ARGH 2020 Power Ratings

The following are the ARGH power ratings for the fall 2020 season. Teams currently included are the 127 Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS) teams that are known to be playing a fall schedule. Needless to say, this year has been a challenge, and producing power ratings in this environment is definitely affected.

Big Ten added 9-20. Pac-12 and Mountain West teams other than Air Force added 10-4. MAC and Massachusetts added 10-11. New Mexico State is expected to play a spring schedule against lower division teams and will be added in a supplement after they have completed their schedule.

The estimated home field advantage is .557, or about 3.00 points for an average game. The power ratings represent the chance that the team in question has of beating an average FBS team without regard to location.

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Revised 12-21-20

This WeekLast Week Team 2020 Record Power Rating SOS
1 1 Alabama 11 - 0 0.952 8
2 2 Ohio St. 6 - 0 0.914 12
3 3 Cincinnati 9 - 0 0.898 85
4 7 Clemson 10 - 1 0.886 56
5 4 Coastal Carolina 11 - 0 0.879 91
6 6 Brigham Young 10 - 1 0.871 95
7 15 San Jose St. 7 - 0 0.838 77
8 9 Indiana 6 - 1 0.837 17
9 11 Texas A&M 8 - 1 0.835 25
10 5 Notre Dame 10 - 1 0.833 80
11 8 Georgia 7 - 2 0.832 13
12 12 Iowa 6 - 2 0.814 34
13 18 Oklahoma 8 - 2 0.808 49
14 14 Louisiana 9 - 1 0.804 58
15 10 Northwestern 6 - 2 0.801 15
16 13 Iowa St. 8 - 3 0.782 23
17 16 Florida 8 - 3 0.782 21
18 20 Miami, Florida 8 - 2 0.744 43
19 21 Wisconsin 3 - 3 0.729 4
20 22 Oklahoma St. 7 - 3 0.727 35
21 19 Marshall 7 - 2 0.720 115
22 24 Texas 6 - 3 0.714 41
23 23 Tulsa 6 - 2 0.711 45
24 30 Army 9 - 2 0.702 119
25 17 Southern California 5 - 1 0.694 83
26 27 Appalachian St. 8 - 3 0.694 96
27 28 North Carolina 8 - 3 0.691 86
28 29 Auburn 6 - 4 0.688 9
29 25 Boise State 5 - 2 0.672 52
30 31 Liberty 9 - 1 0.663 126
31 32 Texas Christian 6 - 4 0.656 42
32 33 Central Florida 6 - 3 0.652 84
33 43 AL-Birmingham 6 - 3 0.637 82
34 45 Ball St. 6 - 1 0.634 108
35 34 Colorado 4 - 1 0.633 76
36 26 Buffalo 5 - 1 0.627 124
37 50 Oregon 4 - 2 0.618 75
38 36 Nevada 6 - 2 0.615 105
39 35 Air Force 3 - 3 0.610 70
40 53 Penn State 4 - 5 0.603 19
41 37 North Carolina St. 8 - 3 0.600 81
42 42 Utah 3 - 2 0.598 55
43 38 West Virginia 5 - 4 0.595 72
44 39 Arizona St. 2 - 2 0.590 89
45 40 San Diego St. 4 - 4 0.590 66
46 41 Southern Methodist 7 - 3 0.590 102
47 51 Louisiana St. 5 - 5 0.588 14
48 59 Stanford 4 - 2 0.575 50
49 47 Washington 3 - 1 0.571 104
50 48 Pittsburgh 6 - 5 0.570 67
51 52 Tulane 6 - 5 0.566 87
52 44 Mississippi 4 - 5 0.559 26
53 54 Memphis 7 - 3 0.544 99
54 56 Virginia Tech 5 - 6 0.540 32
55 57 Wake Forest 4 - 4 0.540 68
