The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.
Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11. New Mexico State is expected to play a spring schedule against lower division teams and will be added in a supplement after they have completed their schedule.
The estimated home field advantage is .558, or about 3.08 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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Revised 12-6-20
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2020 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 9 - 0 | 0.948 | 15 |
2 | 3 | Cincinnati | 8 - 0 | 0.892 | 93 |
3 | 6 | Ohio St. | 5 - 0 | 0.892 | 28 |
4 | 5 | Coastal Carolina | 10 - 0 | 0.889 | 86 |
5 | 4 | Notre Dame | 10 - 0 | 0.880 | 98 |
6 | 8 | Clemson | 9 - 1 | 0.873 | 66 |
7 | 2 | Brigham Young | 9 - 1 | 0.867 | 89 |
8 | 9 | Florida | 8 - 1 | 0.850 | 30 |
9 | 14 | Indiana | 6 - 1 | 0.840 | 18 |
10 | 10 | Northwestern | 5 - 1 | 0.830 | 16 |
11 | 13 | Texas A&M | 7 - 1 | 0.823 | 24 |
12 | 12 | Georgia | 6 - 2 | 0.814 | 11 |
13 | 15 | Louisiana | 9 - 1 | 0.807 | 62 |
14 | 19 | Miami, Florida | 8 - 1 | 0.804 | 58 |
15 | 17 | Iowa St. | 8 - 2 | 0.798 | 38 |
16 | 11 | Wisconsin | 2 - 2 | 0.790 | 8 |
17 | 7 | Marshall | 7 - 1 | 0.786 | 115 |
18 | 18 | Iowa | 5 - 2 | 0.782 | 37 |
19 | 16 | Oklahoma | 7 - 2 | 0.776 | 75 |
20 | 20 | Southern California | 4 - 0 | 0.769 | 85 |
21 | 22 | Colorado | 4 - 0 | 0.759 | 59 |
22 | 29 | San Jose St. | 5 - 0 | 0.759 | 100 |
23 | 25 | Tulsa | 6 - 1 | 0.722 | 73 |
24 | 28 | Texas | 6 - 3 | 0.707 | 46 |
25 | 23 | Buffalo | 4 - 0 | 0.686 | 124 |
26 | 32 | Boise State | 4 - 1 | 0.683 | 78 |
27 | 24 | Appalachian St. | 7 - 3 | 0.683 | 91 |
28 | 21 | Oklahoma St. | 6 - 3 | 0.678 | 31 |
29 | 33 | Liberty | 9 - 1 | 0.663 | 126 |
30 | 26 | Auburn | 5 - 4 | 0.663 | 9 |
31 | 34 | Central Florida | 6 - 3 | 0.652 | 79 |
32 | 39 | Nevada | 6 - 1 | 0.649 | 114 |
33 | 35 | North Carolina | 7 - 3 | 0.649 | 90 |
34 | 37 | Army | 7 - 2 | 0.644 | 120 |
35 | 44 | San Diego St. | 4 - 3 | 0.623 | 81 |
36 | 48 | UCLA | 3 - 2 | 0.622 | 60 |
37 | 41 | Missouri | 5 - 3 | 0.617 | 29 |
38 | 61 | Air Force | 3 - 2 | 0.607 | 92 |
39 | 40 | North Carolina St. | 8 - 3 | 0.604 | 72 |
40 | 46 | Texas Christian | 5 - 4 | 0.599 | 41 |
41 | 31 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 2 | 0.598 | 109 |
42 | 42 | Wake Forest | 4 - 3 | 0.594 | 68 |
43 | 43 | Mississippi | 4 - 4 | 0.588 | 25 |
44 | 36 | West Virginia | 5 - 4 | 0.585 | 76 |
45 | 30 | Oregon | 3 - 2 | 0.584 | 74 |
46 | 45 | Southern Methodist | 7 - 3 | 0.583 | 101 |
47 | 51 | Maryland | 2 - 2 | 0.580 | 3 |
48 | 27 | Washington | 3 - 1 | 0.578 | 96 |
49 | 50 | AL-Birmingham | 4 - 3 | 0.576 | 82 |
50 | 54 | Virginia | 5 - 4 | 0.575 | 56 |
51 | 66 | Georgia Southern | 7 - 4 | 0.568 | 94 |
52 | 62 | Tulane | 6 - 5 | 0.559 | 87 |
53 | 55 | Houston | 3 - 3 | 0.553 | 43 |
54 | 86 | Ball St. | 4 - 1 | 0.551 | 117 |
55 | 52 | Pittsburgh | 5 - 5 | 0.545 | 63 |
56 | 77 | Stanford | 2 - 2 | 0.535 | 33 |
57 | 57 | Arkansas | 3 - 6 | 0.529 | 5 |
58 | 82 | Penn State | 2 - 5 | 0.518 | 6 |
59 | 83 | Nebraska | 2 - 4 | 0.514 | 4 |
60 | 53 | Memphis | 6 - 3 | 0.514 | 103 |
61 | 72 | Georgia St. | 5 - 4 | 0.511 | 69 |
62 | 58 | Louisiana St. | 3 - 5 | 0.510 | 19 |
63 | 56 | Boston College | 6 - 5 | 0.508 | 65 |
64 | 75 | Kentucky | 4 - 6 | 0.506 | 14 |
65 | 59 | Virginia Tech | 4 - 6 | 0.504 | 27 |
