The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.
Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11. New Mexico State is expected to play a spring schedule against lower division teams and will be added in a supplement after they have completed their schedule.
The estimated home field advantage is .557, or about 3.00 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.
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Revised 12-21-20
This Week | Last Week | Team | 2020 Record | Power Rating | SOS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Alabama | 11 - 0 | 0.952 | 8 |
2 | 2 | Ohio St. | 6 - 0 | 0.914 | 12 |
3 | 3 | Cincinnati | 9 - 0 | 0.898 | 85 |
4 | 7 | Clemson | 10 - 1 | 0.886 | 56 |
5 | 4 | Coastal Carolina | 11 - 0 | 0.879 | 91 |
6 | 6 | Brigham Young | 10 - 1 | 0.871 | 95 |
7 | 15 | San Jose St. | 7 - 0 | 0.838 | 77 |
8 | 9 | Indiana | 6 - 1 | 0.837 | 17 |
9 | 11 | Texas A&M | 8 - 1 | 0.835 | 25 |
10 | 5 | Notre Dame | 10 - 1 | 0.833 | 80 |
11 | 8 | Georgia | 7 - 2 | 0.832 | 13 |
12 | 12 | Iowa | 6 - 2 | 0.814 | 34 |
13 | 18 | Oklahoma | 8 - 2 | 0.808 | 49 |
14 | 14 | Louisiana | 9 - 1 | 0.804 | 58 |
15 | 10 | Northwestern | 6 - 2 | 0.801 | 15 |
16 | 13 | Iowa St. | 8 - 3 | 0.782 | 23 |
17 | 16 | Florida | 8 - 3 | 0.782 | 21 |
18 | 20 | Miami, Florida | 8 - 2 | 0.744 | 43 |
19 | 21 | Wisconsin | 3 - 3 | 0.729 | 4 |
20 | 22 | Oklahoma St. | 7 - 3 | 0.727 | 35 |
21 | 19 | Marshall | 7 - 2 | 0.720 | 115 |
22 | 24 | Texas | 6 - 3 | 0.714 | 41 |
23 | 23 | Tulsa | 6 - 2 | 0.711 | 45 |
24 | 30 | Army | 9 - 2 | 0.702 | 119 |
25 | 17 | Southern California | 5 - 1 | 0.694 | 83 |
26 | 27 | Appalachian St. | 8 - 3 | 0.694 | 96 |
27 | 28 | North Carolina | 8 - 3 | 0.691 | 86 |
28 | 29 | Auburn | 6 - 4 | 0.688 | 9 |
29 | 25 | Boise State | 5 - 2 | 0.672 | 52 |
30 | 31 | Liberty | 9 - 1 | 0.663 | 126 |
31 | 32 | Texas Christian | 6 - 4 | 0.656 | 42 |
32 | 33 | Central Florida | 6 - 3 | 0.652 | 84 |
33 | 43 | AL-Birmingham | 6 - 3 | 0.637 | 82 |
34 | 45 | Ball St. | 6 - 1 | 0.634 | 108 |
35 | 34 | Colorado | 4 - 1 | 0.633 | 76 |
36 | 26 | Buffalo | 5 - 1 | 0.627 | 124 |
37 | 50 | Oregon | 4 - 2 | 0.618 | 75 |
38 | 36 | Nevada | 6 - 2 | 0.615 | 105 |
39 | 35 | Air Force | 3 - 3 | 0.610 | 70 |
40 | 53 | Penn State | 4 - 5 | 0.603 | 19 |
41 | 37 | North Carolina St. | 8 - 3 | 0.600 | 81 |
42 | 42 | Utah | 3 - 2 | 0.598 | 55 |
43 | 38 | West Virginia | 5 - 4 | 0.595 | 72 |
44 | 39 | Arizona St. | 2 - 2 | 0.590 | 89 |
45 | 40 | San Diego St. | 4 - 4 | 0.590 | 66 |
46 | 41 | Southern Methodist | 7 - 3 | 0.590 | 102 |
47 | 51 | Louisiana St. | 5 - 5 | 0.588 | 14 |
48 | 59 | Stanford | 4 - 2 | 0.575 | 50 |
49 | 47 | Washington | 3 - 1 | 0.571 | 104 |
50 | 48 | Pittsburgh | 6 - 5 | 0.570 | 67 |
51 | 52 | Tulane | 6 - 5 | 0.566 | 87 |
52 | 44 | Mississippi | 4 - 5 | 0.559 | 26 |
53 | 54 | Memphis | 7 - 3 | 0.544 | 99 |
54 | 56 | Virginia Tech | 5 - 6 | 0.540 | 32 |
55 | 57 | Wake Forest | 4 - 4 | 0.540 | 68 |
56 | 58 | Georgia Southern | 7 - 5 | 0.537 | 97 |
57 | 61 | Virginia | 5 - 5 | 0.532 | 51 |
58 | 60 | Maryland | 2 - 3 | 0.530 | 3 |
59 | 62 | Houston | 3 - 4 | 0.527 | 38 |
60 | 46 | Missouri | 5 - 5 | 0.526 | 27 |
61 | 55 | Minnesota | 3 - 4 | 0.522 | 31 |
62 | 49 | UCLA | 3 - 4 | 0.519 | 57 |
63 | 63 | Boston College | 6 - 5 | 0.516 | 65 |
64 | 73 | Nebraska | 3 - 5 | 0.516 | 7 |