56 58 Georgia Southern 7 - 5 0.537 97
57 61 Virginia 5 - 5 0.532 51
58 60 Maryland 2 - 3 0.530 3
59 62 Houston 3 - 4 0.527 38
60 46 Missouri 5 - 5 0.526 27
61 55 Minnesota 3 - 4 0.522 31
62 49 UCLA 3 - 4 0.519 57
63 63 Boston College 6 - 5 0.516 65
64 73 Nebraska 3 - 5 0.516 7
65 64 Georgia St. 5 - 4 0.514 74
66 67 Arkansas 3 - 7 0.503 2
67 68 Texas-San Antonio 7 - 4 0.503 109
68 66 Kentucky 4 - 6 0.501 20
69 69 Michigan 2 - 4 0.496 18
70 71 Toledo 4 - 2 0.495 123
71 65 Purdue 2 - 4 0.494 28
72 72 Florida Atlantic 5 - 3 0.477 118
73 74 Miami, Ohio 2 - 1 0.476 107
74 78 Western Michigan 4 - 2 0.467 121
75 76 Louisville 4 - 7 0.461 73
76 77 Kansas St. 4 - 6 0.460 36
77 70 Rutgers 3 - 6 0.458 24
78 79 Troy 5 - 6 0.455 94
79 94 Mississippi St. 3 - 7 0.452 6
80 80 Hawaii 4 - 4 0.450 78
81 75 Tennessee 3 - 7 0.447 5
82 82 Louisiana Tech 5 - 4 0.440 92
83 83 Michigan St. 2 - 5 0.439 1
84 85 Wyoming 2 - 4 0.423 101
85 86 Texas Tech 4 - 6 0.423 46
86 84 Kent St. 3 - 1 0.421 125
87 90 Central Michigan 3 - 3 0.404 111
88 89 Baylor 2 - 7 0.396 22
89 91 Fresno St. 3 - 3 0.389 117
90 93 Rice 2 - 3 0.389 100
91 95 East Carolina 3 - 6 0.386 60
92 92 Ohio 2 - 1 0.385 127
93 81 Washington St. 1 - 3 0.384 39
94 88 Oregon St. 2 - 5 0.372 61
95 96 Arkansas St. 4 - 7 0.371 88
96 97 California 1 - 3 0.368 64
97 87 Illinois 2 - 6 0.363 10
98 99 Western Kentucky 5 - 6 0.342 103
99 98 South Carolina 2 - 8 0.342 16
100 101 New Mexico 2 - 5 0.339 53
101 100 Florida St. 3 - 6 0.337 69
102 102 South Alabama 4 - 7 0.333 79
103 104 Eastern Michigan 2 - 4 0.323 106
104 105 Georgia Tech 3 - 7 0.312 54
105 103 Colorado St. 1 - 3 0.309 63
106 106 Navy 3 - 7 0.305 40
107 108 Texas St. 2 - 10 0.286 44
108 107 Charlotte 2 - 4 0.286 112
109 109 Southern Mississippi 3 - 7 0.275 110
110 110 North Texas 4 - 5 0.271 122
111 111 Middle Tennessee 3 - 6 0.262 98
112 112 Duke 2 - 9 0.243 62
113 113 Texas-El Paso 3 - 5 0.220 120
114 114 South Florida 1 - 8 0.210 48
115 115 Utah St. 1 - 5 0.204 59
116 116 Syracuse 1 - 10 0.196 37
117 118 Temple 1 - 6 0.180 90
118 117 Arizona 0 - 5 0.178 33
119 119 Northern Illinois 0 - 6 0.154 93
120 121 Nevada-Las Vegas 0 - 6 0.142 47
121 120 Massachusetts 0 - 4 0.137 30
122 122 Florida International 0 - 5 0.135 116
123 123 Kansas 0 - 9 0.123 11
124 125 Vanderbilt 0 - 9 0.121 29
125 124 Akron 1 - 5 0.120 114
126 126 Wild Card U. 1 - 33 0.098 0
127 127 LA-Monroe 0 - 10 0.084 71
128 128 Bowling Green 0 - 5 0.063 113

2020 conference power ratings:

Conference2020 Record Power Rating
Big Ten 0-0 .608
Independents 27-7 .593
SEC 0-0 .581
Big Twelve 6-3 .568
ACC 12-3 .534
Pac-12 1-0 .509
AAC 12-7 .506
Sun Belt 16-14 .496
Mountain West 1-4.465
Conference USA 16-21.381
MAC 0-0 .381

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