66 | 63 | Minnesota | 2 - 3 | 0.499 | 34 |
67 | 71 | Texas-San Antonio | 7 - 4 | 0.498 | 106 |
68 | 47 | Purdue | 2 - 4 | 0.491 | 26 |
69 | 73 | Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.489 | 20 |
70 | 38 | Western Michigan | 4 - 1 | 0.481 | 123 |
71 | 49 | Arizona St. | 0 - 2 | 0.477 | 32 |
72 | 79 | Miami, Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.474 | 104 |
73 | 76 | Utah | 1 - 2 | 0.471 | 45 |
74 | 85 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 3 | 0.470 | 99 |
75 | 68 | Fresno St. | 3 - 2 | 0.464 | 112 |
76 | 74 | Michigan St. | 2 - 4 | 0.455 | 1 |
77 | 89 | Toledo | 3 - 2 | 0.454 | 122 |
78 | 95 | Troy | 5 - 5 | 0.445 | 102 |
79 | 78 | Tennessee | 2 - 6 | 0.443 | 2 |
80 | 60 | Washington St. | 1 - 2 | 0.442 | 40 |
81 | 70 | Kansas St. | 4 - 6 | 0.441 | 39 |
82 | 69 | Rutgers | 2 - 5 | 0.436 | 22 |
83 | 65 | Wyoming | 2 - 3 | 0.435 | 107 |
84 | 88 | Kent St. | 3 - 1 | 0.431 | 125 |
85 | 80 | Baylor | 2 - 6 | 0.429 | 35 |
86 | 87 | Hawaii | 3 - 4 | 0.428 | 49 |
87 | 81 | Illinois | 2 - 4 | 0.418 | 23 |
88 | 67 | Oregon St. | 2 - 3 | 0.417 | 71 |
89 | 64 | Central Michigan | 3 - 2 | 0.415 | 116 |
90 | 90 | Louisville | 3 - 7 | 0.411 | 67 |
91 | 84 | Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.403 | 127 |
92 | 91 | Texas Tech | 4 - 6 | 0.403 | 54 |
93 | 92 | Mississippi St. | 2 - 6 | 0.403 | 7 |
94 | 109 | Rice | 2 - 2 | 0.392 | 108 |
95 | 94 | East Carolina | 3 - 6 | 0.379 | 64 |
96 | 103 | California | 1 - 3 | 0.377 | 57 |
97 | 101 | Arkansas St. | 4 - 7 | 0.361 | 84 |
98 | 93 | South Carolina | 2 - 8 | 0.340 | 12 |
99 | 105 | Western Kentucky | 5 - 6 | 0.337 | 97 |
100 | 97 | Colorado St. | 1 - 3 | 0.325 | 48 |
101 | 99 | South Alabama | 4 - 7 | 0.319 | 80 |
102 | 98 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 6 | 0.319 | 61 |
103 | 102 | Navy | 3 - 6 | 0.312 | 47 |
104 | 100 | Arizona | 0 - 4 | 0.307 | 10 |
105 | 96 | Charlotte | 2 - 4 | 0.295 | 105 |
106 | 117 | Eastern Michigan | 1 - 4 | 0.291 | 88 |
107 | 106 | Florida St. | 2 - 6 | 0.289 | 50 |
108 | 107 | Texas St. | 2 - 10 | 0.279 | 44 |
109 | 104 | Duke | 2 - 8 | 0.263 | 52 |
110 | 119 | New Mexico | 1 - 5 | 0.252 | 53 |
111 | 112 | Middle Tennessee | 3 - 6 | 0.251 | 95 |
112 | 108 | North Texas | 3 - 5 | 0.249 | 121 |
113 | 110 | Texas-El Paso | 3 - 4 | 0.223 | 118 |
114 | 114 | Southern Mississippi | 2 - 7 | 0.222 | 111 |
115 | 111 | Utah St. | 1 - 5 | 0.205 | 55 |
116 | 113 | South Florida | 1 - 8 | 0.201 | 51 |
117 | 116 | Syracuse | 1 - 10 | 0.187 | 36 |
118 | 120 | Temple | 1 - 6 | 0.171 | 83 |
119 | 115 | Northern Illinois | 0 - 5 | 0.159 | 77 |
120 | 121 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 0 - 5 | 0.158 | 42 |
121 | 118 | Massachusetts | 0 - 4 | 0.158 | 13 |
122 | 123 | Vanderbilt | 0 - 8 | 0.137 | 21 |
123 | 122 | Florida International | 0 - 5 | 0.137 | 113 |
124 | 125 | Akron | 1 - 4 | 0.132 | 119 |
125 | 124 | Kansas | 0 - 9 | 0.111 | 17 |
126 | 127 | Wild Card U. | 1 - 33 | 0.091 | 0 |
127 | 128 | LA-Monroe | 0 - 10 | 0.078 | 70 |
128 | 126 | Bowling Green | 0 - 5 | 0.064 | 110 |
2020 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2020 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Ten | 0-0 | .610 |
SEC | 0-0 | .584 |
Independents | 24-7 | .583 |
Big Twelve | 5-3 | .553 |
ACC | 12-3 | .534 |
Pac-12 | 1-0 | .528 |
AAC | 12-6 | .503 |
Sun Belt | 16-14 | .494 |
Mountain West | 1-2 | .466 |
Conference USA | 16-20 | .387 |
MAC | 0-0 | .378 |