michigan	4 - 8	0.320	105
115	114	Boston College	3 - 9	0.318	39
116	115	Western Michigan	5 - 7	0.316	117
117	116	Old Dominion	3 - 9	0.312	69
118	117	Arkansas St.	3 - 9	0.309	80
119	119	Louisiana Tech	3 - 9	0.279	89
120	120	Temple	3 - 9	0.271	91
121	121	South Florida	1 - 11	0.257	48
122	122	Northern Illinois	3 - 9	0.248	121
123	123	Colorado	1 - 11	0.219	1
124	124	Northwestern	1 - 11	0.214	22
125	125	Charlotte	3 - 9	0.210	113
126	126	Akron	2 - 10	0.195	102
127	128	Hawaii	3 - 10	0.193	107
128	127	Florida International	4 - 8	0.192	126
129	129	Sam Houston St.	5 - 4	0.186	132
130	130	Colorado St.	3 - 9	0.186	103
131	131	Nevada	2 - 10	0.174	116
132	132	New Mexico	2 - 10	0.161	97
133	133	Wild Card U.	12 - 124	0.112	0
134	134	Massachusetts	1 - 11	0.102	104

2022 conference power ratings:

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