These are the ARGH system predictions for the game of the weekend of October 20, 2007. IMPORTANT: These are predictions, not betting lines! If you are looking for betting lines, please go to www.vegasinsider.com!

10/18

South Florida 9 over RUTGERS; total 52

TEXAS CHRISTIAN 3 over Utah; total 37

10/19

CONNECTICUT 12 over Louisville; total 64

Northwestern 8 over EASTERN MICHIGAN; total 58

10/20

Arkansas 5 over MISSISSIPPI; total 55

MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE 3 over Arkansas State; total 53

GEORGIA TECH 17 over Army; total 41

LOUISIANA STATE 10 over Auburn; total 44

Ball State 3 over WESTERN MICHIGAN; total 69

Boise State 16 over LOUISIANA TECH; total 55

KENT 1 over Bowling Green State; total 59

Buffalo 3 over SYRACUSE; total 56

California 1 over UCLA; total 60

CLEMSON 17 over Central Michigan; total 63

Cincinnati 16 over PITTSBURGH; total 54

NEVADA-LAS VEGAS 7 over Colorado State; total 47

KENTUCKY 4 over Florida; total 71

Florida Atlantic 14 over LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE; total 60

LOUISIANA-MONROE 14 over Florida International; total 49

Houston 6 over ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM; total 64

NEW MEXICO STATE 17 over Idaho; total 58

PURDUE 10 over Iowa; total 42

Kansas 7 over COLORADO; total 55

Kansas State pick 'em over OKLAHOMA STATE; total 56

RICE 4 over Memphis; total 61

FLORIDA STATE 8 over Miami, Florida; total 38

Miami, Ohio 7 over TEMPLE; total 46

ILLINOIS 5 over Michigan; total 45

OHIO STATE 23 over Michigan State; total 51

WEST VIRGINIA 19 over Mississippi State; total 54

Nevada 11 over UTAH STATE; total 72

New Mexico 9 over SAN DIEGO STATE; total 49

EAST CAROLINA 18 over North Carolina State; total 58

TROY 31 over North Texas; total 67

WISCONSIN 24 over Northern Illinois; total 47

Ohio 1 over TOLEDO; total 69

Oklahoma 34 over IOWA STATE; total 58

Oregon 13 over WASHINGTON; total 63

Penn State 4 over INDIANA; total 55

FRESNO STATE 14 over San Jose State; total 55

Southern California 14 over NOTRE DAME; total 44

ARIZONA 6 over Stanford; total 55

ALABAMA 4 over Tennessee; total 60

Texas 15 over BAYLOR; total 55

NEBRASKA 1 over Texas A&M; total 57

MISSOURI 7 over Texas Tech; total 73

SOUTHERN METHODIST 7 over Tulane; total 52

CENTRAL FLORIDA 2 over Tulsa; total 79

SOUTH CAROLINA 15 over Vanderbilt; total 40

Virginia 1 over MARYLAND; total 43

Wake Forest pick 'em over NAVY; total 65

AIR FORCE 4 over Wyoming; total 38

10/21

Southern Mississippi 12 over MARSHALL; total 53

ATS picks for all games are evaluated against the first available spread, with pick'em games treated as a one point spread for this purpose only because there are no ties in college football.

Once again I'll be keeping track of games where my methods indicate a particularly good chance of a correct pick against the pointspread.

ARGH Picks this week are:

- Utah-TCU under 47
- Florida-Kentucky over 61
- East Carolina -4.5
- Troy -18
- Baylor +25.5

More picks may be added later as lines change.

The results for the ARGH predictions and picks for the 2007 season: | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|

Last Week | Overall | |||

Straight-up | 39-16 | .709 | 265-95 | .736 |

Against the spread | 27-26-1 | .509 | 180-172-4 | .511 |

Over-under | 25-29 | .463 | 169-181-6 | .483 |

ARGH Picks | 2-2-1 | .500 | 17-13-1 | .565 |

ARGH Retrodictive standings | |
---|---|

Record | 308-52 |

Percentage | .85556 |

Bias toward home team | -0.03889 |

Mean error | 10.1479 |

Mean square error | 164.200 |

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