ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11. New Mexico State is expected to play a spring schedule against lower division teams and will be added in a supplement after they have completed their schedule.

The estimated home field advantage is .558, or about 3.08 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 12-6-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2020 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Alabama 9 - 0 0.948 15
2 3 Cincinnati 8 - 0 0.892 93
3 6 Ohio St. 5 - 0 0.892 28
4 5 Coastal Carolina 10 - 0 0.889 86
5 4 Notre Dame 10 - 0 0.880 98
6 8 Clemson 9 - 1 0.873 66
7 2 Brigham Young 9 - 1 0.867 89
8 9 Florida 8 - 1 0.850 30
9 14 Indiana 6 - 1 0.840 18
10 10 Northwestern 5 - 1 0.830 16
11 13 Texas A&M 7 - 1 0.823 24
12 12 Georgia 6 - 2 0.814 11
13 15 Louisiana 9 - 1 0.807 62
14 19 Miami, Florida 8 - 1 0.804 58
15 17 Iowa St. 8 - 2 0.798 38
16 11 Wisconsin 2 - 2 0.790 8
17 7 Marshall 7 - 1 0.786 115
18 18 Iowa 5 - 2 0.782 37
19 16 Oklahoma 7 - 2 0.776 75
20 20 Southern California 4 - 0 0.769 85
21 22 Colorado 4 - 0 0.759 59
22 29 San Jose St. 5 - 0 0.759 100
23 25 Tulsa 6 - 1 0.722 73
24 28 Texas 6 - 3 0.707 46
25 23 Buffalo 4 - 0 0.686 124
26 32 Boise State 4 - 1 0.683 78
27 24 Appalachian St. 7 - 3 0.683 91
28 21 Oklahoma St. 6 - 3 0.678 31
29 33 Liberty 9 - 1 0.663 126
30 26 Auburn 5 - 4 0.663 9
31 34 Central Florida 6 - 3 0.652 79
32 39 Nevada 6 - 1 0.649 114
33 35 North Carolina 7 - 3 0.649 90
34 37 Army 7 - 2 0.644 120
35 44 San Diego St. 4 - 3 0.623 81
36 48 UCLA 3 - 2 0.622 60
37 41 Missouri 5 - 3 0.617 29
38 61 Air Force 3 - 2 0.607 92
39 40 North Carolina St. 8 - 3 0.604 72
40 46 Texas Christian 5 - 4 0.599 41
41 31 Florida Atlantic 5 - 2 0.598 109
42 42 Wake Forest 4 - 3 0.594 68
43 43 Mississippi 4 - 4 0.588 25
44 36 West Virginia 5 - 4 0.585 76
45 30 Oregon 3 - 2 0.584 74
46 45 Southern Methodist 7 - 3 0.583 101
47 51 Maryland 2 - 2 0.580 3
48 27 Washington 3 - 1 0.578 96
49 50 AL-Birmingham 4 - 3 0.576 82
50 54 Virginia 5 - 4 0.575 56
51 66 Georgia Southern 7 - 4 0.568 94
52 62 Tulane 6 - 5 0.559 87
53 55 Houston 3 - 3 0.553 43
54 86 Ball St. 4 - 1 0.551 117
55 52 Pittsburgh 5 - 5 0.545 63
56 77 Stanford 2 - 2 0.535 33
57 57 Arkansas 3 - 6 0.529 5
58 82 Penn State 2 - 5 0.518 6
59 83 Nebraska 2 - 4 0.514 4
60 53 Memphis 6 - 3 0.514 103
61 72 Georgia St. 5 - 4 0.511 69
62 58 Louisiana St. 3 - 5 0.510 19
63 56 Boston College 6 - 5 0.508 65
64 75 Kentucky 4 - 6 0.506 14
65 59 Virginia Tech 4 - 6 0.504 27
66 63 Minnesota 2 - 3 0.499 34
67 71 Texas-San Antonio 7 - 4 0.498 106
68 47 Purdue 2 - 4 0.491 26
69 73 Michigan 2 - 4 0.489 20
70 38 Western Michigan 4 - 1 0.481 123
71 49 Arizona St. 0 - 2 0.477 32
72 79 Miami, Ohio 2 - 1 0.474 104
73 76 Utah 1 - 2 0.471 45
74 85 Louisiana Tech 5 - 3 0.470 99
75 68 Fresno St. 3 - 2 0.464 112
76 74 Michigan St. 2 - 4 0.455 1
77 89 Toledo 3 - 2 0.454 122
78 95 Troy 5 - 5 0.445 102
79 78 Tennessee 2 - 6 0.443 2
80 60 Washington St. 1 - 2 0.442 40
81 70 Kansas St. 4 - 6 0.441 39
82 69 Rutgers 2 - 5 0.436 22
83 65 Wyoming 2 - 3 0.435 107
84 88 Kent St. 3 - 1 0.431 125
85 80 Baylor 2 - 6 0.429 35
86 87 Hawaii 3 - 4 0.428 49
87 81 Illinois 2 - 4 0.418 23
88 67 Oregon St. 2 - 3 0.417 71
89 64 Central Michigan 3 - 2 0.415 116
90 90 Louisville 3 - 7 0.411 67
91 84 Ohio 2 - 1 0.403 127
92 91 Texas Tech 4 - 6 0.403 54
93 92 Mississippi St. 2 - 6 0.403 7
94 109 Rice 2 - 2 0.392 108
95 94 East Carolina 3 - 6 0.379 64
96 103 California 1 - 3 0.377 57
97 101 Arkansas St. 4 - 7 0.361 84
98 93 South Carolina 2 - 8 0.340 12
99 105 Western Kentucky 5 - 6 0.337 97
100 97 Colorado St. 1 - 3 0.325 48
101 99 South Alabama 4 - 7 0.319 80
102 98 Georgia Tech 3 - 6 0.319 61
103 102 Navy 3 - 6 0.312 47
104 100 Arizona 0 - 4 0.307 10
105 96 Charlotte 2 - 4 0.295 105
106 117 Eastern Michigan 1 - 4 0.291 88
107 106 Florida St. 2 - 6 0.289 50
108 107 Texas St. 2 - 10 0.279 44
109 104 Duke 2 - 8 0.263 52
110 119 New Mexico 1 - 5 0.252 53
111 112 Middle Tennessee 3 - 6 0.251 95
112 108 North Texas 3 - 5 0.249 121
113 110 Texas-El Paso 3 - 4 0.223 118
114 114 Southern Mississippi 2 - 7 0.222 111
115 111 Utah St. 1 - 5 0.205 55
116 113 South Florida 1 - 8 0.201 51
117 116 Syracuse 1 - 10 0.187 36
118 120 Temple 1 - 6 0.171 83
119 115 Northern Illinois 0 - 5 0.159 77
120 121 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 5 0.158 42
121 118 Massachusetts 0 - 4 0.158 13
122 123 Vanderbilt 0 - 8 0.137 21
123 122 Florida International 0 - 5 0.137 113
124 125 Akron 1 - 4 0.132 119
125 124 Kansas 0 - 9 0.111 17
126 127 Wild Card U. 1 - 33 0.091 0
127 128 LA-Monroe 0 - 10 0.078 70
128 126 Bowling Green 0 - 5 0.064 110

2020 conference power ratings:

Conference2020 Record Power Rating
Big Ten 0-0 .610
SEC 0-0 .584
Independents 24-7 .583
Big Twelve 5-3 .553
ACC 12-3 .534
Pac-12 1-0 .528
AAC 12-6 .503
Sun Belt 16-14 .494
Mountain West 1-2.466
Conference USA 16-20.387
MAC 0-0 .378

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