These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 13, 2008. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

9/11

RUTGERS 10 over North Carolina; total 52

9/12

SOUTH FLORIDA 5 over Kansas; total 54

9/13

Air Force 4 over Houston (revised due to change in game location); total 56

TENNESSEE 26 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 57

Arizona 11 over NEW MEXICO; total 50

TEXAS-Arkansas postponed

Auburn 8 over MISSISSIPPI STATE; total 43

Ball State 3 over AKRON; total 57

BOISE STATE 13 over Bowling Green State; total 57

California 8 over MARYLAND; total 50

Central Michigan 1 over OHIO; total 55

East Carolina 12 over TULANE; total 49

MICHIGAN STATE 11 over Florida Atlantic; total 59

Georgia pick 'em over SOUTH CAROLINA; total 53

VIRGINIA TECH 9 over Georgia Tech; total 46

OREGON STATE 9 over Hawaii; total 61

IOWA 10 over Iowa State; total 52

ILLINOIS 22 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 62

MARSHALL 10 over Memphis; total 58

NOTRE DAME 1 over Michigan; total 48

KENTUCKY 16 over Middle Tennessee State; total 50

DUKE 2 over Navy; total 55

MISSOURI 25 over Nevada; total 61

ARIZONA STATE 21 over Nevada-Las Vegas; total 52

NEBRASKA 25 over New Mexico State; total 59

CLEMSON 16 over North Carolina State; total 51

LOUISIANA STATE 33 over North Texas; total 57

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 2 over Ohio State; total 49

Oklahoma 8 over WASHINGTON; total 58

Oregon 9 over PURDUE; total 61

Penn State 17 over SYRACUSE; total 54

VANDERBILT 17 over Rice; total 59

SAN JOSE STATE 5 over San Diego State; total 46

TEXAS TECH 31 over Southern Methodist; total 65

ARKANSAS STATE 3 over Southern Mississippi; total 54

TEXAS CHRISTIAN 11 over Stanford; total 51

BUFFALO 5 over Temple; total 48

EASTERN MICHIGAN 6 over Toledo; total 55

BRIGHAM YOUNG 9 over UCLA; total 51

Utah 21 over UTAH STATE; total 55

CONNECTICUT 11 over Virginia; total 42

BAYLOR 4 over Washington State; total 55

ALABAMA 22 over Western Kentucky; total 47

Western Michigan 5 over IDAHO; total 59

Wisconsin 2 over FRESNO STATE; total 54

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

- Arkansas-Texas postponed; no pick
- Washington +20.5
- Syracuse +27
- Michigan-Notre Dame over 36.5
- Stanford-TCU over 41
- Georgia-South Carolina over 43

More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2008 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 35-8 | .814 | 67-17 | .798 |

Against the spread | 19-24 | .442 | 40-44 | .476 |

Over-under | 20-20-3 | .500 | 40-37-5 | .518 |

ARGH Picks | 2-4 | .333 | 4-4 | .500 |

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 75-9 |

Percentage | .89286 |

Bias toward home team | 0.61310 |

Mean error | 10.9911 |

Mean square error | 195.425 |

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