The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.
Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11. New Mexico State is expected to play a spring schedule against lower division teams and will be added in a supplement after they have completed their schedule.
The estimated home field advantage is .557, or about 3.01 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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Revised 12-13-20
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2020 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 10 - 0 | 0.953 | 15 |
2 | 3 | Ohio St. | 5 - 0 | 0.889 | 29 |
3 | 2 | Cincinnati | 8 - 0 | 0.888 | 96 |
4 | 4 | Coastal Carolina | 11 - 0 | 0.879 | 86 |
5 | 5 | Notre Dame | 10 - 0 | 0.878 | 97 |
6 | 7 | Brigham Young | 10 - 1 | 0.872 | 92 |
7 | 6 | Clemson | 9 - 1 | 0.864 | 75 |
8 | 12 | Georgia | 7 - 2 | 0.833 | 13 |
9 | 9 | Indiana | 6 - 1 | 0.832 | 18 |
10 | 10 | Northwestern | 6 - 1 | 0.829 | 30 |
11 | 11 | Texas A&M | 7 - 1 | 0.819 | 24 |
12 | 18 | Iowa | 6 - 2 | 0.816 | 28 |
13 | 15 | Iowa St. | 8 - 2 | 0.803 | 34 |
14 | 13 | Louisiana | 9 - 1 | 0.803 | 58 |
15 | 22 | San Jose St. | 6 - 0 | 0.803 | 90 |
16 | 8 | Florida | 8 - 2 | 0.798 | 36 |
17 | 20 | Southern California | 5 - 0 | 0.785 | 73 |
18 | 19 | Oklahoma | 7 - 2 | 0.783 | 65 |
19 | 17 | Marshall | 7 - 1 | 0.769 | 118 |
20 | 14 | Miami, Florida | 8 - 2 | 0.738 | 46 |
21 | 16 | Wisconsin | 2 - 3 | 0.735 | 3 |
22 | 28 | Oklahoma St. | 7 - 3 | 0.728 | 31 |
23 | 23 | Tulsa | 6 - 1 | 0.722 | 74 |
24 | 24 | Texas | 6 - 3 | 0.715 | 39 |
25 | 26 | Boise State | 5 - 1 | 0.708 | 79 |
26 | 25 | Buffalo | 5 - 0 | 0.707 | 126 |
27 | 27 | Appalachian St. | 8 - 3 | 0.695 | 94 |
28 | 33 | North Carolina | 8 - 3 | 0.691 | 81 |
29 | 30 | Auburn | 6 - 4 | 0.684 | 11 |
30 | 34 | Army | 8 - 2 | 0.663 | 120 |
31 | 29 | Liberty | 9 - 1 | 0.662 | 125 |
32 | 40 | Texas Christian | 6 - 4 | 0.657 | 42 |
33 | 31 | Central Florida | 6 - 3 | 0.648 | 80 |
34 | 21 | Colorado | 4 - 1 | 0.636 | 72 |
35 | 38 | Air Force | 3 - 2 | 0.622 | 87 |
36 | 32 | Nevada | 6 - 2 | 0.612 | 105 |
37 | 39 | North Carolina St. | 8 - 3 | 0.599 | 77 |
38 | 44 | West Virginia | 5 - 4 | 0.598 | 66 |
39 | 71 | Arizona St. | 1 - 2 | 0.587 | 56 |
40 | 35 | San Diego St. | 4 - 4 | 0.587 | 63 |
41 | 46 | Southern Methodist | 7 - 3 | 0.586 | 102 |
42 | 73 | Utah | 2 - 2 | 0.585 | 33 |
43 | 49 | AL-Birmingham | 5 - 3 | 0.582 | 93 |
44 | 43 | Mississippi | 4 - 4 | 0.582 | 27 |
45 | 54 | Ball St. | 5 - 1 | 0.580 | 114 |
46 | 37 | Missouri | 5 - 4 | 0.576 | 22 |
47 | 48 | Washington | 3 - 1 | 0.571 | 104 |
48 | 55 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 5 | 0.568 | 64 |
49 | 36 | UCLA | 3 - 3 | 0.567 | 49 |
50 | 45 | Oregon | 3 - 2 | 0.567 | 82 |
51 | 62 | Louisiana St. | 4 - 5 | 0.564 | 12 |
52 | 52 | Tulane | 6 - 5 | 0.561 | 84 |
53 | 58 | Penn State | 3 - 5 | 0.555 | 9 |
54 | 60 | Memphis | 7 - 3 | 0.539 | 100 |
55 | 66 | Minnesota | 3 - 3 | 0.539 | 38 |
56 | 65 | Virginia Tech | 5 - 6 | 0.536 | 32 |
57 | 42 | Wake Forest | 4 - 4 | 0.535 | 68 |
58 | 51 | Georgia Southern | 7 - 5 | 0.534 | 95 |
59 | 56 | Stanford | 3 - 2 | 0.534 | 53 |
60 | 47 | Maryland | 2 - 3 | 0.530 | 6 |
61 | 50 | Virginia | 5 - 5 | 0.528 | 52 |
62 | 53 | Houston | 3 - 4 | 0.521 | 40 |
63 | 63 | Boston College | 6 - 5 | 0.515 | 62 |
64 | 61 | Georgia St. | 5 - 4 | 0.513 | 70 |
65 | 68 | Purdue | 2 - 4 | 0.506 | 20 |
66 | 64 | Kentucky | 4 - 6 | 0.505 | 16 |
