These are the ARGH system predictions for the weekend of September 19, 2009. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

9/17

Georgia Tech 2 over MIAMI, FLORIDA; total 53

9/18

Boise State 9 over FRESNO STATE; total 51

9/19

Air Force 6 over NEW MEXICO; total 49

TROY 9 over Alabama-Birmingham; total 54

IOWA 6 over Arizona; total 43

ARMY 3 over Ball State; total 45

CLEMSON 3 over Boston College; total 48

MARSHALL 1 over Bowling Green State; total 51

CENTRAL FLORIDA 5 over Buffalo; total 51

California 3 over MINNESOTA; total 52

OREGON STATE 4 over Cincinnati; total 52

BAYLOR 5 over Connecticut; total 45

KANSAS 20 over Duke; total 49

NORTH CAROLINA 10 over East Carolina; total 46

MICHIGAN 18 over Eastern Michigan; total 52

SOUTH CAROLINA 11 over Florida Atlantic; total 48

RUTGERS 12 over Florida International; total 52

BRIGHAM YOUNG 11 over Florida State; total 49

Georgia 1 over ARKANSAS; total 54

NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 2 over Hawaii; total 51

AKRON 5 over Indiana; total 48

KENT 2 over Iowa State; total 46

UCLA 14 over Kansas State; total 47

LOUISIANA STATE 17 over Louisiana-Lafayette; total 52

ARIZONA STATE 11 over Louisiana-Monroe; total 54

KENTUCKY 11 over Louisville; total 52

WESTERN MICHIGAN 10 over Miami, Ohio; total 47

NOTRE DAME 6 over Michigan State; total 51

MARYLAND 7 over Middle Tennessee State; total 52

VANDERBILT 10 over Mississippi State; total 46

PITTSBURGH 12 over Navy; total 54

VIRGINIA TECH 9 over Nebraska; total 52

COLORADO STATE 3 over Nevada; total 52

ALABAMA 28 over North Texas; total 53

PURDUE 9 over Northern Illinois; total 53

Northwestern 3 over SYRACUSE; total 49

Ohio State 16 over Toledo; total 56

OKLAHOMA STATE 22 over Rice; total 62

San Diego State 1 over IDAHO; total 53

STANFORD 12 over San Jose State; total 47

Southern California 21 over WASHINGTON; total 52

WASHINGTON STATE pick 'em over Southern Methodist; total 56

PENN STATE 21 over Temple; total 46

FLORIDA 22 over Tennessee; total 54

TEXAS 17 over Texas Tech; total 59

Texas-El Paso 4 over NEW MEXICO STATE; total 48

OKLAHOMA 14 over Tulsa; total 59

Utah 1 over OREGON; total 52

TEXAS A&M 14 over Utah State; total 52

SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI 11 over Virginia; total 46

AUBURN 4 over West Virginia; total 49

COLORADO 6 over Wyoming; total 49

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

- New Mexico +17
- Minnesota +14
- Florida Atlantic +21
- Rice +32.5

More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2009 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 37-9 | .804 | 65-21 | .756 |

Against the spread | 28-18 | .609 | 45-41 | .523 |

Over-under | 26-20 | .565 | 50-35-1 | .587 |

ARGH Picks | 5-4 | .556 | 6-8 | .429 |

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 73-13 |

Percentage | .84884 |

Bias toward home team | -0.27907 |

Mean error | 11.2791 |

Mean square error | 198.000 |

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