ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11. New Mexico State is expected to play a spring schedule against lower division teams and will be added in a supplement after they have completed their schedule.

The estimated home field advantage is .557, or about 3.01 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 12-13-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2020 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Alabama 10 - 0 0.953 15
2 3 Ohio St. 5 - 0 0.889 29
3 2 Cincinnati 8 - 0 0.888 96
4 4 Coastal Carolina 11 - 0 0.879 86
5 5 Notre Dame 10 - 0 0.878 97
6 7 Brigham Young 10 - 1 0.872 92
7 6 Clemson 9 - 1 0.864 75
8 12 Georgia 7 - 2 0.833 13
9 9 Indiana 6 - 1 0.832 18
10 10 Northwestern 6 - 1 0.829 30
11 11 Texas A&M 7 - 1 0.819 24
12 18 Iowa 6 - 2 0.816 28
13 15 Iowa St. 8 - 2 0.803 34
14 13 Louisiana 9 - 1 0.803 58
15 22 San Jose St. 6 - 0 0.803 90
16 8 Florida 8 - 2 0.798 36
17 20 Southern California 5 - 0 0.785 73
18 19 Oklahoma 7 - 2 0.783 65
19 17 Marshall 7 - 1 0.769 118
20 14 Miami, Florida 8 - 2 0.738 46
21 16 Wisconsin 2 - 3 0.735 3
22 28 Oklahoma St. 7 - 3 0.728 31
23 23 Tulsa 6 - 1 0.722 74
24 24 Texas 6 - 3 0.715 39
25 26 Boise State 5 - 1 0.708 79
26 25 Buffalo 5 - 0 0.707 126
27 27 Appalachian St. 8 - 3 0.695 94
28 33 North Carolina 8 - 3 0.691 81
29 30 Auburn 6 - 4 0.684 11
30 34 Army 8 - 2 0.663 120
31 29 Liberty 9 - 1 0.662 125
32 40 Texas Christian 6 - 4 0.657 42
33 31 Central Florida 6 - 3 0.648 80
34 21 Colorado 4 - 1 0.636 72
35 38 Air Force 3 - 2 0.622 87
36 32 Nevada 6 - 2 0.612 105
37 39 North Carolina St. 8 - 3 0.599 77
38 44 West Virginia 5 - 4 0.598 66
39 71 Arizona St. 1 - 2 0.587 56
40 35 San Diego St. 4 - 4 0.587 63
41 46 Southern Methodist 7 - 3 0.586 102
42 73 Utah 2 - 2 0.585 33
43 49 AL-Birmingham 5 - 3 0.582 93
44 43 Mississippi 4 - 4 0.582 27
45 54 Ball St. 5 - 1 0.580 114
46 37 Missouri 5 - 4 0.576 22
47 48 Washington 3 - 1 0.571 104
48 55 Pittsburgh 6 - 5 0.568 64
49 36 UCLA 3 - 3 0.567 49
50 45 Oregon 3 - 2 0.567 82
51 62 Louisiana St. 4 - 5 0.564 12
52 52 Tulane 6 - 5 0.561 84
53 58 Penn State 3 - 5 0.555 9
54 60 Memphis 7 - 3 0.539 100
55 66 Minnesota 3 - 3 0.539 38
56 65 Virginia Tech 5 - 6 0.536 32
57 42 Wake Forest 4 - 4 0.535 68
58 51 Georgia Southern 7 - 5 0.534 95
59 56 Stanford 3 - 2 0.534 53
60 47 Maryland 2 - 3 0.530 6
61 50 Virginia 5 - 5 0.528 52
62 53 Houston 3 - 4 0.521 40
63 63 Boston College 6 - 5 0.515 62
64 61 Georgia St. 5 - 4 0.513 70
65 68 Purdue 2 - 4 0.506 20
66 64 Kentucky 4 - 6 0.505 16
67 57 Arkansas 3 - 7 0.503 2
68 67 Texas-San Antonio 7 - 4 0.495 108
69 69 Michigan 2 - 4 0.493 17
70 82 Rutgers 3 - 5 0.487 21
71 77 Toledo 4 - 2 0.486 123
72 41 Florida Atlantic 5 - 3 0.479 117
73 59 Nebraska 2 - 5 0.479 4
74 72 Miami, Ohio 2 - 1 0.475 106
75 79 Tennessee 3 - 6 0.475 8
76 90 Louisville 4 - 7 0.462 69
77 81 Kansas St. 4 - 6 0.461 35
78 70 Western Michigan 4 - 2 0.457 121
79 78 Troy 5 - 6 0.454 89
80 86 Hawaii 4 - 4 0.450 76
81 80 Washington St. 1 - 2 0.443 43
82 74 Louisiana Tech 5 - 4 0.436 88
83 76 Michigan St. 2 - 5 0.430 1
84 84 Kent St. 3 - 1 0.429 124
85 83 Wyoming 2 - 4 0.429 98
86 92 Texas Tech 4 - 6 0.423 45
87 87 Illinois 2 - 5 0.417 7
88 88 Oregon St. 2 - 4 0.398 67
89 85 Baylor 2 - 7 0.396 23
90 89 Central Michigan 3 - 3 0.394 113
91 75 Fresno St. 3 - 3 0.390 116
92 91 Ohio 2 - 1 0.388 127
93 94 Rice 2 - 3 0.383 101
94 93 Mississippi St. 2 - 7 0.383 5
95 95 East Carolina 3 - 6 0.383 59
96 97 Arkansas St. 4 - 7 0.370 83
97 96 California 1 - 3 0.365 60
98 98 South Carolina 2 - 8 0.347 14
99 99 Western Kentucky 5 - 6 0.340 103
100 107 Florida St. 3 - 6 0.338 61
101 110 New Mexico 2 - 5 0.337 51
102 101 South Alabama 4 - 7 0.328 78
103 100 Colorado St. 1 - 3 0.315 55
104 106 Eastern Michigan 2 - 4 0.315 107
105 102 Georgia Tech 3 - 7 0.311 50
106 103 Navy 3 - 7 0.302 41
107 105 Charlotte 2 - 4 0.286 111
108 108 Texas St. 2 - 10 0.285 44
109 114 Southern Mississippi 3 - 7 0.273 109
110 112 North Texas 4 - 5 0.269 122
111 111 Middle Tennessee 3 - 6 0.259 99
112 109 Duke 2 - 9 0.243 57
113 113 Texas-El Paso 3 - 5 0.218 119
114 116 South Florida 1 - 8 0.208 48
115 115 Utah St. 1 - 5 0.208 54
116 117 Syracuse 1 - 10 0.195 37
117 104 Arizona 0 - 5 0.193 19
118 118 Temple 1 - 6 0.179 85
119 119 Northern Illinois 0 - 6 0.151 91
120 121 Massachusetts 0 - 4 0.140 25
121 120 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 6 0.139 47
122 123 Florida International 0 - 5 0.134 115
123 125 Kansas 0 - 9 0.123 10
124 124 Akron 1 - 5 0.123 112
125 122 Vanderbilt 0 - 9 0.121 26
126 126 Wild Card U. 1 - 33 0.096 0
127 127 LA-Monroe 0 - 10 0.083 71
128 128 Bowling Green 0 - 5 0.065 110

2020 conference power ratings:

Conference2020 Record Power Rating
Big Ten 0-0 .610
Independents 26-7 .584
SEC 0-0 .582
Big Twelve 6-3 .569
ACC 12-3 .533
Pac-12 1-0 .519
AAC 12-7 .503
Sun Belt 16-14 .494
Mountain West 1-3.467
MAC 0-0 .381
Conference USA 16-21.379

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