67 | 57 | Arkansas | 3 - 7 | 0.503 | 2 |
68 | 67 | Texas-San Antonio | 7 - 4 | 0.495 | 108 |
69 | 69 | Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.493 | 17 |
70 | 82 | Rutgers | 3 - 5 | 0.487 | 21 |
71 | 77 | Toledo | 4 - 2 | 0.486 | 123 |
72 | 41 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 3 | 0.479 | 117 |
73 | 59 | Nebraska | 2 - 5 | 0.479 | 4 |
74 | 72 | Miami, Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.475 | 106 |
75 | 79 | Tennessee | 3 - 6 | 0.475 | 8 |
76 | 90 | Louisville | 4 - 7 | 0.462 | 69 |
77 | 81 | Kansas St. | 4 - 6 | 0.461 | 35 |
78 | 70 | Western Michigan | 4 - 2 | 0.457 | 121 |
79 | 78 | Troy | 5 - 6 | 0.454 | 89 |
80 | 86 | Hawaii | 4 - 4 | 0.450 | 76 |
81 | 80 | Washington St. | 1 - 2 | 0.443 | 43 |
82 | 74 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 4 | 0.436 | 88 |
83 | 76 | Michigan St. | 2 - 5 | 0.430 | 1 |
84 | 84 | Kent St. | 3 - 1 | 0.429 | 124 |
85 | 83 | Wyoming | 2 - 4 | 0.429 | 98 |
86 | 92 | Texas Tech | 4 - 6 | 0.423 | 45 |
87 | 87 | Illinois | 2 - 5 | 0.417 | 7 |
88 | 88 | Oregon St. | 2 - 4 | 0.398 | 67 |
89 | 85 | Baylor | 2 - 7 | 0.396 | 23 |
90 | 89 | Central Michigan | 3 - 3 | 0.394 | 113 |
91 | 75 | Fresno St. | 3 - 3 | 0.390 | 116 |
92 | 91 | Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.388 | 127 |
93 | 94 | Rice | 2 - 3 | 0.383 | 101 |
94 | 93 | Mississippi St. | 2 - 7 | 0.383 | 5 |
95 | 95 | East Carolina | 3 - 6 | 0.383 | 59 |
96 | 97 | Arkansas St. | 4 - 7 | 0.370 | 83 |
97 | 96 | California | 1 - 3 | 0.365 | 60 |
98 | 98 | South Carolina | 2 - 8 | 0.347 | 14 |
99 | 99 | Western Kentucky | 5 - 6 | 0.340 | 103 |
100 | 107 | Florida St. | 3 - 6 | 0.338 | 61 |
101 | 110 | New Mexico | 2 - 5 | 0.337 | 51 |
102 | 101 | South Alabama | 4 - 7 | 0.328 | 78 |
103 | 100 | Colorado St. | 1 - 3 | 0.315 | 55 |
104 | 106 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.315 | 107 |
105 | 102 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 7 | 0.311 | 50 |
106 | 103 | Navy | 3 - 7 | 0.302 | 41 |
107 | 105 | Charlotte | 2 - 4 | 0.286 | 111 |
108 | 108 | Texas St. | 2 - 10 | 0.285 | 44 |
109 | 114 | Southern Mississippi | 3 - 7 | 0.273 | 109 |
110 | 112 | North Texas | 4 - 5 | 0.269 | 122 |
111 | 111 | Middle Tennessee | 3 - 6 | 0.259 | 99 |
112 | 109 | Duke | 2 - 9 | 0.243 | 57 |
113 | 113 | Texas-El Paso | 3 - 5 | 0.218 | 119 |
114 | 116 | South Florida | 1 - 8 | 0.208 | 48 |
115 | 115 | Utah St. | 1 - 5 | 0.208 | 54 |
116 | 117 | Syracuse | 1 - 10 | 0.195 | 37 |
117 | 104 | Arizona | 0 - 5 | 0.193 | 19 |
118 | 118 | Temple | 1 - 6 | 0.179 | 85 |
119 | 119 | Northern Illinois | 0 - 6 | 0.151 | 91 |
120 | 121 | Massachusetts | 0 - 4 | 0.140 | 25 |
121 | 120 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 0 - 6 | 0.139 | 47 |
122 | 123 | Florida International | 0 - 5 | 0.134 | 115 |
123 | 125 | Kansas | 0 - 9 | 0.123 | 10 |
124 | 124 | Akron | 1 - 5 | 0.123 | 112 |
125 | 122 | Vanderbilt | 0 - 9 | 0.121 | 26 |
126 | 126 | Wild Card U. | 1 - 33 | 0.096 | 0 |
127 | 127 | LA-Monroe | 0 - 10 | 0.083 | 71 |
128 | 128 | Bowling Green | 0 - 5 | 0.065 | 110 |
2020 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2020 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Ten | 0-0 | .610 |
Independents | 26-7 | .584 |
SEC | 0-0 | .582 |
Big Twelve | 6-3 | .569 |
ACC | 12-3 | .533 |
Pac-12 | 1-0 | .519 |
AAC | 12-7 | .503 |
Sun Belt | 16-14 | .494 |
Mountain West | 1-3 | .467 |
MAC | 0-0 | .381 |
Conference USA | 16-21 | .379 |