65 | 64 | Georgia St. | 5 - 4 | 0.514 | 74 |
66 | 67 | Arkansas | 3 - 7 | 0.503 | 2 |
67 | 68 | Texas-San Antonio | 7 - 4 | 0.503 | 109 |
68 | 66 | Kentucky | 4 - 6 | 0.501 | 20 |
69 | 69 | Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.496 | 18 |
70 | 71 | Toledo | 4 - 2 | 0.495 | 123 |
71 | 65 | Purdue | 2 - 4 | 0.494 | 28 |
72 | 72 | Florida Atlantic | 5 - 3 | 0.477 | 118 |
73 | 74 | Miami, Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.476 | 107 |
74 | 78 | Western Michigan | 4 - 2 | 0.467 | 121 |
75 | 76 | Louisville | 4 - 7 | 0.461 | 73 |
76 | 77 | Kansas St. | 4 - 6 | 0.460 | 36 |
77 | 70 | Rutgers | 3 - 6 | 0.458 | 24 |
78 | 79 | Troy | 5 - 6 | 0.455 | 94 |
79 | 94 | Mississippi St. | 3 - 7 | 0.452 | 6 |
80 | 80 | Hawaii | 4 - 4 | 0.450 | 78 |
81 | 75 | Tennessee | 3 - 7 | 0.447 | 5 |
82 | 82 | Louisiana Tech | 5 - 4 | 0.440 | 92 |
83 | 83 | Michigan St. | 2 - 5 | 0.439 | 1 |
84 | 85 | Wyoming | 2 - 4 | 0.423 | 101 |
85 | 86 | Texas Tech | 4 - 6 | 0.423 | 46 |
86 | 84 | Kent St. | 3 - 1 | 0.421 | 125 |
87 | 90 | Central Michigan | 3 - 3 | 0.404 | 111 |
88 | 89 | Baylor | 2 - 7 | 0.396 | 22 |
89 | 91 | Fresno St. | 3 - 3 | 0.389 | 117 |
90 | 93 | Rice | 2 - 3 | 0.389 | 100 |
91 | 95 | East Carolina | 3 - 6 | 0.386 | 60 |
92 | 92 | Ohio | 2 - 1 | 0.385 | 127 |
93 | 81 | Washington St. | 1 - 3 | 0.384 | 39 |
94 | 88 | Oregon St. | 2 - 5 | 0.372 | 61 |
95 | 96 | Arkansas St. | 4 - 7 | 0.371 | 88 |
96 | 97 | California | 1 - 3 | 0.368 | 64 |
97 | 87 | Illinois | 2 - 6 | 0.363 | 10 |
98 | 99 | Western Kentucky | 5 - 6 | 0.342 | 103 |
99 | 98 | South Carolina | 2 - 8 | 0.342 | 16 |
100 | 101 | New Mexico | 2 - 5 | 0.339 | 53 |
101 | 100 | Florida St. | 3 - 6 | 0.337 | 69 |
102 | 102 | South Alabama | 4 - 7 | 0.333 | 79 |
103 | 104 | Eastern Michigan | 2 - 4 | 0.323 | 106 |
104 | 105 | Georgia Tech | 3 - 7 | 0.312 | 54 |
105 | 103 | Colorado St. | 1 - 3 | 0.309 | 63 |
106 | 106 | Navy | 3 - 7 | 0.305 | 40 |
107 | 108 | Texas St. | 2 - 10 | 0.286 | 44 |
108 | 107 | Charlotte | 2 - 4 | 0.286 | 112 |
109 | 109 | Southern Mississippi | 3 - 7 | 0.275 | 110 |
110 | 110 | North Texas | 4 - 5 | 0.271 | 122 |
111 | 111 | Middle Tennessee | 3 - 6 | 0.262 | 98 |
112 | 112 | Duke | 2 - 9 | 0.243 | 62 |
113 | 113 | Texas-El Paso | 3 - 5 | 0.220 | 120 |
114 | 114 | South Florida | 1 - 8 | 0.210 | 48 |
115 | 115 | Utah St. | 1 - 5 | 0.204 | 59 |
116 | 116 | Syracuse | 1 - 10 | 0.196 | 37 |
117 | 118 | Temple | 1 - 6 | 0.180 | 90 |
118 | 117 | Arizona | 0 - 5 | 0.178 | 33 |
119 | 119 | Northern Illinois | 0 - 6 | 0.154 | 93 |
120 | 121 | Nevada-Las Vegas | 0 - 6 | 0.142 | 47 |
121 | 120 | Massachusetts | 0 - 4 | 0.137 | 30 |
122 | 122 | Florida International | 0 - 5 | 0.135 | 116 |
123 | 123 | Kansas | 0 - 9 | 0.123 | 11 |
124 | 125 | Vanderbilt | 0 - 9 | 0.121 | 29 |
125 | 124 | Akron | 1 - 5 | 0.120 | 114 |
126 | 126 | Wild Card U. | 1 - 33 | 0.098 | 0 |
127 | 127 | LA-Monroe | 0 - 10 | 0.084 | 71 |
128 | 128 | Bowling Green | 0 - 5 | 0.063 | 113 |
2020 conference power ratings:
Conference | 2020 Record | Power Rating |
---|---|---|
Big Ten | 0-0 | .608 |
Independents | 27-7 | .593 |
SEC | 0-0 | .581 |
Big Twelve | 6-3 | .568 |
ACC | 12-3 | .534 |
Pac-12 | 1-0 | .509 |
AAC | 12-7 | .506 |
Sun Belt | 16-14 | .496 |
Mountain West | 1-4 | .465 |
Conference USA | 16-21 | .381 |
MAC | 0-0 | .381 |